Posted on 07/16/2005 1:33:53 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Hurricanes Emily and Dennis are the strongest July storms in recorded history for the Atlantic hurricane basin...
Hurricane Emily resources--the links are self-updating for handy reference:
NHC Hurricane Public Advisory Updates Currently published every three hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, 5P, etc. ET.
NHC Hurricane Discussion Updates Published every 6 hours 5A, 11A, 5P, 11P ET
Storm Floater IR Loop Little boxes at top of image: lat/lon, and Trop Fcst Pts--click 'em.
Caribbean Visible Loop (Only works during daylight hours)
Storm Floater Sat Both loop and latest image
Jamaica Weather Has a few still radar images
Cancun Radar Very Slow Load
Another Cancun Radar another Very Slow Load
Emily Forecast Track Archive Loop Great for reviewing the NHC 3 day and 5 day historic track positions
Global Satellite Imagery Amazing view of the world (Broadband)
Water Vapor SatelliteAnother colorful loop for broadband
Central Florida Hurricane Center offers a variety of info
| Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure |
Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 (weak) |
75 - 95 mph 65 - 82 kts 33 - 42 m/s |
> 28.94 in. Hg > 980.0 mb > 97.7 kPa |
4.0 - 5.0 ft. 1.2 - 1.5 m |
minimal damage to vegetation |
| 2 (moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts 43 - 49 m/s |
28.50 - 28.93 in. Hg 965.1 - 979.7 mb 96.2 - 97.7 kPa |
6.0 - 8.0 ft. 1.8 - 2.4 m |
moderate damage to houses |
| 3 (strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 113 kts 50 - 58 m/s |
27.91 - 28.49 in. Hg 945.1 - 964.8 mb 96.2 - 97.7 kPa |
9.0 - 12.0 ft. 2.7 - 3.7 m |
extensive damage to small buildings |
| 4 (very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 114 - 135 kts 59 - 69 m/s |
27.17 - 27.90 in. Hg 920.1 - 944.8 mb 91.7 - 94.2 kPa |
13.0 - 18.0 ft. 3.9 - 5.5 m |
extreme structural damage |
| 5 (devastating) |
> 155 mph > 135 kts > 70 m/s |
< 27.17 in Hg < 920.1 mb < 91.7 kPa |
> 18.0 ft > 5.5 m |
catastrophic building failures possible |
Assuming she stays on the same track, she will go over about ~150 miles of the Yucatan. At 18mph, it will take 8.33 hours to cross.
It's about 200 miles to that point now, so... about 11.5 hours till she hits the GOM.
Is anybody besides me shocked at the stupid people down in Cancun that the TV has been showing? The ones who keep saying "We didn't know a storm was coming?"
http://www.msc-smc.ec.gc.ca/education/msi/m3/multimedia/m3-145e.jpg
The numbers correspond to the direction on a compass. 295 is a hair N of WNW.
Must be a mistake..
I saw a tourist sitting in the lobby of a hotel, that said, "I'm sitting right here by the window so I can see the hurricane. I've never seen one before." Hee-Hee-Hee
I think she's going to see more than she bargained for.
One word: tequila
I don't have a link, but 295/16 means that Emily is moving at a heading of 295 degrees at 16 mph.
Headings are compass directions: due north is 0 degrees; due east is 90, due south is 180, due west is 270, and due north is 360, whereupon you reset to 0.
NW would be 270 + 45 = 315. WNW would be halfway between due west and NW, or 292.5. So the direction given, 295, approximates WNW.
Not me. From what I've heard about Cancun, most of the people who go down there fall into two categories.
1. They don't pay attention to the news at all.
2. They are otherwise too preoccupied with their activities to notice anything.
Since the people who do pay attention left, all you have are these groups.
I saw her! What a dumba$$. Take a GOOD look at her. She won't be there in the morning!
Just imagine if you were related to her and saw her on the news saying that.
If you were flying from the United States, what IS the last thing you do before you go out the door?
So, the proverbial shallow end of the gene pool?
That is pretty foolish..
As others have stated, I would guess there are many in Cancun who have never watched a day of news in their life. ;-) Several of my friends went there for Spring Break during college, and their stories included very little about anything other than partying.
Last time I was there, the only TV channel in English was CNN. Then you get to normal oblivion from the fun in the sun and rum and tequila. (This is assuming they had some kind of snap to begin with.)
Looking at supplemental recon, the plane found winds of 161mph in the NE quad recently... appears she is strengthening.
These are people who flew to Cancun AFTER Emily became a hurricane -- like within the last day or so!
I was thinking more of a lack of oxygen in the brain due to, ahem, exercise.
http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/uploads/post-332-1121658486.jpg
Looks like the eye is trying to come back out of hiding on IR.
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