Posted on 07/06/2005 2:57:36 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Hurricane Dennis heading toward the Gulf of Mexico
I'm in Houston. Dr. Neil has been with KHOU here since 1987.
http://www.khou.com/insidekhou/newsteam/dfrank.html
You can always go to http://www.wunderground.com
click on Tropical Weather, and one of the links under each storm is "historical" data.
wow...that didnt take long for them to upgrade it to a Hurricane...
their update is 547 PM!
bookmark
I remember when he left Miami...the NHC hasn't been the same since.
984mb
---
URNT12 KNHC 062323
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 06/23:05:10Z
B. 16 deg 12 min N
072 deg 43 min W
C. 700 mb 2955 m
D. NA kt
E. deg nm
F. 046 deg 063 kt
G. 320 deg 013 nm
H. 984 mb
I. 10 C/ 3050 m
J. 12 C/ 3050 m
K. 10 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 12345/ 7
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF302 0104A DENNIS OB 20
MAX FL WIND 79 KT NE QUAD 21:27:30 Z
SPIRAL BAND IN LOW CLOUD PATTERN APPROX 5 NM NORTH OF FLT LVL FIX
As Horace Greely once said, "Go west, young man".
lol, it can be annoying when they pick up on stuff... especially the second time around. I still remember the graphics for "Ivan the Terrible" quite well.
Absolutely, and most of us around here are aware of them. Those are the "tornado alert" situations when conditions are favorable to their formation. The time between "favorable" and "formation" and funnel on the ground gives you time to take shelter, but there is no time to evacuate the area.
http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/atlantic/
Another good one for historical tracks, back to 1851.
these next 4-5 days are going to be interesting...
I would say that anyone living on the GulfMex coast needs to be prepared.....
(RIGHT CLICK ON VIEW IMAGE --WON'T POST)
This one takes a few secs to load Java, AFTER you RIGHT CLICK ON VIEW IMAGE.
Anyone think there's anything to that splitting appearance?
Takes a bit of time to load. Once you put in your initial parameters, then it provides you the options for calendar parameters.
Dennis does seem to be following the same path as Ivan.
More of the models are in agreement now that the ridge in the east will build south and west towards the end of the storms time over water. It will be crucial to see how far north it gets before that happens. It's possible that we see a NW track for a while, shifting back to WNW near the end. I still think this comes in somewhere from the LA/TX border to the AL/FL border... favoring the western end of that region.
And the "perfect storm" that destroys a city is a statistical improbability. We did lose Galveston a century ago and we could lose most of it again despite the construction of the famous seawall. Tampa, Mobile, New Orleans, Houston, and Corpus Christi could all be disasters, but only if the storm is abnormally big and approaches from the angle which forces vast amounts of water inland.
What I don't get is why people own mobile homes within 20 miles of the Gulf. They're just asking for it because they don't require major hurricane status to become deathtraps.
Are you saying there are people in NO who delight in hurricanes?
News for ya' there have ALWAYS been people like that. My father was one of them. He loved the excitement of a hurricane better than anything. My life has been kinda boring lately a minimal hurricane would spice it up and Texas needs the rain.
Not to mention that tornadoes, though smaller, are typically more powerful than most hurricanes. 'Course hurricanes spawn tornados, but I believe they are small ones compared to some of the monsters of the midwest.
Would the weather headlines change to "Double Trouble"?
...Dennis continuing to become better organized to the east-southeast of Jamaica...
a Hurricane Warning remains in effect for Jamaica...the southwestern peninsula of Haiti from the Dominican Republic border westward...and portions of eastern Cuba for The Provinces of Granma...Santiago de Cuba...and Guantanamo.
A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected within the warning area within the next 24 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion.
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for the Cayman Islands and for portions of central and eastern Cuba...for The Provinces of Sancti Spiritus...Ciego de Avila...Camaguey...Las Tunas...and Holguin. A Hurricane Warning will likely be issued for the Cayman Islands later tonight.
At 8 PM EDT...0000z...the government of the Dominican Republic has discontinued the Tropical Storm Warning for the southern coast of the Dominican Republic. However...strong squalls will continue tonight and may produce wind gusts to 40 mph.
Interests in the central and western Caribbean Sea should monitor the progress of this system.
For storm information specific to your area...including possible inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued by your local weather office.
At 8 PM EDT...0000z...the center of Hurricane Dennis was located near latitude 16.3 north... longitude 72.9 west or about 280 miles... 455 km... east-southeast of Kingston Jamaica and about 295 miles... 470 km...south-southeast of Guantanamo Bay Cuba.
Dennis is moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph...20 km/hr... and this motion is expected to continue during the next 24 hours. On this track...Dennis will pass over or just east of Jamaica by Thursday afternoon.
Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph...130 km/hr...with higher gusts. This makes Dennis a category 1 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale. Additional strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours...and Dennis could become a category 2 hurricane before it reaches Jamaica on Thursday.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 25 miles... 35 km... from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 105 miles...165 km.
The minimum central pressure recently measured by an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft was 984 mb...29.06 inches.
Dennis is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 4 to 8 inches over southern Hispaniola...Jamaica...eastern Cuba...and the Cayman Islands. Isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches are possible over the mountainous terrain of Jamaica. These rains could produce life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.
Repeating the 8 PM EDT position...16.3 N... 72.9 W. Movement toward...west-northwest near 13 mph. Maximum sustained winds... 80 mph. Minimum central pressure... 984 mb.
The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at 11 PM EDT.
Forecaster Stewart
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