Posted on 09/08/2004 7:44:43 AM PDT by Maceman
See it here
The votemaster has acknowledged that he is a Kerry supporter. If you look at yesterdays results vs. today's there is a huge swing. He has Kerry for weak PA but yesterday it was exactly the opposite.
NM was "weak" Bush yesterday and then today it is "strong" Kerry. The real problem is that he doesn't use the same polls consistently for the same states, which very often results in wild swings of electoral votes.
You insolent pups!! How dare you call me a troll and accuse me of posting this with antagonistic intent my first day on FR?
If you float the cursor over my name, you'll see that I have been registered at this site since 11/7/98.
Do a poster search on "Maceman" and you will see that I have been very active here for a long time.
So watch who ya call a troll, OK?
Last I saw Bush had a lead in NM.
Clearer picture here:
Current status:Bush 202Kerry 194 |
and here:
EV without Toss Up states (under 2% margin):
Bush 247|
Kerry 207|
Toss 84
Go to this site, it reflects the bid & offers on who will win the elctoral college (NOT the POPULAR VOTE!)
https://www.tradesports.com/
Bush is Bid 59.8. You draw your own conclusions.
Of Course, Bush is even ahead in New Mexico, these Map makers must be smoking some bad weed.
This poll is cleared at the beginning of every month to allow members to cast a vote based on their current opinion. The Straw Poll was last reset Sept. 1.
Current Electoral Vote Estimates
Bush 535
Kerry 3
Nader 0
The dead will vote in NM and the pollsters know it.
I wasn't talking about you. I was talking about the poll takers.
While it doesn't pay to be too optimistic, this map is wrong! I think that Kerry will get a strong trouncing in several states that show support for him in this map. I think more Americans will vote, even if only to vote against him, and it won't be pretty! The electorate is not as stupid as the dems (dims) believe!
If the election wasn't close, no one would be interested enough to watch the evening news. This is all about ratings.
Bush wins with at least 300 EVs. Bank on it!
I am afraid we are in for a new round of casualities in Iraq, that W's numbers will not be able to withstand.
I pass gas and it has more credibility than this site. They post Nevada and Missouri as toss ups even though the last several polls clearly show Bush up. Arizona only slight Bush, when there were 3 polls in a row that showed Bush with a 12 point lead. Wisconsin and Pennsylvania for Kerry? They're evern a worse left wing hack than dc political report.
The magic 1000 number has been crossed, and will carry headlines for a day or two more. But casualties in Iraq are not going to be a significant factor in the election IMO. The people who understand that Iraq is part of the war on terror are not going to be swayed by casualties. Those against the war, aren't going to be more against it due to casualties. Those who aren't sure are probably not going to vote, or are not going cast a vote on the basis of the war.
I can't understand how all the polls can go up for GWB, yet this site translates this into a DECLINE in electoral votes?
Wanna bet???????
I've been to that site before. I wonder who they get their crack rocks from
This is fiction... The red painted map we all see on tv the night of November 2nd will not be!
Go Bush!
Not only that, but Nader failed to make the ticket, while the Libertarian candidate did make it.
If this EV map is correct, JFK would not be campaigning aggressively and talking about reshuffling his staff.
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