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Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III
NHC-NOAA ^ | 27 August 2005 | NHC-NOAA

Posted on 08/26/2005 10:25:04 PM PDT by NautiNurse

Hurricane Katrina continues to strengthen in the Gulf of Mexico. Currently, the forecast models are converging upon New Orleans. However, all interests in the northern Gulf of Mexico should follow the path of this storm, and be prepared for a major hurricane landfall. Throughout Friday, the official track forecasts moved west, as Hurricane Katrina delayed making the anticipated northwest turn.

The following links are self-updating.

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Buoy Data Florida
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi

Images:


New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait

Mobile Long Range Radar Loop

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Radar

Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop

Northwest Florida Long Range Radar

Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop

Other Resources:


Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics

Live streaming:


WFOR-TV Miami: http://dayport.wm.llnwd.net/dayport_0025_live
WWL-TV New Orleans: mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
HurricaneCity.com: http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
WTSP-TV Tampa: mms://wmbcast.gannett.speedera.net/wmbcast.gannett/wmbcast_gannett_jan032005_0856_78183
WKRG-TV Mobile mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_jul072005_1144_93320

Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Alabama; US: Florida; US: Louisiana; US: Mississippi; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: byebyebigeasy; hurricane; hurricanekatrina; katrina; livehurricanekatrina; miami; tropical; weather
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To: Dog Gone

If you know anybody there, tell them.

Otherwise, pray. I posted on my blog a request for prayer. That seems to be all one can do unless you are close or know somebody there.


1,141 posted on 08/27/2005 4:58:33 PM PDT by rwfromkansas (http://www.xanga.com/home.aspx?user=rwfromkansas)
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To: Tarheel

You are so right about Gov. Blanco. She is an idiot. I pray she hasn't caused people to be complacent and stay in New Orleans. I heard her on the radio and got so mad I almost beat my steering wheel to death!!!


1,142 posted on 08/27/2005 4:58:55 PM PDT by pollyg107
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To: NautiNurse

I'm flying from Houston to Mobile tomorrow afternoon on an Embraer ERJ-145. I wonder if there might be some risk for problems?


1,143 posted on 08/27/2005 4:59:15 PM PDT by Charge Carrier
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To: dawn53; Ellesu; NautiNurse
This pic is of a dog on the roof, wonder how he got there?

dog weathervane

;-)

1,144 posted on 08/27/2005 4:59:24 PM PDT by beyond the sea ("I was just the spark the universe chose ....." --- Cindy Sheehan (barf alert))
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To: LA Woman3

What about I-12 and below evacs? I am confuzzled.


1,145 posted on 08/27/2005 4:59:25 PM PDT by dogbyte12
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To: Shermy

Very scary--good find.


1,146 posted on 08/27/2005 4:59:29 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: eastforker

It's actually SUPPOSED to be heading NW tomorrow.

There isn't a single model with a landfall west of Eastern Louisiana and Katrina is already significantly N of that one...

Once you get a strong, well developed storm, really the model consensus these days for a 48 hour forecast is never so drastically wrong so as to have Katrina hitting Texas.


1,147 posted on 08/27/2005 4:59:35 PM PDT by Strategerist
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To: NautiNurse

Hi NautiNurse,Thank you for your work on these threads.I am following down the shore.We are in Ocean City New Jersey for the weekend.


1,148 posted on 08/27/2005 4:59:39 PM PDT by fatima
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To: LA Woman3

What has Ronnie Hughes or whoever is in charge of Ascension Parish saying?


1,149 posted on 08/27/2005 4:59:50 PM PDT by Ellesu (www.thedeadpelican.com)
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To: NautiNurse

He's helping some older relatives secure their property and then will be bringing them to our house here in Acadiana. And hopefully we won't all have to evacuate from here because we've made no plans. That's why I've been here with you guys, so I can give him the best info. Told him how prime the highways are looking right now and hopefully, they'll get out of there within the next hour or two.


1,150 posted on 08/27/2005 5:00:37 PM PDT by LibSnubber (liberal democrats are domestic terrorists)
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To: Types_with_Fist

adults steppin in. mayB LA could rent jeb


1,151 posted on 08/27/2005 5:00:51 PM PDT by fooman (Get real with Kim Jung Mentally Ill about proliferation)
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To: Charge Carrier

Shouldn't be a problem if it's not too late in the day. Will keep an eye out for winds picking up. This storm has really grown in size today, with winds in excess of 34 mph extending outward 160 miles. Will also need to watch for feeder bands.


1,152 posted on 08/27/2005 5:02:56 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: pollyg107

You are so right about Gov. Blanco. She is an idiot. I pray she hasn't caused people to be complacent and stay in New Orleans. I heard her on the radio and got so mad I almost beat my steering wheel to death!!!



"Bring PB and J sandwiches with you and pray it away."


1,153 posted on 08/27/2005 5:03:13 PM PDT by Ellesu (www.thedeadpelican.com)
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To: mwp99
He's talking about various path scenarios and mentioning 20 ft. of water entering Lakes Catherine and Pontchartrain. ---

***

Unreal (amazing)

1,154 posted on 08/27/2005 5:04:06 PM PDT by beyond the sea ("I was just the spark the universe chose ....." --- Cindy Sheehan (barf alert))
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To: fooman
adults steppin in. mayB LA could rent jeb

Good point!

1,155 posted on 08/27/2005 5:04:14 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: dogbyte12

St. Tammany Parish....south of I-12....Lake Ponchatrain is expected to have large storm surge.


1,156 posted on 08/27/2005 5:04:26 PM PDT by LA Woman3
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To: Ellesu

weather channel just said the mayor will make a decision rather to evac. NO tomorrow morning..WTF?....way too late


1,157 posted on 08/27/2005 5:04:52 PM PDT by janetjanet998
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To: LA Woman3

oh shoot. I am in ascension below I-12. Was wondering if they were going to make me scadaddle.


1,158 posted on 08/27/2005 5:05:13 PM PDT by dogbyte12
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To: Ellesu

See radar photo on Drudge site. This hurricane is so huge, it appears to have two eyes! And it's pull is so strong you can see in the latest radar photo how great it's pull is, pulling in clouds(strength) from the Atlantic ocean and even on the west side of South America !! IMO, people in New Orleans NEED to evacuate now. Your supplies won't last the time it will take for the water to go down and electricity to be repaired, etc.


1,159 posted on 08/27/2005 5:05:30 PM PDT by SunnySide (Ephes2:8 ByGraceYou'veBeenSavedThruFaithAGiftOfGodSoNoOneCanBoast)
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To: Ellesu
New coordinates show a bump to the north which, given how erratic this storm has been, may or may not mean anything.
1,160 posted on 08/27/2005 5:05:45 PM PDT by gov_bean_ counter (Can we swap Cindy Sheehan in Crawford for Cindy Crawford anywhere?)
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