Posted on 09/15/2004 7:38:29 PM PDT by lainie
Hurricane Ivan Advisory Number 55
Statement as of 10:00 PM CDT on September 15, 2004
...Extremely dangerous Hurricane Ivan coming closer to the northern Gulf Coast...strong winds already moving onshore...
A Hurricane Warning is in effect from Grand Isle Louisiana to Apalachicola Florida...including the greater New Orleans area and Lake Pontchartrain. A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected within the warning area...generally within the next 24 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion throughout the entire warning area.
A Hurricane Watch remains in effect from Morgan City Louisiana to west of Grand Isle.
A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect from Morgan City to west of Grand Isle...and from east of Apalachicola to Yankeetown Florida.
At 10 PM CDT...0300z...the large eye of Hurricane Ivan was centered near latitude 29.3 north... longitude 88.1 west or about 65 miles south of the Alabama coastline.
Ivan is moving slightly east of north near 12 mph...and this motion is expected to continue for the next 24 hours. On the forecast track...the center of the hurricane will reach the coast early on Thursday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 135 mph...with higher gusts. Some fluctuations in intensity are possible prior to landfall...but Ivan is expected to make landfall as a major hurricane...category three or higher. Occupants of high-rise buildings within the Hurricane Warning area can expect higher winds than those experienced at the surface...about one Saffir-Simpson category higher at the top of a 30-story building. After landfall... hurricane force winds could spread inland up to about 150 miles near the path of the center.
People are strongly advised not to venture out from shelter during the calm conditions of the eye...as winds will increase rapidly with little or no warning when the eye passes.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 105 miles from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 290 miles. The Dauphin Island C-man station reported sustained winds of 54 mph with a gust to 83 mph...and Pensacola Naval Air Station reported sustained winds of 51 mph with a gust to 68 mph.
The latest minimum central pressure measured by a NOAA hurricane hunter aircraft was 933 mb...27.55 inches.
Coastal storm surge flooding of 10 to 16 feet above normal tide levels...along with large and dangerous battering waves...can be expected near and to the east of where the center makes landfall. Lesser...but still significant surge values will be experienced where onshore flow occurs west of the center.
Dangerous surf conditions...including rip currents...are likely elsewhere along the Florida Gulf Coast.
Rainfall accumulations of 10 to 15 inches...with isolated higher amounts...can be expected in association with Ivan.
Tornadoes are possible over the next 24 hours in southern Alabama... the Florida Panhandle and Big Bend area...and southwestern Georgia.
Repeating the 10 PM CDT position...29.3 N... 88.1 W. Movement toward...north near 12 mph. Maximum sustained winds...135 mph. Minimum central pressure... 933 mb.
For storm information specific to your area...please monitor products issued by your local weather office.
Intermediate advisories will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at midnight CDT and 2 am CDT followed by the next complete advisory at 4 am CDT.
Forecaster Pasch
$$
Links
nwctwx's excellent list
Weather Underground/Tropical
The Weather Channel Map Room
Intellicast Tropical Page
BoatU.S. Hurricane Tracking
this thread continuing from http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/1216382/posts
That's great, then no problem going back, if and when she decides too.
Yahoo!
Right, she has the same status as native born Caymanians.
She's going back, once law and order and the utilities are restored.
Hey, good job!
Best to them and you.
WONDERFUL!!!!!!!!!! Such good news!!
I imagine if we had been there now, my son and I would have had to leave, but hubby would have stayed as he worked on government infrastructure that will need to be rebuilt.
We had to go through the hassle of the once a year work permit, where they advertise your job in the paper, and if no qualified Caymanian applies or is eligible for it, then they grant your work permit.
On an island that small in population (I always remind my son that the entire population of the Caymans wouldn't fill half of our football stadium), it's not a bad way to make sure the native Caymanians have a job.
But it's paperwork and waiting, plus money for the employer.
Good news onyx!
All of a sudden, I am very weak... sort of numb.
I think it's the GOOD kind of numb.
I know prayers have been answered and I thank y'all.
Her father/my husband is on his way home early.
His patients gave him the afternoon off. :)
I remember they opened one up in Hilton Head Island years ago and it had 20 dog collars inside!
Funny you should mention that.
The government has requested that ALL NON-ESSENTIAL folks
leave the island so they can get on with the business of
rebuilding. Of course, it would help that cause IF they'd
permit more planes in and out. :)
don't know if this has been posted yet. Check out the Kerry sign.
I heard on the news, the FloraBama is gone.
They'd built one huge condo unit to the left of it, were building another on the right. Jammed squarely up against it. Sooo, I'm guessing it acted as a funnel between those 2 big buildings. Anyway, it's gone.
Saw some video from Dauphin Island. It looks real good.
I'm trying to find out when residents will be allowed to return.
Hurricane Karl should be a Pacific storm....
snow in yosemite this weekend, believe it or not
Exhaustion. Now it's time for y'all to REST and get ready for lots of hugs and kisses from those precious babies!!
That is a great shot!...a subtle hint maybe?
Praise the Lord!!!! indeed.
What wonderful news. The power of prayer is awesome and you have had a whole bunch of them from a whole bunch of FReepers.
What a great family this is!
From the projections, it looks like the remnants of Ivan are gonna meet Jeanne head-on. Is that good or bad?
I can't imagine how it would be a good thing..........
unless.....they get on the Love Boat and cruise back out into the mid-Atlantic......with excellent birth control measures, of course.
Sorry if that sounds a bit flippant. But I am so tired of these hurricanes (have relatives in Gulf Breeze and Destin I'm worried about) My twisted sense of humor pops out at odd times.
A marriage of the two on the Eastern seaboard sounds like a worst case scenario.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT4+shtml/162050.shtml?
At 4:00 CDT it was 25 miles SSW of Birmingham moving NNE at 14 mph, putting it over Birmingham at about 6:00 CDT with 60 mph winds and higher gusts. The NOAA site I posted earlier was last updated at 12:53 CDT so I guess the airport lost power before 1:53 when the next conditions would have been posted.
I will call my cousin in a few hours and report back... he is on top of a large hill so no flooding danger but in that position he was worried about the wind. What a year!!!
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