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CHARLEY BECOMES A (CATEGORY 4 Now!!) HURRICANE (18 ft. storm surge)
NHC ^ | 08-13-2004 | Forecaster Lawrence

Posted on 08/13/2004 10:08:09 AM PDT by Jeff400000

000 WTNT33 KNHC 131655 TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE CHARLEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004

...CHARLEY STRENGTHENS AS IT HEADS TOWARD FLORIDA WEST COAST...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE DRY TORTUGAS TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS WERE RECENTLY EXTENDED SOUTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET FLORIDA AND ARE NOW IN EFFECT FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO JUPITER INLET. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF...AND ALONG THE SOUTH FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM OCEAN REEF TO EAST CAPE SABLE...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER NEAR THE GEORGIA/SOUTH CAROLINA BORDER.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST FROM OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH AND FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER NORTHWARD TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.

AT 1 PM EDT...1700Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF FORT MYERS FLORIDA.

CHARLEY IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE SHOULD REACH THE COAST IN THE VICINITY OF CHARLOTTE HARBOR LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

RECENT REPORTS FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...CATEGORY THREE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. THESE STRONGEST WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA WITHIN A FEW MILES FROM CHARLEYS CENTER.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 964 MB...28.46 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE SUBSIDING LATER TODAY. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 13 FEET IS EXPECTED NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE FLORIDA WEST COAST. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ALONG AND NEAR THE GEORGIA COAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH LESSER FLOODING TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG CHARLEYS PATH ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY.

REPEATING THE 1 PM EDT POSITION...25.7 N... 82.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 964 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 3 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.

FORECASTER LAWRENCE


TOPICS: Breaking News; Miscellaneous; News/Current Events; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: bush43; charley; charlie; elections; fl; florida; hugelosses; hurricane; hurricanecharley; hurricanecharlie; jeb; jebbush; politics; weather
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To: oceanview

I imagine they're coming in from a lot of places. But they can send the stuff from Atlanta now becuase by the time it gets there it will be safe to go in. The folks closer are probably still having to wait.


1,521 posted on 08/13/2004 2:28:04 PM PDT by mewzilla
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To: musicman

Thank you sir.


1,522 posted on 08/13/2004 2:28:05 PM PDT by Robert A Cook PE (I can only donate monthly, but Kerry's ABBCNNBCBS continue to lie every day!))
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To: Howlin

Its a live feed over Media Player.


1,523 posted on 08/13/2004 2:28:13 PM PDT by md2576 (Freep On!)
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To: pollywog

Lakewood Ranches is a 30 minute drive from the gulf,near Bradenton I believe.


1,524 posted on 08/13/2004 2:28:16 PM PDT by samantha (Don't panic, the adults are in charge)
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To: oceanview
you've got to wonder, if you had warehouses stored with supplies for hurricanes, would you keep them in atlanta? wouldn't you want to keep them in locales more accessible to Florida, and to the SC/NC coastal areas, where they tend to hit?

Atlanta to Orlando is only an 8 hour drive.

1,525 posted on 08/13/2004 2:28:24 PM PDT by Vigilantcitizen (Have a burger and a beer and enjoy your liquid vegetables.)
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To: Robert A. Cook, PE
Almost like the eye is driving up Hwy 17 towards Cypress Gardens, Kissimmee, and Orlando.

"I'm goin' to Disney World!"

1,526 posted on 08/13/2004 2:28:27 PM PDT by mhking
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To: nkycincinnatikid
North port not evacuated, any other news about Englewood/North Port PLEASE?

I don't have any info on the area. Freeper Joe Brower is located in Venice but I ahven't seen him post for a bit now, he's probably battened down at the moment.

1,527 posted on 08/13/2004 2:28:37 PM PDT by Netizen (Abortion is not a choice -- it's murder. The only 'choice' is which method of birth control to use.)
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To: CFC__VRWC

Stay safe....Im praying for all of you.


1,528 posted on 08/13/2004 2:28:54 PM PDT by mystery-ak (The most dangerous place in the world...between Moore and Ronstadt in the buffet line!)
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To: Riley

LOL! No need to worry


1,529 posted on 08/13/2004 2:29:01 PM PDT by Pyro7480 (Sub tuum praesidium confugimus, sancta Dei Genitrix.... sed a periculis cunctis libera nos semper...)
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To: gopwinsin04

All the calls they're getting are from SE of where it came ashore (Ft Myers). Still no word from the eye-affected areas.


1,530 posted on 08/13/2004 2:29:02 PM PDT by Nexus
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To: oceanview
i'm cancelling my Sunday BBQ I guess.

Convert it to a hurricane party, with beer, coldcuts, and other stuff that doesn't require being cooked outside (or cooked at all, if the power goes out and you don't have a gas stove).

1,531 posted on 08/13/2004 2:29:17 PM PDT by Ichneumon ("...she might as well have been a space alien." - Bill Clinton, on Hillary, "My Life", p. 182)
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To: mhking

Started raining here in Gainesvill a little while ago. We were in the direct line yesterday and this morning, now appears that we should miss the eye...


1,532 posted on 08/13/2004 2:29:33 PM PDT by Veritas et equitas ad Votum
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To: Howlin

http://waterbc.wm.llnwd.net/waterbc_netvideo


1,533 posted on 08/13/2004 2:29:34 PM PDT by md2576 (Freep On!)
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To: 1smallVoice

Arcadia looks next-the eye is holding together well and I don't think they build with hurricanes in mind that far inland. Prayers for all!


1,534 posted on 08/13/2004 2:29:37 PM PDT by Frank_2001
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To: oceanview

Well, Atlanta is close enough where there's little danger of the supplies and stuff being damaged or destroyed by hurricanes and such that can hit any part of Florida...

I think it makes sense, when you also realize that the supplies are not just there for Florida, but for other disasters that may strike other states in the SE. Atlanta is pretty much the hub of the SE, with easy accessibility to the surrounding areas. Again, it makes sense from a deployment perspective :0)


1,535 posted on 08/13/2004 2:29:44 PM PDT by Chad Fairbanks (Try the new and improved Hippie-B-Gone Soap!)
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To: CFC__VRWC

"it's just stuff, and stuff can be replaced."

Great attitude. Know you are in our prayers.


1,536 posted on 08/13/2004 2:29:47 PM PDT by Bahbah
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To: oceanview
you've got to wonder, if you had warehouses stored with supplies for hurricanes, would you keep them in atlanta? wouldn't you want to keep them in locales more accessible to Florida, and to the SC/NC coastal areas, where they tend to hit?

You want the supplies far enough inland they don't get destroyed, yet centrally located to places that may be hit hard like Florida and North Carolina, with an excellent road network radiating out to all those places.

Sounds like....Atlanta.

1,537 posted on 08/13/2004 2:30:16 PM PDT by Strategerist
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To: Nexus

Some guy from Port Charlotte called. Said he lost tons of trees but no damage to house, as yet. The eye had just gone over.


1,538 posted on 08/13/2004 2:30:17 PM PDT by bonfire
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To: mewzilla

Well, you have to figure if you store it in Atlanta, you HAVE to ship it a longer ways.

But you have to store stuff someplace.

And, when you lay up supplies ahead of time, you don't know if you need to ship it to Charleston, the VACapes, New Orleans, Memphis (river flooding), or the FL panhandle, or Mobile, or ....

Atlanta is near the middle of all of those.


1,539 posted on 08/13/2004 2:30:28 PM PDT by Robert A Cook PE (I can only donate monthly, but Kerry's ABBCNNBCBS continue to lie every day!))
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To: md2576

What was that clip a few minutes ago? Was that some guy getting literally blown away out from under some type of umbrella-like structure? That was unreal.


1,540 posted on 08/13/2004 2:31:17 PM PDT by mwp99
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