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Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III
NHC-NOAA ^ | 27 August 2005 | NHC-NOAA

Posted on 08/26/2005 10:25:04 PM PDT by NautiNurse

Hurricane Katrina continues to strengthen in the Gulf of Mexico. Currently, the forecast models are converging upon New Orleans. However, all interests in the northern Gulf of Mexico should follow the path of this storm, and be prepared for a major hurricane landfall. Throughout Friday, the official track forecasts moved west, as Hurricane Katrina delayed making the anticipated northwest turn.

The following links are self-updating.

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Buoy Data Florida
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi

Images:


New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait

Mobile Long Range Radar Loop

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Radar

Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop

Northwest Florida Long Range Radar

Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop

Other Resources:


Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics

Live streaming:


WFOR-TV Miami: http://dayport.wm.llnwd.net/dayport_0025_live
WWL-TV New Orleans: mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
HurricaneCity.com: http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
WTSP-TV Tampa: mms://wmbcast.gannett.speedera.net/wmbcast.gannett/wmbcast_gannett_jan032005_0856_78183
WKRG-TV Mobile mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_jul072005_1144_93320

Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Alabama; US: Florida; US: Louisiana; US: Mississippi; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: byebyebigeasy; hurricane; hurricanekatrina; katrina; livehurricanekatrina; miami; tropical; weather
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To: BurbankKarl

Please post links to the cams--they hang up the thread


1,101 posted on 08/27/2005 4:42:41 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: BurbankKarl

Looks like the 10 East is blocked.

1,102 posted on 08/27/2005 4:42:52 PM PDT by BurbankKarl
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To: dawn53
Thanks for the pics. This pic is of a dog on the roof, wonder how he got there?

Very carefully.

1,103 posted on 08/27/2005 4:42:57 PM PDT by numberonepal (Don't Even Think About Treading On Me)
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To: BurbankKarl

stop already with the cams--they are hanging up the thread badly


1,104 posted on 08/27/2005 4:43:45 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: Dog Gone

OK...will know more in the AM...


1,105 posted on 08/27/2005 4:44:43 PM PDT by shield (The Greatest Scientific Discoveries of the Century Reveal God!!!! by Dr. H. Ross, Astrophysicist)
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To: dawn53
Why the heck can't they reverse southbound traffic? Jeez, 5 of 6 northbound lanes are literally a parking lot. And the southbound lanes are ... empty.

Here in NC, 40 East is reversed to 40 West, doubling the poential to get out. Guess the moron state gov't civil servants haven't figured that one out yet.

1,106 posted on 08/27/2005 4:45:42 PM PDT by Swanks
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To: Ellesu

Are you listening to 870 and the complaints about the road blocks etc. from the contraflow? This state trooper doesn't sound like he has a clue about the contraflow.


It is maddening!
And quite talking about the margin of error with the computer models when you are encouraging people to evacuate!!


1,107 posted on 08/27/2005 4:45:57 PM PDT by LA Woman3
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To: NautiNurse

You need to switch to decaf


1,108 posted on 08/27/2005 4:46:06 PM PDT by BurbankKarl
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To: juzcuz
Wow. Bob really said this?

Jim Cantore was just as doom and gloom on the Weather Channel.

I found live streaming video from WWL, but not Fox, so I can't watch Bob live (I'm in Houston). Thanks for the comments.

1,109 posted on 08/27/2005 4:46:44 PM PDT by LincolnLover
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FNC: Pres. Bush has just issued a state of emergency for LA


1,110 posted on 08/27/2005 4:47:08 PM PDT by LibSnubber (liberal democrats are domestic terrorists)
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To: nwctwx
The significance of your post just hit me. Camille was 909mb when she made landfall in '69. Damn, this is going to be bad. Understatement of the year.

TAW

1,111 posted on 08/27/2005 4:47:19 PM PDT by Malichi (!)
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To: numberonepal; dawn53

doggy paddle


1,112 posted on 08/27/2005 4:47:29 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: juzcuz
Fox: Bob Breck

He's talking about various path scenarios and mentioning 20 ft. of water entering Lakes Catherine and Pontchartrain.
1,113 posted on 08/27/2005 4:47:29 PM PDT by mwp99
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To: mwp99

Are you staying?

I haven't heard of any notices of Evac's in MS..


1,114 posted on 08/27/2005 4:48:53 PM PDT by juzcuz
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To: LibSnubber

that's big


1,115 posted on 08/27/2005 4:49:00 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: NautiNurse

I know. I've been trying to stay calm (my hubby is still in Slidell right on Lake Ponchartrain) but when Paige ? said that FEMA was being mobilized, I got a cold chill.


1,116 posted on 08/27/2005 4:50:40 PM PDT by LibSnubber (liberal democrats are domestic terrorists)
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To: LibSnubber
FNC: Pres. Bush has just issued a state of emergency for LA

Rut-Roh. That's not very comforting at all. They know how bad this is going to be. I hope they string that damned governor up afterward.

1,117 posted on 08/27/2005 4:51:15 PM PDT by Types_with_Fist (I'm on FReep so often that when I read an article at another site I scroll down for the comments.)
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To: mwp99
Hurricane Katrina Intermediate Advisory Number 18a

Statement as of 7:00 PM CDT on August 27, 2005

...Dangerous Hurricane Katrina begins to move toward the
west-northwest...

A Hurricane Watch is in effect along the northern Gulf Coast from
Intracoastal City to the Alabama-Florida border. 

 
A Hurricane Warning will likely be required for portions of the
northern Gulf Coast later tonight. Interests in this area should
monitor the progress of Katrina.

 
For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.

 

At 7 PM CDT...0000z...the center of Hurricane Katrina was located
near latitude 24.8 north...longitude  85.9 west or about  360 miles
southeast of the mouth of the Mississippi River.

 
Katrina has begun to move toward the west-northwest near 7 mph. 
This general motion should continue tonight and Sunday.

 
Maximum sustained winds are near 115 mph...with higher gusts. 
Katrina is a category three hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
scale.  Strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours...and
Katrina could become a category four hurricane later tonight or
Sunday.

 
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to  45 miles from the
center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 160
miles.  NOAA buoy 42003 located northwest of the center recently
reported sustained winds of 54 mph with a gust to 64 mph and
25-foot waves.

 
The latest minimum central pressure reported by an Air Force
reconnaissance plane was 944 mb...27.88 inches.

 
Data from buoys indicate that 12-foot waves are already approaching
portions of the northern Gulf Coast. Storm surge flooding along the
southwestern coast of Florida should subside tonight.

 
Katrina is expected to produce additional rainfall amounts of 3 to
5 inches over extreme western Cuba...and 1 to 3 inches of rainfall
is expected over the Yucatan Peninsula.  Heavy rains from Katrina
should begin to affect the central Gulf Coast Sunday evening.
Rainfall totals of 5 to 10 inches...with isolated maximum amounts
of 15 inches...are possible across the central Gulf Coast.

 
Repeating the 7 PM CDT position...24.8 N... 85.9 W.  Movement
toward...west-northwest near  7 mph.  Maximum sustained winds...115
mph.  Minimum central pressure... 944 mb.

 
The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at
10 PM CDT.

 
Forecaster Avila

1,118 posted on 08/27/2005 4:51:23 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: All
all..
it seems like there were a rush of people at the very start but the roads look dead now...most are NOT leaving yet..this is NOT looking good...when they wake in the AM this will be a CaT 4 with 135 plus winds heading NW towards them...the highways will be a parking lot.....the storm is huge area wise and tropical frce winds could be moving in as ealry as 24-30 hours from now
1,119 posted on 08/27/2005 4:51:42 PM PDT by janetjanet998
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To: LA Woman3

Politico from St. Tammany is saying NHC is telling him 14-18 foot storm surge for coastal Louisiana.


1,120 posted on 08/27/2005 4:52:39 PM PDT by Ellesu (www.thedeadpelican.com)
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