Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III

NHC-NOAA ^ | 27 August 2005 | NHC-NOAA

[NautiNurse]

Hurricane Katrina continues to strengthen in the Gulf of Mexico. Currently, the forecast models are converging upon New Orleans. However, all interests in the northern Gulf of Mexico should follow the path of this storm, and be prepared for a major hurricane landfall. Throughout Friday, the official track forecasts moved west, as Hurricane Katrina delayed making the anticipated northwest turn.

The following links are self-updating.

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Buoy Data Florida
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi

Images:

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait

Mobile Long Range Radar Loop

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Radar

Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop

Northwest Florida Long Range Radar

Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop

Other Resources:

Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics

Live streaming:

WFOR-TV Miami: http://dayport.wm.llnwd.net/dayport_0025_live
WWL-TV New Orleans: mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
HurricaneCity.com: http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
WTSP-TV Tampa: mms://wmbcast.gannett.speedera.net/wmbcast.gannett/wmbcast_gannett_jan032005_0856_78183
WKRG-TV Mobile mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_jul072005_1144_93320

Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12

Category	Wind Speed	Barometric Pressure	Storm Surge	Damage Potential
Tropical Depression	< 39 mph < 34 kts			Minimal
Tropical Storm	39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts			Minimal
Hurricane 1 (Weak)	74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts	28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more	4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m	Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2 (Moderate)	96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts	28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb	6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m	Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3 (Strong)	111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts	27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb	9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m	Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4 (Very strong)	131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts	27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb	13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m	Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5 (Devastating)	Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts	Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb	Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m	Catastrophic building failures possible

[LibSnubber]

"I hope they string that damned governor up afterward."

I'm with you. I can't wait for her ONLY term to be over. If anyone deserves to be hung up by her toes, it's that incompetent boob.

[ErnBatavia]

I love watching these threads, Nauti...lots of relatives in the south Alabama area.

Given that, I'm more than happy to be here in the Southern California sweltering desert (check my page for current Palm Springs temps) not worrying about such things at home.

(Not gonna mention that San Andreas Fault that I can actually see "down cove" about 15 miles away!)

[NautiNurse]

What are his plans to leave the area?

[Types_with_Fist]

Could be worse, I suppose. The state could still have Eddie. He'd be out there selling ice to the survivors for $20 a pop.

[mwp99]

FOX 8 New Orleans just said low-lying areas in Hancock are under mandatory evacuation.

[tiredoflaundry]

My prayers for all in Katrina's path!

[LA Woman3]

I just heard that!! Evacuations for everyone south of I-12???

[NautiNurse]

It's tough to have relatives in and around the path of these storms. Glad you could join us this evening.

[rwfromkansas]

A meteorologist, David Tolleris

[mwp99]

Are you staying?

Probably not. I'll leave before daybreak if I do. I may go all the way home to North Carolina and take a week's vacation!

[yield 2 the right]

They've dodged so many bullets before. The things have always turned. Usually, in these discussions, others and I always fear the worst -- a direct hit at New Orleans. In the past, others more knowledgeable have pointed out that the storms would go elsewhere. I'm not hearing or seeing that this time and the fact that the governor didn't sound alarmed and the fact that The Quarter is active and that most are not leaving is scary as hell. This... just... isn't... good at all.

The same thing happen in the years before 1992's Hurricane Andrew for South Florida..and well, the rest is history.

[eastforker]

If it continues through the day tommorow on a west NW trail it is time for Texas to take notice.

[juzcuz]

Bob Breck Links hurricane tracking he had this on his weather screen.

bobbreck.com/phone

http://www.fox8tv.net

[Tarheel]

Here in NC, 40 East is reversed to 40 West, doubling the poential to get out. Guess the moron state gov't civil servants haven't figured that one out yet.

I don't know if you saw any of the press conferences the LA governor gave today, if you did you would understand why things are not moving along in a rational way. The governor s/b removed from office. She was incompetent to the point of saying "this will be a positive experience for all of us if we work together".

[pollyg107]

I just got home and checked in here. The court sitting and banquet I was supposed to go to in New Orleans on Monday has been cancelled, and all of my friends and co-workers from New Orleans are headed out of town -- at least I hope they are. I got my house ready to hold refugees if needed and the shelter is already open in the church a couple of miles from my house. Thanks to all of you for this thread.

[Shermy]

Here's an interesting article. If the physics are right, N.O. could be vastly damaged.

A major hurricane could decimate the region, but flooding from even a moderate storm could kill thousands. It's just a matter of time.

[onyx]

Prayers for all in Katrina's path!

DITTO

[rwfromkansas]

It sure would not be a surprise if NO got lucky and the storm comes in more to the east than forecast.

That happens all the time.

But, the models are in rare agreement.

[Ellesu]

Me Too!

[steve86]

Wish I could help evacuate children and pets -- the stupid adults can stay there if they're that determined to populate Katrina Cemetery (wonder where that will be developed with all the swamps around there).