Posted on 08/13/2004 10:08:09 AM PDT by Jeff400000
000 WTNT33 KNHC 131655 TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE CHARLEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004
...CHARLEY STRENGTHENS AS IT HEADS TOWARD FLORIDA WEST COAST...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE DRY TORTUGAS TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS WERE RECENTLY EXTENDED SOUTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET FLORIDA AND ARE NOW IN EFFECT FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO JUPITER INLET. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF...AND ALONG THE SOUTH FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM OCEAN REEF TO EAST CAPE SABLE...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER NEAR THE GEORGIA/SOUTH CAROLINA BORDER.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST FROM OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH AND FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER NORTHWARD TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.
AT 1 PM EDT...1700Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF FORT MYERS FLORIDA.
CHARLEY IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE SHOULD REACH THE COAST IN THE VICINITY OF CHARLOTTE HARBOR LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
RECENT REPORTS FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...CATEGORY THREE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. THESE STRONGEST WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA WITHIN A FEW MILES FROM CHARLEYS CENTER.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 964 MB...28.46 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE SUBSIDING LATER TODAY. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 13 FEET IS EXPECTED NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE FLORIDA WEST COAST. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ALONG AND NEAR THE GEORGIA COAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH LESSER FLOODING TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG CHARLEYS PATH ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY.
REPEATING THE 1 PM EDT POSITION...25.7 N... 82.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 964 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 3 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
Musicman, I know you're just sitting around with nothing better to do :), so please explain your internet connection to us.And your power.
Do they have it coming ashore around Brunswick County?
Are the winds from the west?
North?
Oooooooh yeah!
I even still have an "I survived Hugo" sweat shirt!
Looks like they're estimating landfall somewhere on the northern half of the South Carolina coast...Georgetown on up to Myrtle Beach.
}:-)4
Very rough there. I won't sugar coat it: the Ft Myers station is reporting many hundreds of people homeless and without shelter of any kind. Go to this video stream, get the phone numbers, call in live and give your family's approximate location, they may be able to help you. Good luck and prayers for your kin.
My mom and several family members live in Port Charlotte/Punta Gorda. I heard that many homes were flatted in Punta Gorda and that windows were blown out from many homes in Port Charlotte. If anyone has info on what the damage looks like there please post. Heard on tv that they are predicting power to be out for at least a week, so contacting my family will be difficult.
Thanks
Waaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaay too early to be sure about its return to land.
Too many things can change overnight.
I was in a solid, brick apartment building near downtown Raleigh during Fran, so I wasn't worried about property damage. I was worried about our very first brand new car that we'd bought 2 days before. Falling trees crushed several cars and came through several apartment windows, but our apartment and our car were fine. I stayed up that night listening to and watching the transformers blow. My husband slept through the whole thing. But we got our power back on Saturday evening (Fran came through Thursday night/Friday morning), a lot sooner than a lot of the rest of Raleigh.
No, we'll be ok here. Our house is on pretty high ground and we've also had the wisdom to remove about 25 more trees since then too.
MKM
I wasn't living down here for Hugo, but from the stories I've heard (even well inland here in Columbia), that has pretty much got South Carolinians conditioned to be wary of hurricanes for at least another generation.
Now I *was* here for the Great Floyd Evacuation Snafu. Anybody who thinks a hurricane can't seriously contribute toward costing a politician his job, ask our former Rat governor, Smilin' Jim Hodges!
}:-)4
They just slammed not to long ago...
Well,that's close enough to me to pay close attention.
The west side of the storm is much weaker.
We'll know tomorrow.
Nightline just reported Emergency services simply can't even get into many areas in Port Charlotte/Punta Gorda. Wish I had better news for you.
Rep. Mark Foley just mentioned on FOX NEWS that the new CIA director lives on Sanibel.
Around Georgetown, SC. Click on the link in #2297.
I had to drive down I-85 from Richmond to Greenville, SC on the morning that Fran grazed Richmond. I remember waking up about 5:00 am to one godawful THUMP against the side of my apartment building...it almost felt like someone drove a car into it. Later on the radio, there was an unconfirmed report that a funnel cloud went right over my apartment complex.
85 was a mess on the Virginia side of the border, trees down here and there. It got better getting into NC, but there was no power for 150+ miles...couldn't find a working toilet between Richmond and Greensboro, and man, that's a LOOOOONG way to hold it! :)
}:-)4
Thanks!
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