Posted on 10/08/2004 7:53:26 PM PDT by Remember_Salamis
Yup. Go for it.
Profit taking.
something is going on with these online polls and futures markets directly after debates. i wouldnt put it past that Scumbag Soros to spend a couple grand driving up the market for Kerry on online presidential futures markets immediatly after a debate..-- the media can then get a hold of the news and report the Kerry surge... its a cheap way to get the public into thinking Bush is collapsing.
Second, these online polls are BS. I swear I had to be the first person to vote tonight and when I cast my vote there was 93,000 who beat me. Also, Kerry has 83%! You know the dems got some liberal computer nerd to write a program that votes constantly in these polls.
I hate THEM! I can not stand the democratic party!
sKerry got his butt kicked from one end of the stage to the other. The only poll I care about is in November, and once again the lying traitor will lose.
"people- this is not manipulation-- this is real money on the line-- this is now anyone's race-- very scary for our country -- Kerry may pull this out."
-- I'm not so sure anymore. Bush is on the way back up and there was a major manipulation back in Sep.
Here's a quote fro mthe Luskin Article this morning in NRO:
"Another risk with the Bush futures is that they could be manipulated by unscrupulous political operatives seeking to send a false signal before the election. Trading in the Bush futures seems to be quite orderly, in general, but on September 14 there was a very wide trading swing in response to a sudden surge of selling volume: Bush futures fell in one hour from the low 60s (where they are right now) to almost 49. Then, a half hour later, when the selling abated, they popped right back up to the low 60s. "
I saw that. Hard to believe it's a real market reaction, though you have to wonder what someone would hope to accomplish by that.
It's fine to say the electoral college is what counts, but the fact is that it's virtually impossible for the popular vote loser to win the electoral college unless the popular vote is within a half percent or so. It would take way to long to explain in detail, but the short explanation is the following:
Imagine if Bush got 500,000 more votes in 2000 (tied Gore in popular vote). He would have easily won FL, WI, IA, NM and there would have been no court battle.
Now imagine if Gore had won 500,000 more votes. He would have won FL and perhaps a few others and would have easily won.
The undecideds don't break one way in one state and another way in another state. They tend to break the same way across the country because they are true middle of the road voters and get swayed by the same thing.
YES!!!
looks like soros is gonna lose some more money
It's also 4:10 AM.
Speaking hypothetically of course, if I had a few bucks and a few positions in these markets, having made some nice change and looking to take some profits, I might sell into a post-debate market that thought Bush won - guarantees buyers. Maybe, hypothetically of course, there were several others that did the same thing. Hypothetically of course.
631,000 shares trades, equating to roughly $300,000 - $350,000. Kerry volume is extremely low, however.
This is a great buying opportunity.
I wish I had an account.
drop this post!!!!
this is the overall volume for this contract since it's inception...not tonights trading... WE need to find out the size on tradesports that pushed bush down 6 points... I bet it was under 1000 contracts---anyone know how to find out--- is there time and sales anywhere?-- you know some F*cking dem is behind this....what scumbags
I invested in the Iowa Electronic Market futures with is the grandaddy of these Presidential Futures markets. Bush kept going up throughout the debate
US$: 1.70200 NewActivity
Refresh
10/8/2004 10:12:19 PM Iowa Electronic Markets
Pres04_WTA
Contract BestBid BestAsk LastPrice QuantityHeld YourBids YourAsks
DEM04_G52 0.201 0.211 0.213 0 0 0
DEM04_L52 0.239 0.260 0.280 0 0 0
REP04_L52 0.238 0.239 0.239 300 0 0
REP04_G52 0.302 0.304 0.297 150 0 0
DEM04 (Inactive) ---- ---- 0.401 0 0 0
REP04 (Inactive) ---- ---- 0.600 0 0 0
REPL52 means Bush wins with less than 52% of votes
REPG52 means Bush wins with greater than 52% of votes
Combined for Bush is now 53% versus combined for Kerry of 49%
Am I looking at something wrong?
drop this thread
There was no similar drop after the first debate, and W's performance was much better this time around. Doesn't jibe.
It's based in Ireland due to certain anti-gambling laws in the US.
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