Posted on 08/13/2004 10:08:09 AM PDT by Jeff400000
000 WTNT33 KNHC 131655 TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE CHARLEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004
...CHARLEY STRENGTHENS AS IT HEADS TOWARD FLORIDA WEST COAST...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE DRY TORTUGAS TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS WERE RECENTLY EXTENDED SOUTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET FLORIDA AND ARE NOW IN EFFECT FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO JUPITER INLET. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF...AND ALONG THE SOUTH FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM OCEAN REEF TO EAST CAPE SABLE...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER NEAR THE GEORGIA/SOUTH CAROLINA BORDER.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST FROM OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH AND FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER NORTHWARD TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.
AT 1 PM EDT...1700Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF FORT MYERS FLORIDA.
CHARLEY IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE SHOULD REACH THE COAST IN THE VICINITY OF CHARLOTTE HARBOR LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
RECENT REPORTS FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...CATEGORY THREE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. THESE STRONGEST WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA WITHIN A FEW MILES FROM CHARLEYS CENTER.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 964 MB...28.46 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE SUBSIDING LATER TODAY. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 13 FEET IS EXPECTED NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE FLORIDA WEST COAST. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ALONG AND NEAR THE GEORGIA COAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH LESSER FLOODING TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG CHARLEYS PATH ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY.
REPEATING THE 1 PM EDT POSITION...25.7 N... 82.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 964 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 3 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
Fox is now saying Cat 1 and up to 85mph winds
Heard it came close to Sanibel. Bet it washed up some great shells!
Guy from emergency operations center in Punta Gorda area said there is "significant loss of life." per live feed of NBC2.
Half of fire stations were lost.
3 hospitals destroyed.
Only thing worse was Andrew.
Port Charlotte area.
Federal disaster declaration already in place from President.
Probably not.
It is going very fast.
However, overnight usually produces at least a temporary intensification.250
It WILL be a hurricane at landfall....I think probably cat 2.
One of my most vivid memories after Andrew was the lack of the color Green in the aftermath. Trees were simply denuded of leaves and the grass was covered with debris. That, and these poor birds, whose feathers were ripped off by the horrible winds, flopping helplessly on the ground..
Smart move.
It crossed Havana last night as a 2 and was a 4 at 3 this afternoon, in less miles.
I heard that. My place is on the south end but I doubt there's going to be much difference.
Still listing to Ft Myers video webstream. The local official is on now, numerous injuries and deaths, downtown Punta Gorda is gone, parts of Port Charlotte gone, all three hospitals partially destroyed & non-functional, massive rescue effort underway, morning will bring pictures that will equal damage from Andrew, winds estimated gusted to 165 mph, cost in damage will rival Andrew.
The press will go insane; why didn't people get the warning!!! I can hear them now.
Could you say anything more stupid???
People have lost their lives and homes--Go play on another thread.
I haven't been on line since this afternoon. I am wondering about damage in Wauchula, FL. My company has a farm supply warehouse in Wauchula. Does anyone have any word about damages there? I heard the storm passed right over Wauchula, but don't know how high the winds were when it passed.
The south end received the storm surge.
"Three dead, 50 injured in Punta Gorda. per our local news, but they must have gotten it somewhere!"
I just caught part of report on nbc-2.com. I am not sure if the location was Punta Gorda, port Charlotte, or maybe somewhere else, but...They said that all 3 hospitals were taken out...and that they lost half of there fire stations.
I am surprised the Hospitals were damaged, one would think those buildings to be built somewhat better than the rest..
And THAT estimate of damages ignores ALL of the interior, Kissimmee, Orlando, and Daytona!
Those areas haven't been heard from yet.
Thanks for providing more details on what I heard.
IMHO, I don't think Charlie would have made a complete lap
around the track here in Daytona if Tony Stewart was in town....
Tony would have put Charlie in the wall by turn 4 before Charlie was able to complete a full "lap"...
,,,and in other news,the winds are much more calm here beachside in Daytona, but still gusting fairly strong.
...it ain't over til it's over ??...
True....but the water is not as conducive to strengthening.
Who knows what will happen though...this thing has not acted very normal so far.
CNN has some decent coverage, if ya don't mind slumming it. lol Nancy Grace said there were winds of 150mph, she didn't say where.
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