Posted on 08/13/2004 10:08:09 AM PDT by Jeff400000
000 WTNT33 KNHC 131655 TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE CHARLEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004
...CHARLEY STRENGTHENS AS IT HEADS TOWARD FLORIDA WEST COAST...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE DRY TORTUGAS TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS WERE RECENTLY EXTENDED SOUTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET FLORIDA AND ARE NOW IN EFFECT FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO JUPITER INLET. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF...AND ALONG THE SOUTH FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM OCEAN REEF TO EAST CAPE SABLE...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER NEAR THE GEORGIA/SOUTH CAROLINA BORDER.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST FROM OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH AND FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER NORTHWARD TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.
AT 1 PM EDT...1700Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF FORT MYERS FLORIDA.
CHARLEY IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE SHOULD REACH THE COAST IN THE VICINITY OF CHARLOTTE HARBOR LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
RECENT REPORTS FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...CATEGORY THREE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. THESE STRONGEST WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA WITHIN A FEW MILES FROM CHARLEYS CENTER.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 964 MB...28.46 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE SUBSIDING LATER TODAY. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 13 FEET IS EXPECTED NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE FLORIDA WEST COAST. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ALONG AND NEAR THE GEORGIA COAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH LESSER FLOODING TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG CHARLEYS PATH ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY.
REPEATING THE 1 PM EDT POSITION...25.7 N... 82.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 964 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 3 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
I'm just down the road from her. I'll call tomorrow and see if she needs any help.
I was just hoping perhaps this cold front that is lingering over NC might push Fran on East out to sea instead of letting it ride over Raleigh as the forecast is now showing. Even a brief fling of high winds will flatten many houses now that the ground is so soggy......and I just do not think I can sit here and listen to those thuds again.....but I HATE thinking of leaving.....what to do!
MKM
They have been behind all day.
Apparently 95-100% of the homes on the Lee County Barrier Islands are destroyed.
Things aren't real definitive but it appears there was widespread total destruction of homes in Punta Gorda/Port Charlotte.
I didn't catch the names, but the news reported 70% damage to homes on one small island and 100% on another. Weren't island names I recognized from earlier reports.
To all those in Florida where the damage has been so devastating - will be sending help down that way - asap. but how tragic for the people whose lives have just been torn apart. Prayers for God's mercy and outpouring help and love for all of them!
Good to know--thanks.
Where are you getting your information about the barrier islands? Any word on Pine Island's condition?
Any reports on the resorts (Disney, Universal, SeaWorld...)? I was away from this thread for the past two hours.
The north end of Pine Island took a direct hit.
Fox News is going to have a report from there, but haven't said yet.
ping
It is my wife's laptop.She has 2 batteries, and I hooked up
a "jump your car" power supply by plugging in a 110 converter (like you would use in the cigarette lighter of your vehicle to turn the 12v dc into 110 ac) and can "tap" power off of it for the puter..
The internet connection is a Sprint, PCM-CIA card that is satellite
connected.You pay for usage by buying a "plan" like your cell phone. I have used it in a few non-power situations (two times at home with no power, and in the car while my wife was driving,) and it has worked great.When you click on the shortcut key,a screen pops up in the middle of the puterscreen,you hit connect,the "card" sends your ID info to the satellite
and a five step graph shows you your connected signal strength(1 is low 5 is max).Minimize the connection screen,choose your internet connection, and log in to FR !!
Atlanta news (10:00 pm radio) hasn't even heard that Orlando is "threatened" yet!
Much less that the storm was ALREADY PAST Orlando, had hit Disney and the parks, and was headed towards Daytona!
Maybe by tommorrow morning they'll tell us that is it back at sea.
(Eye is out at sea now, winds north of Daytona are from the north, south of Daytona will be from the west now.
Diminishing.
I think so. The guy on TWC said something about the border between NC and SC. That's Brunswick Co., NC and Horry Co., SC.
The eye went right over the top of them, 90-1005 mph winds.
No word on how much damage. Yet.
What are the winds in Charley now??
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