Rasmussen - BUSH BOUNCE!

Rasmussen Reports ^ | Heff

[Heff]

Election 2004

Date Bush Kerry Today 49.6 45.9

[Dave Burns]

This was not a Bush bounce; it was a Cheney bounce. We won't see the Bush bounce reflected in the numbers for a few days. Additionally, Rasmussen numbers as admitted by Rasmussen a bit conservative. The last time Bush had a three point lead with Rassmussen and Gallop had double digits Rassmussen said the real number is his judgment was about 5 percent.

[Pete'sWife]

YES!!!

These good numbers can only improve.

As another poster said, Kerry's out of ammunition.

If President Bush can maintain what he's got going, we're going to have a fun election night.

GO GW!!!

[inkling]

I never absolutely trust any poll's numbers, but Rasmussen is an excellent indicator of trends. His numbers creep up and down along with the momentum of the campaign. If Rasmussen has Bush up by 15 on Nov. 1st, I'm still going to campaign like it's neck and neck. You never know for sure -- especially with Dems' voting "irregularities".

[etradervic]

95% of those polled were before Friday'd Bush debate win. We can thank Big Time for this bounce!

[ken21]

yahoo!

[SolomoninSouthDakota]

YES, INDEED!!!!!!!!!

[Jewels1091]

Keep on keeping on...Let's pray, cross all fingers, pray again and get plenty of pepto for the election night!

[JohnnyZ]

*could not answer, and badly filibustered a question on what he would do if Iran continued to push towards nuclear weapons acquisition;

That's not true. IIRC, he clearly stated that he would be "tough". ;)

[kesg]

It's amazing how a shift in a few numbers can affect people's response to Rasmussen polls. Just a few days ago, people were saying Rasmussen polls can't be trusted.

I don't rely on Rasmussen polls for the horserace numbers, but they are good indicators of trends and they are okay estimators of President Bush's job approval rating, which is the number to which I pay the most attention in all these polls.

[chalkman]

Do you?

[IllumiNaughtyByNature]

God i hope that there was atleast one person in that room last night that was a small business owner. Not to mention the millions of small business owner who were watching...

[mtngrl@vrwc]

...we can hope. With Zogby at a 1 pt lead for kerry, this could be an outlier and Zogby is at low end of margin and Rass at high. Still leaves Bush with 2 pt lead

Rasmussen is never on the high side, I don't think. I have been watching his poll daily and when the other polls showed that Bush was way in the lead, Rasmussen's poll never reflected that. With Rasmussen showing Bush ahead by four, it really gives me hope.

[Scott from the Left Coast]

This is probably not yet a bounce from debate #2 -- it is probably a settling back from the supposed Kerry momentum of debate #1. Any effect of the media's Kerry blitz is settling back out and the race is returning more to pre-debate form. That means that Kerry's little mo lasted barely a week, and was essentially a meaningless bubble.

I would, however, expect to see Bush solidify his support from debate #2 -- do not underestimate the impact his stem cell explanation and culture of life reference (a beautiful political tie-in to the Pope's theme) will have on Catholics and on the conservative Christian community that Bush needs to shore up strong. A big turnout there could throw some in-play states like Pennsylvania and Minnesota over to Bush. And it could even put places like New Jersey and Michigan back in play. A brilliant move on his part that will show up in the later polls.

[Clump]

The spirits around here have changed quite a bit since last Saturday. I know I feel good. Now I want to see Bush pummel this lousy SOB for the next 24 days!

[midftfan]

Great news, but remember to work hard through November 2. I live in a state that's safely for Kerry, namely California, but it won't stop me from voting for Bush, and also we have tons of propositions on our ballot. Anyone who lives in a Kerry-leaning state should still go out and work for the GOP. There are always U.S. Senate and House races to work on, and state and local races as well. Getting rid of Democrats from all levels of government is always a good thing and here in California we have tons of ultra-liberal Dems in Sacramento who are making our lives miserable.

[So Cal Rocket]

*could not answer, and badly filibustered a question on what he would do if Iran continued to push towards nuclear weapons acquisition;

--That's not true. IIRC, he clearly stated that he would be "tough". ;)--

Yeah, he'd tell the Iranians, "If you don't stop, we'll hold a SUMMIT!!"

[SolomoninSouthDakota]

We'll find out if Bush's emphasis on ideology helped his campaign or not. It may help by stabilizing his unalienated base, but it would also brass plate the ABB crowd.

The ABB crowd should all go take a flying leap off the Statue of Liberty as far as I'm concerned.

[chalkman]

I expect the debate to push it up to about 52:46 or so. But there is just no telling on these polls. All you can do is hope.

[sam_whiskey]

You're echoing the media spin. This wasn't just ideology on display. The media would have us believe that Bush appealed solely to the base last night---he was talking to everybody.

[dan-da-man123]

Thats good to hear, lets hope he can keep it.