Posted on 08/13/2004 10:08:09 AM PDT by Jeff400000
000 WTNT33 KNHC 131655 TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE CHARLEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004
...CHARLEY STRENGTHENS AS IT HEADS TOWARD FLORIDA WEST COAST...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE DRY TORTUGAS TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS WERE RECENTLY EXTENDED SOUTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET FLORIDA AND ARE NOW IN EFFECT FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO JUPITER INLET. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF...AND ALONG THE SOUTH FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM OCEAN REEF TO EAST CAPE SABLE...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER NEAR THE GEORGIA/SOUTH CAROLINA BORDER.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST FROM OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH AND FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER NORTHWARD TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.
AT 1 PM EDT...1700Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF FORT MYERS FLORIDA.
CHARLEY IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE SHOULD REACH THE COAST IN THE VICINITY OF CHARLOTTE HARBOR LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
RECENT REPORTS FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...CATEGORY THREE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. THESE STRONGEST WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA WITHIN A FEW MILES FROM CHARLEYS CENTER.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 964 MB...28.46 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE SUBSIDING LATER TODAY. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 13 FEET IS EXPECTED NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE FLORIDA WEST COAST. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ALONG AND NEAR THE GEORGIA COAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH LESSER FLOODING TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG CHARLEYS PATH ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY.
REPEATING THE 1 PM EDT POSITION...25.7 N... 82.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 964 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 3 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
WRAL-TV was just live in Wrightsville Beach. It's pretty windy down there!
Yes, I imagine the stores around have no milk, no bread, and no water. Although some may be just saying, "Ho Hum" and not worrying about it. I hope it flies through and does little or no damage.
A pond near me is almost over the road - and into some houses. I expect that to happen soon. In fact some neighbors who back up to the pond have left. I'm glad they did.
BUMP...
Hope he's ok.
Yeah - saw that - now imagine those winds up here with these huge pine trees and oak trees on totally soggy ground.... Not good.
Thanks.
Norfolk, VA (Wakefield, VA) Long Range Reflective Radar
Charleston, SC Longe Range Reflecive Radar
Wilmington, NC Long Range Reflective Radar
Jacksonville, Fl Long Range Reflective Radar
Greer, SC (Charlotte NC area included) Long Range Reflective Radar
The Wilmington, NC Radar has the best view os TS Charley. (As of 1PM EDT 08/14/2004).
Hubby just got back from the store and said the normal "staples" were fully stocked, the store wasn't terribly crowded adn folks were just ding normal Saturday shopping.
I went out to get some lunch around 11:00 this morning. There wasn't a lot of traffic, and the local supermarket parking lot looked pretty full, but not "Oh My God A Hurricane is Coming" full. We've got enough in the house to tide us over, so I didn't stop there. I did some shopping Thursday after work.
But then there is the Book of Job, which is probably my least favorite book in the Bible because Satan asks God to do this and that to this poor man.
It does not shake Job's faith, but he has suffer greatly.
I just looked at the Wilmington radar, and it looks as though my area should be pretty windy and rainy by now, but it's not. Just a little rain, and no breeze to speak of. I went to bed late and got up early, so I'm going to take a nap before it starts getting really bad.
There were quite a few reports of tornadoes associated with Hurricane Charley yesterday as the outer squalls spiraled about the hurricane. This threat will continue today especially over the eastern Carolinas as Charley moves from coastal South Carolina inland over eastern North Carolina and then the Chesapeake Bay and Delaware Bay area as Charley continues northeastward tonight. Charley is now a minimal category one hurricane as it makes a second U.S. landfall in easternmost South Carolina. Charley is becoming a victim of strong upper-level shear from the southwest. Once inland and moving north-northeastward over eastern North Carolina, Charley will continue weakening as a tropical storm. Some mostly minor tree and power line damage is possible along Charley's track with some small storm surge along the coast. Heavy rain and some flooding will continue along the projected path as well as Charley races through the eastern Mid-Atlantic and New England to reach New Brunswick in the Canadian Maritimes by early Monday.
End of quote from www.weather.com (TWC Web page).
Prayers are still needed with the threat of tornadoes.
I did not hear or see much in this thread last night about tornadoes.
Rain's starting to get a bit heavier here. I did my WalMart run for stuff Thurs morning, got my paper today (mainly for the TV Guide) and we're set here. Kids are watching cartoons and pretty much driving me up the walls *LOL* Basically a normal weekend. so far...
It is a reflective radar, whatever that means. This radar does seem to show the movement of TS Charley (I don't think it is still a Hurricane, but it might be).
The Reflective Radar does not identify storm cells so much as give an indication of the intensity of the storm. Maybe someone with a better handle on meterology can respond about reflective radar and what is going on.
However, I did get from TWC (The Weather Channel) website that the Eastern Carolinas (North and South) should be wary of tornadoes.
am glad you're okay
thanks for the ping
Yup, our coast is on the east side. It would be difficult for a hurricane to make landfall in western South Carolina.
These media weather-guessers need to brush up on their geography. This morning, the lady that was pointing at the map for Fox failed to identify South Carolina entirely. She mentioned the watches and warnings in GA, NC and VA. She kept referring to our entire coast-line as the....uh....Myrtle Beach area.
It is in very poor taste to make such a comment at this time -- given the reports from Punta Gorda.
I once lived in a Mobile Home Park (Arizona), then bought a piece of land to move my Mobile Home to.
After I moved the Mobile Home, I saw a funnel cloud about 5 miles away. I think it did touch down and do some damage.
To put a tag on anyone who lives in a Mobile Home is not very American. In the part of Georgia I am in, some Catholic Sisters live in a Mobile home so they can help those who they help (the community they serve is mostly in the Mobile Home park).
They are single women, but they certainly do not spread their legs and produce babies all the time.
So your remarks are very insulting, in more ways than one.
Rain seems to have backed off here and it is very still.
Just a typical dreary saturday afternoon........
I am more interested in the wind than anything else. WRAL Website shows 10 MPH winds at RDU Airport. Were 8 MPH earlier. That's not bad, of course. But if we get up to 30 MPH even - trees will come down everywhere due to the soggy grounds. I won't be sitting here in that case......:-)
I ache for the people of Florida who are suffering so much and know the Salvation Army and many church ministries will be and are on their way right now to help clean up the mess and provide shelter and goods for those left homeless.
FEMA is good but we still have storm "victims" from Floyd who have not yet been paid - with money still in a State government fund that has not been distributed - if memory serves.
It's the churches, ministries, Salvation Army, and neighbors, really who are the most cost effective helpers during times like this. God bless them all!
Hmmm. Maybe God has a sense of humor.
Senator Kerry is about to fight Charley (again) with home video cameras -- Maybe that's the punch line from above.
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