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Hurricane Dennis
NHC-NOAA ^ | 6 Jult 2005 | NHC

Posted on 07/06/2005 2:57:36 PM PDT by NautiNurse

Hurricane Dennis heading toward the Gulf of Mexico

Caribbean IR Satellite Loop

GOM IR Satellite Loop


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Alabama; US: Florida; US: Louisiana; US: Mississippi; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: dennis; hurricane; hurricanedennis; tropical; weather
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To: STARWISE; Sam Cree

I'm in Houston. Dr. Neil has been with KHOU here since 1987.

http://www.khou.com/insidekhou/newsteam/dfrank.html


61 posted on 07/06/2005 4:37:33 PM PDT by Flyer (I'm looking for the FReeper that recommended Glory brand canned greens)
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To: Xenophobic Alien

You can always go to http://www.wunderground.com

click on Tropical Weather, and one of the links under each storm is "historical" data.


62 posted on 07/06/2005 4:37:49 PM PDT by dawn53
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To: nwctwx

wow...that didnt take long for them to upgrade it to a Hurricane...

their update is 547 PM!


63 posted on 07/06/2005 4:38:11 PM PDT by MikefromOhio (Sleep in peace, comrades dear...)
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To: MikeinIraq

bookmark


64 posted on 07/06/2005 4:42:04 PM PDT by varina davis
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To: Flyer

I remember when he left Miami...the NHC hasn't been the same since.


65 posted on 07/06/2005 4:42:16 PM PDT by Sam Cree (Democrats are herd animals)
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To: All; MikeinIraq

984mb

---

URNT12 KNHC 062323
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 06/23:05:10Z
B. 16 deg 12 min N
072 deg 43 min W
C. 700 mb 2955 m
D. NA kt
E. deg nm
F. 046 deg 063 kt
G. 320 deg 013 nm
H. 984 mb
I. 10 C/ 3050 m
J. 12 C/ 3050 m
K. 10 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 12345/ 7
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF302 0104A DENNIS OB 20
MAX FL WIND 79 KT NE QUAD 21:27:30 Z
SPIRAL BAND IN LOW CLOUD PATTERN APPROX 5 NM NORTH OF FLT LVL FIX


66 posted on 07/06/2005 4:42:19 PM PDT by nwctwx
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To: NautiNurse

As Horace Greely once said, "Go west, young man".


67 posted on 07/06/2005 4:43:33 PM PDT by Tall_Texan (Visit Club Gitmo - The World's Only Air-Conditioned Gulag.)
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To: Strategerist

lol, it can be annoying when they pick up on stuff... especially the second time around. I still remember the graphics for "Ivan the Terrible" quite well.


68 posted on 07/06/2005 4:43:42 PM PDT by nwctwx
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To: Sam Cree
at least there should be signs that one ought to be alert for.

Absolutely, and most of us around here are aware of them. Those are the "tornado alert" situations when conditions are favorable to their formation. The time between "favorable" and "formation" and funnel on the ground gives you time to take shelter, but there is no time to evacuate the area.

69 posted on 07/06/2005 4:44:29 PM PDT by Bahbah (Something wicked this way comes)
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To: Xenophobic Alien

http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/atlantic/

Another good one for historical tracks, back to 1851.


70 posted on 07/06/2005 4:45:27 PM PDT by nwctwx
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To: nwctwx

these next 4-5 days are going to be interesting...

I would say that anyone living on the GulfMex coast needs to be prepared.....


71 posted on 07/06/2005 4:46:58 PM PDT by MikefromOhio (Sleep in peace, comrades dear...)
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To: Flyer
To me, as it as all afternoon, it still looks like it's almost splitting -- like an embryo into twins.

(RIGHT CLICK ON VIEW IMAGE --WON'T POST)

This one takes a few secs to load Java, AFTER you RIGHT CLICK ON VIEW IMAGE.

Anyone think there's anything to that splitting appearance?

72 posted on 07/06/2005 4:47:17 PM PDT by STARWISE ( You get the govt. you deserve. CALL YOUR CONGRESS CRITTERS OFTEN -U.S. CONGRESS: 1-877-762-8762)
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To: Xenophobic Alien; dawn53
Finally found the site where you can query everything about previous storms:

Historical Hurricane Tracks

Takes a bit of time to load. Once you put in your initial parameters, then it provides you the options for calendar parameters.

73 posted on 07/06/2005 4:47:32 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: libtoken

Dennis does seem to be following the same path as Ivan.


74 posted on 07/06/2005 4:48:18 PM PDT by ncpatriot
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To: MikeinIraq

More of the models are in agreement now that the ridge in the east will build south and west towards the end of the storms time over water. It will be crucial to see how far north it gets before that happens. It's possible that we see a NW track for a while, shifting back to WNW near the end. I still think this comes in somewhere from the LA/TX border to the AL/FL border... favoring the western end of that region.


75 posted on 07/06/2005 4:48:28 PM PDT by nwctwx
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To: ClearBlueSky
You certainly make good points. Evacuating probably isn't necessary for a Category 1 or 2 storm. It won't be fun to stay, but if you're careful, and not in a very low area or on the beach, you'll ride it out and have some good tales to tell at work in a day or two.

And the "perfect storm" that destroys a city is a statistical improbability. We did lose Galveston a century ago and we could lose most of it again despite the construction of the famous seawall. Tampa, Mobile, New Orleans, Houston, and Corpus Christi could all be disasters, but only if the storm is abnormally big and approaches from the angle which forces vast amounts of water inland.

What I don't get is why people own mobile homes within 20 miles of the Gulf. They're just asking for it because they don't require major hurricane status to become deathtraps.

76 posted on 07/06/2005 4:48:59 PM PDT by Dog Gone
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To: ClearBlueSky

Are you saying there are people in NO who delight in hurricanes?

News for ya' there have ALWAYS been people like that. My father was one of them. He loved the excitement of a hurricane better than anything. My life has been kinda boring lately a minimal hurricane would spice it up and Texas needs the rain.


77 posted on 07/06/2005 4:48:59 PM PDT by Ditter
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To: Bahbah

Not to mention that tornadoes, though smaller, are typically more powerful than most hurricanes. 'Course hurricanes spawn tornados, but I believe they are small ones compared to some of the monsters of the midwest.


78 posted on 07/06/2005 4:49:00 PM PDT by Sam Cree (Democrats are herd animals)
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To: STARWISE
ike an embryo into twins

Would the weather headlines change to "Double Trouble"?

79 posted on 07/06/2005 4:50:20 PM PDT by Flyer (I'm looking for the FReeper that recommended Glory brand canned greens)
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To: Sam Cree
Hurricane Dennis Intermediate Advisory Number 9a

Statement as of 8:00 PM EDT on July 06, 2005

 
...Dennis continuing to become better organized to the 
east-southeast of Jamaica...

 
a Hurricane Warning remains in effect for Jamaica...the
southwestern peninsula of Haiti from the Dominican Republic border
westward...and portions of eastern Cuba for The Provinces of
Granma...Santiago de Cuba...and Guantanamo.

 
A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
within the warning area within the next 24 hours.  Preparations to
protect life and property should be rushed to completion.

 
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for the Cayman Islands and for
portions of central and eastern Cuba...for The Provinces of Sancti
Spiritus...Ciego de Avila...Camaguey...Las Tunas...and Holguin.
A Hurricane Warning will likely be issued for the Cayman Islands
later tonight.


At 8 PM EDT...0000z...the government of the Dominican Republic has
discontinued the Tropical Storm Warning for the southern coast of
the Dominican Republic. However...strong squalls will continue
tonight and may produce wind gusts to 40 mph.

 
Interests in the central and western Caribbean Sea should monitor
the progress of this system.

 
For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.

 
At 8 PM EDT...0000z...the center of Hurricane Dennis was located
near latitude 16.3 north... longitude 72.9 west or about 280
miles... 455 km... east-southeast of Kingston Jamaica and about 
295 miles... 470 km...south-southeast of Guantanamo Bay Cuba.

 
Dennis is moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph...20 km/hr...
and this motion is expected to continue during the next 24 hours. 
On this track...Dennis will pass over or just east of Jamaica by
Thursday afternoon.

 
Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph...130 km/hr...with higher
gusts.  This makes Dennis a category 1 hurricane on the
Saffir-Simpson scale. Additional strengthening is forecast during
the next 24 hours...and Dennis could become a category 2 hurricane
before it reaches Jamaica on Thursday.

 
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to  25 miles... 35 km...
from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up
to 105 miles...165 km.

 
The minimum central pressure recently measured by an Air Force
Reserve reconnaissance aircraft was  984 mb...29.06 inches.

 
Dennis is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 4 to 8
inches over southern Hispaniola...Jamaica...eastern Cuba...and the
Cayman Islands.  Isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches are possible
over the mountainous terrain of Jamaica.  These rains could produce
life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.

 
Repeating the 8 PM EDT position...16.3 N... 72.9 W.  Movement
toward...west-northwest near 13 mph.  Maximum sustained
winds... 80 mph.  Minimum central pressure... 984 mb.

 
The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center 
at 11 PM EDT.

 
Forecaster Stewart

80 posted on 07/06/2005 4:52:19 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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