Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III

NHC-NOAA ^ | 27 August 2005 | NHC-NOAA

[NautiNurse]

Hurricane Katrina continues to strengthen in the Gulf of Mexico. Currently, the forecast models are converging upon New Orleans. However, all interests in the northern Gulf of Mexico should follow the path of this storm, and be prepared for a major hurricane landfall. Throughout Friday, the official track forecasts moved west, as Hurricane Katrina delayed making the anticipated northwest turn.

The following links are self-updating.

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Buoy Data Florida
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi

Images:

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait

Mobile Long Range Radar Loop

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Radar

Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop

Northwest Florida Long Range Radar

Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop

Other Resources:

Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics

Live streaming:

WFOR-TV Miami: http://dayport.wm.llnwd.net/dayport_0025_live
WWL-TV New Orleans: mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
HurricaneCity.com: http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
WTSP-TV Tampa: mms://wmbcast.gannett.speedera.net/wmbcast.gannett/wmbcast_gannett_jan032005_0856_78183
WKRG-TV Mobile mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_jul072005_1144_93320

Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12

Category	Wind Speed	Barometric Pressure	Storm Surge	Damage Potential
Tropical Depression	< 39 mph < 34 kts			Minimal
Tropical Storm	39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts			Minimal
Hurricane 1 (Weak)	74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts	28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more	4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m	Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2 (Moderate)	96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts	28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb	6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m	Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3 (Strong)	111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts	27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb	9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m	Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4 (Very strong)	131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts	27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb	13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m	Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5 (Devastating)	Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts	Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb	Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m	Catastrophic building failures possible

[NautiNurse]

Good to know he is nearly finished with the chores. Prayers for a safe trip home.

[dawn53]

Jeb does a wonderful job during a hurricane. He's forceful and not afraid to back up an evacuation order, even if it means that after the fact the evacuation was not needed. Better safe than sorry.

Actually, I think it is up to the local governments of each county, or the EOC of each county to actually inact evacuation orders (at least that's how it is here in Florida.)

I do remember Jeb getting on the TV during one mandatory evac and telling the folks that if they stayed, from this point on, don't expect emergency help. They were on their own. I thought he has always done a great job convincing people to follow evacuation orders.

[eastforker]

I would hope so however I will still monitor,They predicted days ago the NO was in absolute no danger.

[Charge Carrier]

I'm flying from Houston to Mobile tomorrow afternoon on an Embraer ERJ-145. I wonder if there might be some risk for problems?

I just talked to Mobile Airport they said no problems flying in tomorrow afternoon.

[blam]

"Which LA? Louisiana or Los Angeles?"

Los Angeles, to arrive in Mobile at 2:43PM tomorrow.

[LA Woman3]

I haven't heard anything from Ascension parish.

[Ellesu]

Agree, I think he will not order a mandatory evacuation for the city at all, just "forcefully" suggest it.

[NautiNurse]

Glad to you could join us this evening.

[Miss Marple]

I have been folowing this all day. Prayers for all in the New Orleans area, and for anyone who has to deal with Katrina.

[mewzilla]

Jeb does a wonderful job during a hurricane.

Pity LA couldn't borrow him for a few days. Blanco doesn't exactly inspire confidence.

[CajunConservative]

Eddie was a smart politician, he would have done things differently. Yes he would have figured a way to get rich on selling ice but he could at least BS his way around the press conference to make sure people got out of harms way. Blanko can't seem to string two thoughts together as to what needs to be done in order to save lives. She is way out of her league.

[LA Woman3]

Oh please! You are so lucky to have Jeb!! In my opinion he is in training to be a POTUS!

[beyond the sea]

very rare

[NautiNurse]

arrival mid afternoon should be ok. Things are supposed to deteriorate over Louisiana later tomorrow.

[LA Woman3]

"Bring PB and J sandwiches with you and pray it away."


Well, you found your next tag line!!

[Types_with_Fist]

Blanko can't seem to string two thoughts together as to what needs to be done in order to save lives. She is way out of her league.

I don't doubt it. I saw her earlier. If there is a high body count because of a direct hit... it'll be because people trusted her.

[NautiNurse]

I actually read something earlier today about 275 animals being evacuated from a shelter in NO.

[LA Woman3]

Are you close to Lake Maurapas? That is a concern of mine...

[fooman]

http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weather/plots/storm_12.gif

model update

[mwp99]

The GFDL shifted slightly east, into near-perfect alignment with the NHC forecast track.