Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III

NHC-NOAA ^ | 27 August 2005 | NHC-NOAA

[NautiNurse]

Hurricane Katrina continues to strengthen in the Gulf of Mexico. Currently, the forecast models are converging upon New Orleans. However, all interests in the northern Gulf of Mexico should follow the path of this storm, and be prepared for a major hurricane landfall. Throughout Friday, the official track forecasts moved west, as Hurricane Katrina delayed making the anticipated northwest turn.

The following links are self-updating.

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Buoy Data Florida
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi

Images:

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait

Mobile Long Range Radar Loop

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Radar

Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop

Northwest Florida Long Range Radar

Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop

Other Resources:

Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics

Live streaming:

WFOR-TV Miami: http://dayport.wm.llnwd.net/dayport_0025_live
WWL-TV New Orleans: mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
HurricaneCity.com: http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
WTSP-TV Tampa: mms://wmbcast.gannett.speedera.net/wmbcast.gannett/wmbcast_gannett_jan032005_0856_78183
WKRG-TV Mobile mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_jul072005_1144_93320

Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12

Category	Wind Speed	Barometric Pressure	Storm Surge	Damage Potential
Tropical Depression	< 39 mph < 34 kts			Minimal
Tropical Storm	39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts			Minimal
Hurricane 1 (Weak)	74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts	28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more	4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m	Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2 (Moderate)	96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts	28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb	6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m	Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3 (Strong)	111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts	27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb	9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m	Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4 (Very strong)	131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts	27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb	13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m	Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5 (Devastating)	Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts	Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb	Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m	Catastrophic building failures possible

[LA Woman3]

Oh, I didn't even think of that!

[nwctwx]

Can you pull the post this is pinged to? The info is not right..

[wardaddy]

Whenever anyone says Pontchartrain, I think of that bus careening off ....I think the full bus perished including some children on an outing...which haunted me as a child too at the time.

being a land bound lad from Jackson, Pontchartrain felt like the ocean to me.

used to be an old hotel in the Garden district called that too...had a good restaurant called the Caribbean Room.

[NautiNurse]

Wow--that's quite an increase in pressure.

[nwctwx]

It's wrong... sorry.

I should check my sources before pasting stuff. ;)

[Diddle E. Squat]

The news conference delay is probably because they were waiting for the latest info from the NHC, which goes public around 12:30-45 central, and are probably now digesting the updates before making the final call.

Also perhaps by calling it for noon and then having it stretched out it will get more viewers(potential evacuees) as more become aware of the news conference.

[NautiNurse]

The cam of the Causeway looks the most congested of them all.

[Fast5]

Up to 50,000 dead if Katrina hits New Orleans.
1 Million homeless.
22' high water.
This is from NOVA:

http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/nova/teachers/vide-nsn.html

[rang1995]

not looking good ,but the doomsday is when the storm hits NO from the SOUTHEAST up the river not SW or S--still bad,but not as bad as the DOOMSDAY SCENARIO

[Dog Gone]

Yes, New Orleans is in the crosshairs. Mobile, Houston, and Tampa are also potential doomsday scenario cities, but New Orleans is the worst by a long shot.

And it looks this afternoon as if it's going to happen.

The death toll would probably be enormous, and the economic damage beyond measure.

There is still enough time for forecast conditions to change, but I think that's a possibility, not a probability.

[rwfromkansas]

Exactly. Normally, considering I am not exactly in a location that leads to dangerous hurricanes.....just their remnants.....I look at these storms with fascination.

This one.....I really hope it goes east or weakens into nothing. If it hits NO, it would be awful.

[LA Woman3]

12:20 pm -- Gov. Blanco is about to hold a press briefing on Hurricane Katernia. Listen on NewsRadio 1150 WJBO and www.wjbo.com

Just got this WJBO news alert....

[NautiNurse]

At least you didn't post an unfinished sentence to a zillion folks on the ping list...

[NautiNurse]

She's holding out until that magical 2PM deadline...

[LA Woman3]

I hope not!
They said she just arrived.....FINALLY!

[CajunConservative]

"Omy! What should I do! What should I do!"...Turning to see what others want her to do. lol

I know she's so dang stupid. I can't believe this state was so stupid, wait, yes I can. /roll eyes. I mean we could have had Bobby in charge and he would have definitely been in charge. Instead we have Maw Maw who can't decide whether or not she should go ahead and do something so that people won't die.

Leaders LEAD, dumba$$es fret and whine.

[Diddle E. Squat]

What's with that stupid pre-conference applause for the governor? Why bother with such BS?

[Diddle E. Squat]

What's with that stupid pre-conference applause for the governor? Why bother with such BS?

"This will be a very positive experience for most?" What an idiot.

[STARWISE]

NOT hundreds of undocumented immigrants and farm workers living in trailers.... many dozens east of US#l lowland area.I was there ... homeless for 6 weeks, and had friends with friends in the police depts. that leaked some stories. With the intensity of that killer storm, I'll never believe that only 23-25 people died in FL. At least 3 of deaths were in my complex.

I lived across the street from 3 pretty nice mobile home communities ... indescribable decimation... between, around, under and on all the hundreds of just trailer slabs. Were you there?