Posted on 08/13/2004 10:08:09 AM PDT by Jeff400000
000 WTNT33 KNHC 131655 TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE CHARLEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004
...CHARLEY STRENGTHENS AS IT HEADS TOWARD FLORIDA WEST COAST...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE DRY TORTUGAS TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS WERE RECENTLY EXTENDED SOUTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET FLORIDA AND ARE NOW IN EFFECT FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO JUPITER INLET. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF...AND ALONG THE SOUTH FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM OCEAN REEF TO EAST CAPE SABLE...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER NEAR THE GEORGIA/SOUTH CAROLINA BORDER.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST FROM OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH AND FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER NORTHWARD TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.
AT 1 PM EDT...1700Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF FORT MYERS FLORIDA.
CHARLEY IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE SHOULD REACH THE COAST IN THE VICINITY OF CHARLOTTE HARBOR LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
RECENT REPORTS FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...CATEGORY THREE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. THESE STRONGEST WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA WITHIN A FEW MILES FROM CHARLEYS CENTER.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 964 MB...28.46 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE SUBSIDING LATER TODAY. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 13 FEET IS EXPECTED NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE FLORIDA WEST COAST. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ALONG AND NEAR THE GEORGIA COAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH LESSER FLOODING TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG CHARLEYS PATH ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY.
REPEATING THE 1 PM EDT POSITION...25.7 N... 82.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 964 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 3 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
Disney Swan & Dolphin Hotel live cam here:
http://www.instacam.com/showcam.asp?id=LKBNV&size=L
In case no one posted it yet you can watch coverage at Hurricane City
Please check in when you can. I realize a lot of our Florida freepers may not have power now and perhaps for several days, but we'd love to hear from you.
Waay too far apart.
According to the link it sounds like Charlotte and Lee counties have been hardest hit.
That is true,and Highlands and Polk counties are also either Midwesterners(a lot of Indiana,Ohio,and Michigan), or Southerners. These people are the salt of the earth.
again...give me the hurricane any day......over my house....
Red
#1444...Well, thank-you :))
I've written three responses to you and have deleted all of them.
You are a comlete idot and a Christian fraud.
Have a nice day.
and this hurricane couldnt do even in the same ballpark of damage as an F4 tornado in any 1 locale.
...Charley makes landfall as a category four hurricane near Charlotte Harbor Florida...
A Hurricane Warning remains in effect from East Cape Sable northward to the Suwannee river on the Florida West Coast and from Cocoa Beach Florida to Cape Lookout North Carolina on the southeast U.S. Coast.
A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect from Jupiter Inlet to Cocoa Beach Florida...and for Lake Okeechobee.
At 5 PM EDT...2100z...a tropical storm watch is in effect from Cape Lookout to Chincoteague Virginia including Pamlico and Albemarle sounds and for Chesapeake Bay south of Smith Point.
Elsewhere...all watches and warnings are discontinued.
At 5 PM EDT...2100z...the center of Hurricane Charley was located near latitude 26.9 north...longitude 82.2 west or about 30 miles west-northwest of ft. Myers Florida. This position is also about 115 miles south-southwest of Orlando.
Charley is moving toward the north-northeast near 22 mph and a gradual increase in forward speed is expected tonight and Saturday. The forecast track moves Charley across Florida and off the northeast Florida coast overnight.
Maximum sustained winds are near 140 mph with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast during the next 24 hours. However hurricane force winds are expected to spread across Florida near the path of the center of the hurricane. At 432 PM EDT...Punta Gorda Florida reported sustained winds of 87 mph with a gust to 109 mph.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 25 miles from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 85 miles.
The last pressure measured by the hurricane hunter aircraft was 941 mb...27.79 inches.
Storm surge flooding in the Florida Keys is subsiding. Storm surge flooding of 10 to 15 feet is occuring near and south of where the center moved inland. Storm surge flooding of 4 to 7 feet is expected along the northeast Florida and Georgia coasts with lesser flooding to the north and south.
Rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches are likely along charleys path across portions of the eastern United States. These rains could cause life-threatening flash floods.
Isolated tornadoes are possible across portions of the Florida Peninsula tonight.
Repeating the 5 PM EDT position...26.9 N... 82.2 W. Movement toward...north-northeast near 22 mph. Maximum sustained winds...140 mph. Minimum central pressure... 941 mb.
For storm information specific to your area...please monitor products issued by your local weather office.
Intermediate advisories will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at 7 PM EDT and 9 PM EDT followed by the next complete advisory at 11 PM EDT.
Forecaster Lawrence
$$
My sister lives in Largo... Looks like they are not in the direct path, thank goodness.
My daughter is visiting in Sarasota. My husband got a cell call from her and she is at a place now called LakeWood Farms 3 miles east of 1-75. Any of you from Florida know her approx location from the eye of the storm?????
Looks like it'll exit between Daytona and Jacksonville (St. Augustine?), head back out over the ocean, and re-enter around Myrtle Beach tomorrow afternoon.
}:-)4
dennis1x, what do you think will happen with Sarasota?
"complete idiot". Damn you really got my blood boiling with your self rightous attitude while people are suffering.
Right now the eye of the storm is over the southwest corner of DeSoto County, about 20 miles northeast of Port Charlotte. Right now it looks like it's coming right to my front door - I live east of Lake Wales in Polk County. I am currently in the process of packing up some of my camping supplies and my pets so I can head to my grandmother's house shortly - her place is a '50's vintage concrete block house and should be fine.
I know you guys are sending the prayers down this way, and I ask you to include me in them as well. Frankly, right now I don't know when I'll be able to post again - depends on whether or not I still have a home in 12 hours or so. God, that sounds so melodramatic and I hate it, but this is the first major hurricane I've been directly in the path of in my 31 years of living in Florida. At any rate, I'll be okay, and if my place gets it, it's just stuff, and stuff can be replaced.
To all Florida Freepers, good luck and Godspeed.
Hmmn.
For the last 45 minutes (since crossing the coast) the eye has turned slightly, and now seems to moving almost due north: very, very little eastward drift.
Moving to the west of Arcadia, more towards Ona?
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