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248,000 payroll jobs added in May; Jobless rate: 5.6%
CNBC | Friday, June 4, 2004

Posted on 06/04/2004 5:30:16 AM PDT by JohnHuang2

Edited on 06/04/2004 5:36:32 AM PDT by Admin Moderator. [history]

Employment Situation Summary

Technical information:
   Household data:  (202) 691-6378    USDL 04-996
           http://www.bls.gov/cps/

   Establishment data:    691-6555    Transmission of material in this release 
           http://www.bls.gov/ces/    is embargoed until 8:30 A.M. (EDT),
Media contact:            691-5902    Friday, June 4, 2004.
                                        
                                        
                       THE EMPLOYMENT SITUATION:  MAY 2004
                                        
   Nonfarm payroll employment rose by 248,000 in May, and the unemployment
rate was unchanged at 5.6 percent, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S.
Department of Labor reported today.  The May increase in payroll employment
follows gains of 346,000 in April and 353,000 in March (as revised).  Job
growth in May again was widespread, as increases continued in construction,
manufacturing, and several service-providing industries.
   
Unemployment (Household Survey Data)
   
   The number of unemployed persons was essentially unchanged at 8.2 million
in May, and the unemployment rate held at 5.6 percent.  The unemployment rate
has been either 5.6 or 5.7 percent in each month since December 2003.  The
unemployment rates for the major worker groups--adult men (5.2 percent), adult
women (4.8 percent), teenagers (17.2 percent), whites (5.0 percent), blacks
(9.9 percent), and Hispanics or Latinos (7.0 percent)--were little changed in
May.  The unemployment rate for Asians was 4.2 percent, not seasonally ad-
justed.  (See tables A-1, A-2, and A-3.)
   
Total Employment and the Labor Force (Household Survey Data)
   
   Total employment was 138.8 million in May, and the employment-population
ratio--the proportion of the population age 16 and over with jobs--remained
at 62.2 percent.  The civilian labor force participation rate was 65.9 per-
cent for the fourth consecutive month.  (See table A-1.)
   
Persons Not in the Labor Force (Household Survey Data)
   
   The number of persons who were marginally attached to the labor force was
1.5 million in May, about the same as a year earlier.  (Data are not season-
ally adjusted.)  These individuals wanted and were available to work and had
looked for a job sometime in the prior 12 months.  They were not counted as
unemployed, however, because they did not actively search for work in the 4
weeks preceding the survey.  There were 476,000 discouraged workers in May,
also about the same as a year earlier.  Discouraged workers, a subset of the
marginally attached, were not currently looking for work specifically because
they believed no jobs were available for them.  The other 1.1 million margin-
ally attached had not searched for work for reasons such as school or family
responsibilities.  (See table A-13.)

                                  - 2 -

Table A.  Major indicators of labor market activity, seasonally adjusted
(Numbers in thousands)
______________________________________________________________________________
                         |    Quarterly    |                          |
                         |    averages     |        Monthly data      |
                         |_________________|__________________________| Apr.-
        Category         |  2003  | 2004 1/|           2004           | May
                         |________|________|__________________________|change
                         |   IV   |   I    |  Mar.  |  Apr.  |  May   |
_________________________|________|________|________|________|________|_______
     HOUSEHOLD DATA      |                 Labor force status
                         |____________________________________________________
Civilian labor force.....| 146,986| 146,661| 146,650| 146,741| 146,974|    233
  Employment.............| 138,369| 138,388| 138,298| 138,576| 138,772|    196
  Unemployment...........|   8,616|   8,273|   8,352|   8,164|   8,203|     39
Not in labor force.......|  75,290|  75,695|  75,900|  76,016|  75,993|    -23
                         |________|________|________|________|________|_______
                         |                 Unemployment rates
                         |____________________________________________________
All workers..............|     5.9|     5.6|     5.7|     5.6|     5.6|    0.0
  Adult men..............|     5.5|     5.1|     5.2|     5.0|     5.2|     .2
  Adult women............|     5.1|     5.0|     5.1|     5.0|     4.8|    -.2
  Teenagers..............|    16.3|    16.6|    16.5|    16.9|    17.2|     .3
  White..................|     5.1|     5.0|     5.1|     4.9|     5.0|     .1
  Black or African       |        |        |        |        |        |
    American.............|    10.7|    10.1|    10.2|     9.7|     9.9|     .2
  Hispanic or Latino     |        |        |        |        |        |
    ethnicity............|     7.1|     7.4|     7.4|     7.2|     7.0|    -.2
                         |________|________|________|________|________|_______
  ESTABLISHMENT DATA     |                     Employment
                         |____________________________________________________
Nonfarm employment.......| 130,002| 130,367| 130,630|p130,976|p131,224|   p248
  Goods-producing 2/.....|  21,676|  21,719|  21,778| p21,830| p21,902|    p72
    Construction.........|   6,766|   6,819|   6,853|  p6,872|  p6,909|    p37
    Manufacturing........|  14,340|  14,326|  14,344| p14,373| p14,405|    p32
  Service-providing 2/...| 108,326| 108,648| 108,852|p109,146|p109,322|   p176
    Retail trade.........|  14,915|  14,974|  15,013| p15,041| p15,060|    p19
    Professional and     |        |        |        |        |        |
      business services..|  16,114|  16,202|  16,237| p16,367| p16,431|    p64
    Education and health |        |        |        |        |        |
      services...........|  16,705|  16,774|  16,813| p16,852| p16,896|    p44
    Leisure and          |        |        |        |        |        |
      hospitality........|  12,172|  12,239|  12,271| p12,313| p12,353|    p40
    Government...........|  21,549|  21,540|  21,553| p21,574| p21,547|   p-27
                         |________|________|________|________|________|_______
                         |                  Hours of work 3/
                         |____________________________________________________
Total private............|    33.7|    33.8|    33.8|   p33.8|   p33.8|   p0.0
  Manufacturing..........|    40.6|    41.0|    40.9|   p40.7|   p41.1|    p.4
    Overtime.............|     4.4|     4.6|     4.6|    p4.6|    p4.7|    p.1
                         |________|________|________|________|________|_______
                         |    Indexes of aggregate weekly hours (2002=100) 3/
                         |____________________________________________________
Total private............|    98.7|    99.3|    99.5|   p99.9|  p100.2|   p0.3
                         |________|________|________|________|________|_______
                         |                    Earnings 3/
                         |____________________________________________________
Avg. hourly earnings,    |        |        |        |        |        |
  total private..........|  $15.45|  $15.52|  $15.55| p$15.59| p$15.64| p$0.05
Avg. weekly earnings,    |        |        |        |        |        |
  total private..........|  520.55|  524.58|  525.59| p526.94| p528.63|  p1.69
_________________________|________|________|________|________|________|_______

   1  Beginning in January 2004, household data reflect revised population
controls used in the Current Population Survey.
   2  Includes other industries, not shown separately.
   3  Data relate to private production or nonsupervisory workers.
   p=preliminary.
                                  - 3 -
   
Industry Payroll Employment (Establishment Survey Data)

   Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 248,000 in May to 131.2 million,
seasonally adjusted.  Since its recent low in August 2003, payroll employment
has risen by 1.4 million; 947,000 of this increase occurred over the last 3
months.  Job growth was widespread in May, with gains continuing in construc-
tion, manufacturing, and several service-providing industries.  (See table
B-1.)
   
   In May, construction employment increased by 37,000, with most of the gain
occurring in specialty trade contracting and the construction of buildings.
Since March 2003, the construction industry has added about a quarter-million
jobs.

   Manufacturing employment grew by 32,000 in May.  Since January, manufactur-
ing as added 91,000 jobs, mostly in its durable goods component.  In May, em-
ployment rose in three construction-related manufacturing industries:  fabri-
cated metal products, wood products, and nonmetallic mineral products (such
as concrete and cement).  Employment also increased in computer and electronic
products.
   
   Mining employment continued to rise in May.  Since January, the industry
has added 18,000 jobs.
   
   In the service-providing sector, professional and business services added
64,000 jobs in May.  Employment in temporary help services continued to rise
(31,000) and has grown by 299,000 (or 14 percent) since April 2003.
   
   Strong employment increases in health care and social assistance continued
in May with a gain of 36,000.  Over the year, this industry has added 274,000
jobs.  Hospitals and ambulatory health care services, such as outpatient care
centers, accounted for two-thirds of May's employment gain.
   
   Within the leisure and hospitality industry, food services added 33,000 jobs
over the month.  Since the beginning of the year, employment in food services
has increased by an average of 32,000 a month, more than double the average
monthly increase in 2003.
   
   Employment in financial activities rose by 15,000 in May, reflecting con-
tinued increases in real estate and in credit intermediation.  Retail employ-
ment continued to trend upward in May; over the year, the industry has added
142,000 jobs.  Within retail trade, employment edged up in May in building
material and garden supply stores, food and beverage stores, and clothing
stores.  Wholesale trade employment also edged up in May; the industry has
added 55,000 jobs since October 2003.
   
   In the information sector, telecommunications employment was down by 5,000
in May.  Since its peak in March 2001, the telecommunications industry has shed
283,000 jobs, a fifth of its total.

                                  - 4 -

Weekly Hours (Establishment Survey Data)

   The average workweek for production or nonsupervisory workers on private
nonfarm payrolls was unchanged in May at 33.8 hours, seasonally adjusted.  The
manufacturing workweek increased by 0.4 hour to 41.1 hours, more than offset-
ting declines in March and April.  Manufacturing overtime edged up by 0.1 hour
to 4.7 hours in May.  (See table B-2.)
   
   The index of aggregate weekly hours of production or nonsupervisory workers
on private nonfarm payrolls increased by 0.3 percent in May to 100.2 (2002=100).
The manufacturing index was up by 1.3 percent over the month to 95.5.  (See
table B-5.)                                

Hourly and Weekly Earnings (Establishment Survey Data)

   Average hourly earnings of production or nonsupervisory workers on private
nonfarm payrolls rose by 5 cents in May to $15.64, seasonally adjusted.  Aver-
age weekly earnings were up by 0.3 percent over the month to $528.63.  Over
the year, average hourly earnings grew by 2.2 percent, and average weekly earn-
ings increased by 2.5 percent.  (See table B-3.)


                         ______________________________


   The Employment Situation for June 2004 is scheduled to be released on Friday,
July 2, at 8:30 A.M. (EDT).
Tom Daschle was reportedly "Deeply, deeply saddened" at the news.

;-)



TOPICS: Breaking News; Business/Economy; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: busheconomy; bushrecovery; jkids; jobmarket; jobs; tdids; thebusheconomy; wgids
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To: hchutch

9 months of positive prints (incl 4th positive print in manuf'g, +32k, 3mth avg = +28k)

NFP

3mth avg = +315k
4mth avg = +258k
6mth avg = +200k
9mth avg = +159k


101 posted on 06/04/2004 6:17:19 AM PDT by babble-on
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To: Kozak

Not to defend the media (perish the thought), but the situations aren't analogous. At this point in '92, the jobless rate was rising, peaking at 7.6% in June and job creation numbers were lackluster, at best. Voters won't be fooled.


102 posted on 06/04/2004 6:18:00 AM PDT by JohnHuang2
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To: xzins

That popped out for me, too. Daddy and Mommy make more money today and teens are looking for spending money. It's not like years ago when a lot of the kid's wages went to help out at home.....and we didn't buy $100 sneakers either.


103 posted on 06/04/2004 6:19:02 AM PDT by Sacajaweau (God Bless Our Troops!!)
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To: LS
The Fed will raise anyway, most likely, but I agree that the liberals will probably say that, as they have nothing else to say. The Fed would have been a lot more provoked if the payrolls had been over 300k, but this number is right in the sweet spot of good job growth without signs of rapid economic overheating.

I think back on that Council of Economic Advisers report from January that forecast all those jobs this year, and which President Bush took so much heat over. It's turning out to be true!

104 posted on 06/04/2004 6:19:50 AM PDT by KellyAdmirer
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To: babaloo

Robert Reich's idea of a 'Quality job' is serving an internship in the Clinton White House.


105 posted on 06/04/2004 6:19:54 AM PDT by JohnHuang2
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To: babaloo

No, I think they will use the "Day After" propaganda film to start blaming Bush for the weather.


106 posted on 06/04/2004 6:20:02 AM PDT by FlipWilson
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To: Allegra

Look for the New York Times to bury this on page B18 while they run "ass pyramids"(prisoner abuse) storys for the 45 straight day


107 posted on 06/04/2004 6:20:11 AM PDT by dusty99999 (AST)
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To: JohnHuang2

but but but what kind of jobs? (said in my best liberal whine)


108 posted on 06/04/2004 6:20:50 AM PDT by bluerose ("Kerry fell off his bicycle and put in for the Purple Knee" --Argus Hamilton)
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To: Tennessean4Bush

Equity markets love this report, if futures are any indication.


109 posted on 06/04/2004 6:21:38 AM PDT by JohnHuang2
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To: JohnHuang2

Great news, thanks for posting, JH2. I have sent it on to family and friends, just in case some newspapers 'forget' to publish this news ;-)


110 posted on 06/04/2004 6:22:28 AM PDT by deadhead (God Bless Our Troops and Veterans Bush-Cheney '04)
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To: deadhead

Welcome -- great to 'see' ya, btw! :-)


111 posted on 06/04/2004 6:23:01 AM PDT by JohnHuang2
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To: JohnHuang2

3 months almost a million jobs


112 posted on 06/04/2004 6:23:39 AM PDT by The Wizard (Democrats: enemies of America)
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To: JohnHuang2

Great to 'see' you too, JH2 :-) Have a great weekend.


113 posted on 06/04/2004 6:23:56 AM PDT by deadhead (God Bless Our Troops and Veterans Bush-Cheney '04)
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To: Kozak

1/3 of people hate President Bush. They will be negative about everything that can help him being re-elected. Just do not worry; in a month or two the Bush campaign will make sure that most voters memorize by heart the great economic numbers.


114 posted on 06/04/2004 6:24:29 AM PDT by jveritas
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To: babaloo
Robert Reich is spewing his anti-Bush crap now on CNBC. Job growth going in right direction but--not good quality jobs,people losing health care, deficit out of control...

And now let's hear what the Republicans have to say to promote this wonderful news and their response to the media and democrats talking it down...........


115 posted on 06/04/2004 6:27:45 AM PDT by qam1 (Tommy Thompson is a Fat-tubby, Fascist)
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To: deadhead

Thanks! You have a great weekend too :-)


116 posted on 06/04/2004 6:30:43 AM PDT by JohnHuang2
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To: The Wizard

Amen. Bad news for Lurch :-)


117 posted on 06/04/2004 6:31:19 AM PDT by JohnHuang2
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To: qam1

Hi everyone,
Lurker for years. This is my first post/reply.
Seems ABC wins for first spin. ABC radio said the high number of new jobs did NOTHING to help the unemployment rate.

Cheers!!!


118 posted on 06/04/2004 6:33:20 AM PDT by dcgst4
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To: JohnHuang2

the worst 947,000 jobs three month job growth since Hoover!!!!!!!


119 posted on 06/04/2004 6:34:35 AM PDT by Dr Snide (vis pacem, para bellum - Prepare for war if you want peace)
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To: JohnHuang2

The REVISED figures for the last 3 months show that nearly 1,000,000 new jobs were created, and the total since September is over 1,400,000. WOW!!!


120 posted on 06/04/2004 6:38:06 AM PDT by GeorgeW23225 (Liberals really aren*t bad people. It*s just that they know so much that simply ISN*T true!!)
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