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Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III
NHC-NOAA ^ | 27 August 2005 | NHC-NOAA

Posted on 08/26/2005 10:25:04 PM PDT by NautiNurse

Hurricane Katrina continues to strengthen in the Gulf of Mexico. Currently, the forecast models are converging upon New Orleans. However, all interests in the northern Gulf of Mexico should follow the path of this storm, and be prepared for a major hurricane landfall. Throughout Friday, the official track forecasts moved west, as Hurricane Katrina delayed making the anticipated northwest turn.

The following links are self-updating.

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Buoy Data Florida
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi

Images:


New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait

Mobile Long Range Radar Loop

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Radar

Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop

Northwest Florida Long Range Radar

Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop

Other Resources:


Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics

Live streaming:


WFOR-TV Miami: http://dayport.wm.llnwd.net/dayport_0025_live
WWL-TV New Orleans: mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
HurricaneCity.com: http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
WTSP-TV Tampa: mms://wmbcast.gannett.speedera.net/wmbcast.gannett/wmbcast_gannett_jan032005_0856_78183
WKRG-TV Mobile mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_jul072005_1144_93320

Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Alabama; US: Florida; US: Louisiana; US: Mississippi; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: byebyebigeasy; hurricane; hurricanekatrina; katrina; livehurricanekatrina; miami; tropical; weather
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To: All

Fox: Bob Breck

"Why are we scaring you to death?"

"Because we have never seen this potential in a Storm in Modern Times."



1,081 posted on 08/27/2005 4:35:02 PM PDT by juzcuz
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To: Ellesu

Thanks for the pics. This pic is of a dog on the roof, wonder how he got there?

http://www.st-bernard.la.us/emprep/betsy/Betsy-11032-12-sm.jpg


1,082 posted on 08/27/2005 4:35:09 PM PDT by dawn53
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To: Ingtar
I hope it's a bit east. I am a little inland, but half of that is marsh, so if the storm does enter in Houma, I am going to get some nasty nasty weather. It will likely be a Cat 1 when it hits here.

I just want to be on the west of the eye. That is my big concern.

1,083 posted on 08/27/2005 4:35:22 PM PDT by dogbyte12
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To: mewzilla
i think gilbert 888mb is the atlantic basic record...
its 944 MB and soon to bomb out again when the new eye is complete ending up who knows how low>br> again traffic cams in NO show light traffic....most people are staying put it seems
1,084 posted on 08/27/2005 4:35:38 PM PDT by janetjanet998
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To: mewzilla
Here's the link.

Most Intense Storms
1,085 posted on 08/27/2005 4:36:05 PM PDT by Termite_Commander (Warning: Cynical Right-winger Ahead)
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To: shield
I cannot imagine a scenario where Houston or Galveston gets anything out of this storm except surf. A hurricane can't punch into a high. It just can't.

Katrina had two choices, swing north to Louisiana or head west into Central America.

She's going to go north, if she hasn't already.

1,086 posted on 08/27/2005 4:36:15 PM PDT by Dog Gone
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To: Ellesu

Are you getting worried?


1,087 posted on 08/27/2005 4:36:18 PM PDT by LA Woman3
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To: Ellesu
I was in Pensacola during Opal. The 10 o'clock news said we were safely to the west and everyone went to bed. The 11 'clock report came through online and Opal had changed her mind and was headed our way with great power.

I got my hammer and nails and proceeded to start banging up my plywood. One by one the neighbors woke up and turned on the lights. Soon we were all out getting ready.

I worried they would be upset, but it turned out to be the right move.

Opal tore through early the next morning. She was a cat 5 until just offshore, then politely stalled out to about 115 mph. We got lucky.

1,088 posted on 08/27/2005 4:36:35 PM PDT by myprecious
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To: bitty

It wasn't you.


1,089 posted on 08/27/2005 4:37:24 PM PDT by beyond the sea ("I was just the spark the universe chose ....." --- Cindy Sheehan (barf alert))
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To: LA Woman3

Are you listening to 870 and the complaints about the road blocks etc. from the contraflow? This state trooper doesn't sound like he has a clue about the contraflow.


1,090 posted on 08/27/2005 4:37:47 PM PDT by Ellesu (www.thedeadpelican.com)
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To: dawn53

OMG! In all the times I have seen that pic--never noticed the dog on the roof. Always thought the focus of the photo was the Flood Street sign.


1,091 posted on 08/27/2005 4:38:19 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: Termite_Commander
Still haven't found the lowest, but here's an interesting link with the pressures of 'canes from 1900 to 2004, all 4's and 5's with pressures under 965mb.
1,092 posted on 08/27/2005 4:38:25 PM PDT by mewzilla (Property must be secured or liberty cannot exist. John Adams)
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To: Termite_Commander
Alright then, I'm off to do some other stuff.

Prayers for everybody down there. Stay safe!
1,093 posted on 08/27/2005 4:39:28 PM PDT by Termite_Commander (Warning: Cynical Right-winger Ahead)
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To: mewzilla

Oh no! Not a good sign! I think many are waiting to see what happens tonight. Last year during Ivan, those that waited and left in the early morning hours had an easier evacuation. Lets hope that is what's happening...


1,094 posted on 08/27/2005 4:39:36 PM PDT by LA Woman3
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To: rang1995
HUGE
1,095 posted on 08/27/2005 4:39:55 PM PDT by beyond the sea ("I was just the spark the universe chose ....." --- Cindy Sheehan (barf alert))
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To: NautiNurse; Charge Carrier
Bump for 'Charge Carrier'.

My son, FReeper 'Charge Carrier', is flying from LA to Houston to Mobile tomorrow morning. Please give him what-ever- advice you can about his travels and the hurricane. I have bumped him to this thread and will call him on the phone shortly to let him know to check in here. Thanks.

1,096 posted on 08/27/2005 4:40:08 PM PDT by blam
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To: NautiNurse

1,097 posted on 08/27/2005 4:40:19 PM PDT by BurbankKarl
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To: LA Woman3
Not so much for myself, but for those that stay in New Orleans, those that wait too late to get out and are on the roads when she hits. And there will be those that can't wait until the all clear to go outside and take a peek and get killed by falling trees, car accidents etc.

And then the tax increase Blanco will say is needed to repair the damage.
1,098 posted on 08/27/2005 4:41:20 PM PDT by Ellesu (www.thedeadpelican.com)
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To: blam

Which LA? Louisiana or Los Angeles?


1,099 posted on 08/27/2005 4:41:27 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: Termite_Commander

Thanks for the link! 944's suddenly looking pretty low :(


1,100 posted on 08/27/2005 4:41:51 PM PDT by mewzilla (Property must be secured or liberty cannot exist. John Adams)
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