Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III

NHC-NOAA ^ | 27 August 2005 | NHC-NOAA

[NautiNurse]

Hurricane Katrina continues to strengthen in the Gulf of Mexico. Currently, the forecast models are converging upon New Orleans. However, all interests in the northern Gulf of Mexico should follow the path of this storm, and be prepared for a major hurricane landfall. Throughout Friday, the official track forecasts moved west, as Hurricane Katrina delayed making the anticipated northwest turn.

The following links are self-updating.

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Buoy Data Florida
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi

Images:

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait

Mobile Long Range Radar Loop

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Radar

Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop

Northwest Florida Long Range Radar

Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop

Other Resources:

Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics

Live streaming:

WFOR-TV Miami: http://dayport.wm.llnwd.net/dayport_0025_live
WWL-TV New Orleans: mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
HurricaneCity.com: http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
WTSP-TV Tampa: mms://wmbcast.gannett.speedera.net/wmbcast.gannett/wmbcast_gannett_jan032005_0856_78183
WKRG-TV Mobile mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_jul072005_1144_93320

Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12

Category	Wind Speed	Barometric Pressure	Storm Surge	Damage Potential
Tropical Depression	< 39 mph < 34 kts			Minimal
Tropical Storm	39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts			Minimal
Hurricane 1 (Weak)	74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts	28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more	4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m	Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2 (Moderate)	96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts	28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb	6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m	Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3 (Strong)	111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts	27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb	9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m	Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4 (Very strong)	131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts	27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb	13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m	Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5 (Devastating)	Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts	Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb	Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m	Catastrophic building failures possible

[pollyg107]

Just heard Gov. Blanco on Fox. She sounds a little panicky and is telling everyone to leave. I think the pre-hurricane fed. emergency declaration might have gotten her attention, finally.

[mhking]

Live video streams - copy/paste into player:

WWL-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
WVTM-TV/DT Birmingham (WMP) - mms://a1256.l1289835255.c12898.g.lm.akamaistream.net/D/1256/12898/v0001/reflector:35255
WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38202.asx
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm

[NautiNurse]

The models have pulled together, and the forecasters appear to have a better feel for the track now--especially with a steady flow of recon data.

[Revel]

I just heard on wwl tv4 that 10 casinos will be closed down at 2am. I had left the room, but when I came in I thought I heard something about Fema being involved in that.

[Diddle E. Squat]

Kathleen Blanco - "Lots of people are not aware of this storm because last night when they went to bed the forecast was for it to go into Florida, but overnight that changed to Louisiana."

Total BS.

Says that she's worried that not enough people are evacuating. Yet she's governor and can make the evac's mandatory.

[Mo1]

Does this mean that the feds are preempting the idiot governor and mayor? I hope so. Usually I hate federal intervention in anything, but that governor of Louisiana just seems like a complete idiot.

She was just on FNC and said that the President declared a state of emergency

[Ernest_at_the_Beach]

Too many idiots like my dumb liberal sister and bil did not trust someone of East Indian ancestry.

Where is their love of multiculturalism?

[pollyg107]

She also said Max Mayfield had called her and told her that this is really serious. I can't believe it's taken her this long to figure that out.

[dogbyte12]

I know Governor Blanco is acting like an idiot, but I do want to point out in her defense that she was the one who sent a letter to the President earlier today requesting FEMA/Federal Emergency Aid, and the President agreed to the request.

[newzjunkey]

I'll agree with that. The animals move on instinct and millions of years of experience. The damn computers are only as good as the programmers and mathematicians who dream up the models of what hurricanes are supposed to do based on what we assume about weather patterns. Whom to trust? Hmm... how about *nature* rather than 'science' in this case?

[SE Mom]

FINALLY- just heard a phone interview with the governor of LA...she said the president has declared a PRE hurricane emergency- apparently the first time that's ever happened...and that Max Mayfield had called HER..and said this is really, really serious.

She sounded a LOT more sober than she did this afternoon...I think SOMEONE got through to her...she's begging New Orleans residents to GET OUT.

[CajunConservative]

They are hypocrits.

[fatima]

Does that mean mandatory evac's?

[Mo1]

She also said Max Mayfield had called her and told her that this is really serious. I can't believe it's taken her this long to figure that out.

Where the hell has she been all day ??

I'm up in PA and I knew it was really serious from watching the news

[Gabz]

She also said Max Mayfield had called her and told her that this is really serious. I can't believe it's taken her this long to figure that out.

When she said that my first reaction was Mayfield realized that she wasn't taking this seriously.

[janetjanet998]

i am seeing the first signs of "outflow interference" on the NW and W outer edges..you can how the clouds are stationary rather then fanning out south of the central LA coast

[snowsislander]

She sounded a LOT more sober than she did this afternoon...I think SOMEONE got through to her...she's begging New Orleans residents to GET OUT.

I wonder how many will respond to her urgings now that it is 9:00pm CDT?

[Ernest_at_the_Beach]

She was just on FNC and said that the President declared a state of emergency

Her slow responses are causing an emergency!

[Ingtar]

She seems a bit north of the track again. Maybe my eyes are not what they used to be.

[Mo1]

I'm guessing so