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Electoral Vote Predictor 2004: Kerry 264 Bush 222
electoral-vote.com ^

Posted on 09/08/2004 7:44:43 AM PDT by Maceman

See it here


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: elevtoralvote
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To: Maceman

The votemaster has acknowledged that he is a Kerry supporter. If you look at yesterdays results vs. today's there is a huge swing. He has Kerry for weak PA but yesterday it was exactly the opposite.
NM was "weak" Bush yesterday and then today it is "strong" Kerry. The real problem is that he doesn't use the same polls consistently for the same states, which very often results in wild swings of electoral votes.


21 posted on 09/08/2004 7:56:46 AM PDT by frog_jerk_2004
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To: MMkennedy; Brilliant

You insolent pups!! How dare you call me a troll and accuse me of posting this with antagonistic intent my first day on FR?

If you float the cursor over my name, you'll see that I have been registered at this site since 11/7/98.

Do a poster search on "Maceman" and you will see that I have been very active here for a long time.

So watch who ya call a troll, OK?


22 posted on 09/08/2004 7:56:51 AM PDT by Maceman (Too nuanced for a bumper sticker)
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To: AmericanMade1776
Since When did New Mexico become Strong for Kerry, even in 2000 , Gore only won that state by a few hundred votes.

Last I saw Bush had a lead in NM.

23 posted on 09/08/2004 7:56:56 AM PDT by KJacob (God's purpose is never the same as man's purpose.)
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To: Maceman
Pretty heavy application of the Zogby special sauce.

Clearer picture here:

Electoral College Breakdown

Current status:

Bush 202

Kerry 194

and here:

Federal Review Composite Poll

EV without Toss Up states (under 2% margin):
Bush 247|
Kerry 207|
Toss 84

24 posted on 09/08/2004 7:57:31 AM PDT by The_Victor
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To: WoodstockCat

Go to this site, it reflects the bid & offers on who will win the elctoral college (NOT the POPULAR VOTE!)

https://www.tradesports.com/


Bush is Bid 59.8. You draw your own conclusions.


25 posted on 09/08/2004 7:58:36 AM PDT by bubman
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To: KJacob

Of Course, Bush is even ahead in New Mexico, these Map makers must be smoking some bad weed.


26 posted on 09/08/2004 7:58:58 AM PDT by AmericanMade1776 ((John Kerry is now in full retreat))
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To: Maceman

Bush wins bigtime in AOL's September Straw Poll

This poll is cleared at the beginning of every month to allow members to cast a vote based on their current opinion. The Straw Poll was last reset Sept. 1.

Current Electoral Vote Estimates

Bush 535
Kerry 3
Nader 0

27 posted on 09/08/2004 8:00:26 AM PDT by NWO Slave
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To: AmericanMade1776

The dead will vote in NM and the pollsters know it.


28 posted on 09/08/2004 8:00:51 AM PDT by Jet Jaguar (Who would the terrorists vote for?)
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To: Maceman

I wasn't talking about you. I was talking about the poll takers.


29 posted on 09/08/2004 8:02:17 AM PDT by Brilliant
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To: Maceman

While it doesn't pay to be too optimistic, this map is wrong! I think that Kerry will get a strong trouncing in several states that show support for him in this map. I think more Americans will vote, even if only to vote against him, and it won't be pretty! The electorate is not as stupid as the dems (dims) believe!


30 posted on 09/08/2004 8:04:33 AM PDT by Shery (S. H. in APOland)
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To: Maceman

If the election wasn't close, no one would be interested enough to watch the evening news. This is all about ratings.

Bush wins with at least 300 EVs. Bank on it!


31 posted on 09/08/2004 8:06:22 AM PDT by Lunatic Fringe (http://www.drunkenbuffoonery.com/mboards/)
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To: The_Victor

I am afraid we are in for a new round of casualities in Iraq, that W's numbers will not be able to withstand.


32 posted on 09/08/2004 8:12:52 AM PDT by AxelPaulsenJr (Excellence In Posting Since 1999)
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To: Maceman

I pass gas and it has more credibility than this site. They post Nevada and Missouri as toss ups even though the last several polls clearly show Bush up. Arizona only slight Bush, when there were 3 polls in a row that showed Bush with a 12 point lead. Wisconsin and Pennsylvania for Kerry? They're evern a worse left wing hack than dc political report.


33 posted on 09/08/2004 8:14:16 AM PDT by Nascardude
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To: AxelPaulsenJr
I am afraid we are in for a new round of casualities in Iraq, that W's numbers will not be able to withstand.

The magic 1000 number has been crossed, and will carry headlines for a day or two more. But casualties in Iraq are not going to be a significant factor in the election IMO. The people who understand that Iraq is part of the war on terror are not going to be swayed by casualties. Those against the war, aren't going to be more against it due to casualties. Those who aren't sure are probably not going to vote, or are not going cast a vote on the basis of the war.

34 posted on 09/08/2004 8:28:36 AM PDT by The_Victor
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To: Maceman
This is ridiculous - look at the trend for this site:

I can't understand how all the polls can go up for GWB, yet this site translates this into a DECLINE in electoral votes?

35 posted on 09/08/2004 8:50:59 AM PDT by crv16
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To: Maceman

Wanna bet???????


36 posted on 09/08/2004 8:51:38 AM PDT by jmaroneps37 ( Kerry's not "one of us": catholicsagainstkerry.com. needs your help.)
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To: Maceman

I've been to that site before. I wonder who they get their crack rocks from


37 posted on 09/08/2004 8:52:50 AM PDT by UsnDadof8 (Virgnian by birth, Texan in my heart)
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To: WoodstockCat

This is fiction... The red painted map we all see on tv the night of November 2nd will not be!

Go Bush!


38 posted on 09/08/2004 8:56:49 AM PDT by redwhiteandblue
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To: Jet Jaguar
The dead will vote in NM and the pollsters know it.

Not only that, but Nader failed to make the ticket, while the Libertarian candidate did make it.

39 posted on 09/08/2004 8:58:08 AM PDT by UsnDadof8 (Virgnian by birth, Texan in my heart)
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To: AmericanMade1776

If this EV map is correct, JFK would not be campaigning aggressively and talking about reshuffling his staff.


40 posted on 09/08/2004 8:59:09 AM PDT by Fee (Great powers never let minor allies dictate who, where and when they must fight.)
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