Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III

NHC-NOAA ^ | 27 August 2005 | NHC-NOAA

[NautiNurse]

Hurricane Katrina continues to strengthen in the Gulf of Mexico. Currently, the forecast models are converging upon New Orleans. However, all interests in the northern Gulf of Mexico should follow the path of this storm, and be prepared for a major hurricane landfall. Throughout Friday, the official track forecasts moved west, as Hurricane Katrina delayed making the anticipated northwest turn.

The following links are self-updating.

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Buoy Data Florida
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi

Images:

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait

Mobile Long Range Radar Loop

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Radar

Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop

Northwest Florida Long Range Radar

Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop

Other Resources:

Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics

Live streaming:

WFOR-TV Miami: http://dayport.wm.llnwd.net/dayport_0025_live
WWL-TV New Orleans: mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
HurricaneCity.com: http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
WTSP-TV Tampa: mms://wmbcast.gannett.speedera.net/wmbcast.gannett/wmbcast_gannett_jan032005_0856_78183
WKRG-TV Mobile mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_jul072005_1144_93320

Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12

Category	Wind Speed	Barometric Pressure	Storm Surge	Damage Potential
Tropical Depression	< 39 mph < 34 kts			Minimal
Tropical Storm	39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts			Minimal
Hurricane 1 (Weak)	74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts	28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more	4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m	Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2 (Moderate)	96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts	28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb	6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m	Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3 (Strong)	111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts	27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb	9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m	Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4 (Very strong)	131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts	27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb	13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m	Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5 (Devastating)	Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts	Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb	Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m	Catastrophic building failures possible

[juzcuz]

Fox: Bob Breck

"Why are we scaring you to death?"

"Because we have never seen this potential in a Storm in Modern Times."

[dawn53]

Thanks for the pics. This pic is of a dog on the roof, wonder how he got there?

http://www.st-bernard.la.us/emprep/betsy/Betsy-11032-12-sm.jpg

[dogbyte12]

I hope it's a bit east. I am a little inland, but half of that is marsh, so if the storm does enter in Houma, I am going to get some nasty nasty weather. It will likely be a Cat 1 when it hits here.

I just want to be on the west of the eye. That is my big concern.

[janetjanet998]

i think gilbert 888mb is the atlantic basic record...
its 944 MB and soon to bomb out again when the new eye is complete ending up who knows how low>br> again traffic cams in NO show light traffic....most people are staying put it seems

[Termite_Commander]

Here's the link.

Most Intense Storms

[Dog Gone]

I cannot imagine a scenario where Houston or Galveston gets anything out of this storm except surf. A hurricane can't punch into a high. It just can't.

Katrina had two choices, swing north to Louisiana or head west into Central America.

She's going to go north, if she hasn't already.

[LA Woman3]

Are you getting worried?

[myprecious]

I was in Pensacola during Opal. The 10 o'clock news said we were safely to the west and everyone went to bed. The 11 'clock report came through online and Opal had changed her mind and was headed our way with great power.

I got my hammer and nails and proceeded to start banging up my plywood. One by one the neighbors woke up and turned on the lights. Soon we were all out getting ready.

I worried they would be upset, but it turned out to be the right move.

Opal tore through early the next morning. She was a cat 5 until just offshore, then politely stalled out to about 115 mph. We got lucky.

[beyond the sea]

It wasn't you.

[Ellesu]

Are you listening to 870 and the complaints about the road blocks etc. from the contraflow? This state trooper doesn't sound like he has a clue about the contraflow.

[NautiNurse]

OMG! In all the times I have seen that pic--never noticed the dog on the roof. Always thought the focus of the photo was the Flood Street sign.

[mewzilla]

Still haven't found the lowest, but here's an interesting link with the pressures of 'canes from 1900 to 2004, all 4's and 5's with pressures under 965mb.

[Termite_Commander]

Alright then, I'm off to do some other stuff.

Prayers for everybody down there. Stay safe!

[LA Woman3]

Oh no! Not a good sign! I think many are waiting to see what happens tonight. Last year during Ivan, those that waited and left in the early morning hours had an easier evacuation. Lets hope that is what's happening...

[beyond the sea]

HUGE

[blam]

Bump for 'Charge Carrier'.

My son, FReeper 'Charge Carrier', is flying from LA to Houston to Mobile tomorrow morning. Please give him what-ever- advice you can about his travels and the hurricane. I have bumped him to this thread and will call him on the phone shortly to let him know to check in here. Thanks.

[BurbankKarl]

[Ellesu]

Not so much for myself, but for those that stay in New Orleans, those that wait too late to get out and are on the roads when she hits. And there will be those that can't wait until the all clear to go outside and take a peek and get killed by falling trees, car accidents etc.

And then the tax increase Blanco will say is needed to repair the damage.

[NautiNurse]

Which LA? Louisiana or Los Angeles?

[mewzilla]

Thanks for the link! 944's suddenly looking pretty low :(