Nate Silver: Trump closing in, Clinton lead 'a lot less safe' than Obama's in 2012

The Washington Examiner ^ | September 25, 2016 | Paige Winfield Cunningham

[2ndDivisionVet]

(TWEET-AT-LINK)

A model from election-forecasting whiz Nate Silver shows Donald Trump once again closing in on Hillary Clinton, as he did right after the party conventions in July, and warned that Clinton's lead is "a lot less safe" than President Obama's lead in the polls in 2012.

Silver's FiveThirtyEight website currently gives Clinton a 58.1 percent chance and Trump a 41.9 percent chance of becoming president.

That's not the closest the two candidates have been, as Silver's widely-respected projection showed them neck-and-neck on July 30. Clinton opened a wider lead over Trump in August in Silver's model, but Trump has been making steady poll gains in September....

[BRL]

A regular beetle bomb that trump is.

[erlayman]

All meaningless at least until after the first debate.

[Kozy]

He is more than good weeks behind.

[Kozy]

He is more than two weeks behind.

[COBOL2Java]

A model from election-forecasting whiz...

He's a whiz? What flavor?

[max americana]

You mean the same model which hilariously missed the mark in the last midterm elections? Is shooting darts at a dartboard really a good model?

[Voluntaryist]

Nate Plastic is about to be BTFO

[WashingtonFire]

Nate Silver is a fraud.

His fame is entirely based on a 2012 election in which the GOP candidate was paid to lose without a fight

[donozark]

Its only been two weeks since Hillary’s last fall. Give the girl a chance! LOL!!

[mrsmith]

“Vote for the ‘Black’ person!” has more appeal to racists than “Vote for that ‘White’ person not that ‘White’ person!”

Hillary just isn’t going to get the racist turnout that Obama did. Of course Nate can’t say that...

[KavMan]

LOL Obama was never going to lose reelection! Helmut Norpoth had Obama winning in January!!!!!!!!!!

VIDEO

[Brilliant]

Whether Trump wins or loses will depend on the debates. In particular THIS debate.

[MaxFlint]

During the primaries the anti-Trump posters kept using polls about imaginary matchups to argue that their candidate was better. I said the polls were just made up, and that as the election drew near the biased pollsters and analysts would become more honest, if only to avoid looking completely ridiculous when the votes were counted. Nate is getting started early so he can pretend he called it.