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Trump Is Collapsing in Wisconsin: And that’s really bad for his delegate math
Slate ^ | March 30, 2016 | Jim Newell

Posted on 03/30/2016 11:52:47 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

The April 5 Republican primary in Wisconsin is looking less like a toss-up between Donald Trump and Sen. Ted Cruz and more like a probable win for Cruz. This would be a fairly grave problem for Trump in his effort to reach 1,237 delegates ahead of the convention. Further, a new Wisconsin poll from a well-respected outfit shows horrific favorability ratings for Trump in the state among all voters, mirroring his recent national downturn. If he can’t reach enough delegates ahead of the convention, and his support shows signs of erosion in the final contests—all while his overall favorability rating dives from pretty terrible to comically toxic—it’s going to be that much harder for him to convince delegates to stick with him in Cleveland.

The just-released Marquette Law School poll for March finds Cruz at 40 percent in the state, with Trump at 30 percent and John Kasich at 21 percent. Trump’s 30 percent is actually stable from the February version of the poll … when there were three more candidates still in the race. Cruz’s support, meanwhile, has shot up 21 points in a month, while Kasich’s has increased 13. The once dearly held theory of the Trump ceiling—that his support would never exceed one-third of the primary electorate and thus would not grow even once the field had consolidated—has been shattered in some states. If this poll holds, though, the theory appears to apply to Wisconsin....

(Excerpt) Read more at slate.com ...


TOPICS: Wisconsin; Campaign News; Parties; Polls
KEYWORDS: 1stcanadiansenator; 2nddivisionvet; cruz; globalistcruz; implosion; jimnewell; leftistsource; noteligiblecruz; openboarderscruz; slate; slatereally; tedcruz; trump; unipartyposter; wisconsin
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To: LNV

The GOPe’s latest thing is to free up all delegates at the convention...whereupon they will be well paid to vote for the GOPe globalist.


81 posted on 03/31/2016 3:54:09 AM PDT by combat_boots (The Lion of Judah cometh. Hallelujah. Gloria Patri, Filio et Spiritui Sancto!)
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To: nathanbedford

You have turned out to be the most unhinged, mindless Trump hater on this site, and that is quite an accomplishment.


82 posted on 03/31/2016 3:54:30 AM PDT by odawg
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To: ozaukeemom

Excellent—cyber high five FRiend!!!

I agree.

And the “Womyn for Cruz” ooookkaaay.

Almost universally, on blogs, in comment sections on articles (both conservative and liberal sites) there is a constant in the discussion on Cruz. He’s deemed creepy. Off. Not right. Ewwwww....

And that’s my reaction. I was all in for Cruz, on paper. Then I saw him. In the debates, interviews, etc. I’ve learned to trust my instincts and my instincts seem to similar to many others. He’s a creep.

The Womyn for Cruz is what I expect from the GOPe (and Creepy Ted). Don’t trust your eyes ‘Merica...trust what we tell ya, gals. No thanks. I’ll tthink on my own.

Count me, ozaukeemom, as another LIV Trumpette (or whatever the elites are calling us today).


83 posted on 03/31/2016 3:58:09 AM PDT by PennsylvaniaMom ( Just because you are paranoid, it doesn't mean they aren't out to get you...)
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To: over3Owithabrain

Yep. They will always tell you who they want to run against.


84 posted on 03/31/2016 3:59:37 AM PDT by Fresh Wind (Falcon 105)
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To: odawg
You have turned out to be the most unhinged, mindless Trump hater on this site, and that is quite an accomplishment

I read NBF's well stated factual #33 post, and you are calling that mindless, versus your baseless one-liner insult? This gets funnier by the minute.

85 posted on 03/31/2016 4:01:38 AM PDT by catfish1957 (I display the Confederate Battle Flag with pride in honor of my brave ancestors who fought w/ valor)
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To: odawg; nathanbedford

You have turned out to be the most unhinged, mindless Trump hater on this site, and that is quite an accomplishment


Wow! Nathan Bedford unhinged. FR is officially off the rail. NB is one of the most respected, well thought out Freepers in the history of FR. Who’s unhinged?


86 posted on 03/31/2016 4:02:15 AM PDT by TheRake
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To: odawg

You are confused in regards to being hinged and mindful - most likely you see your image in your computer monitor.


87 posted on 03/31/2016 4:03:31 AM PDT by corkoman
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To: nathanbedford

Very well thought out, excellent response. A rarity here on FR. Your flame retardant suit is in the mail.


88 posted on 03/31/2016 4:04:42 AM PDT by TheRake
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

I saw some earlier polls where the one cited in the article only had 471 respondents and a poll with 6000 folks showed a lead for Trump.


89 posted on 03/31/2016 4:08:23 AM PDT by trebb (Where in the the hell has my country gone?)
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To: Gaffer

when did the national enquirer become a bastion for FR???? WTF


90 posted on 03/31/2016 4:09:01 AM PDT by spacejunkie2001
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To: nathanbedford
The military will be virtually extinguished, the debt will strangle the economy, our enemies will attack from without and from with in. All of this for a misguided infatuation with a reality television, beauty contestant entrepreneur, a prize fighting promoter, a titty bar owner, a bankrupt gambling casino magnate, a grifter of vulnerable students and nutrition minded suckers, a brutal landlord, a deceiver of customers, a bully, a misogynist, a serial liar, a mountebank and a man thoroughly unworthy of the highest office in the world.

Maybe the best 15 second read in the past 6 months here. Bears repeating.

91 posted on 03/31/2016 4:17:09 AM PDT by catfish1957 (I display the Confederate Battle Flag with pride in honor of my brave ancestors who fought w/ valor)
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To: odawg

You really launched a low blow against a well-reasoned argument by a respectable never of FR. He deserves an apology from you.


92 posted on 03/31/2016 4:20:38 AM PDT by mongrel
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To: mongrel

Correction: member of FR


93 posted on 03/31/2016 4:21:13 AM PDT by mongrel
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To: nathanbedford

If you are right, so be it. Burn this sucker down and start over!


94 posted on 03/31/2016 4:27:04 AM PDT by Gadsden1st
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Slate.

/thread


95 posted on 03/31/2016 4:31:52 AM PDT by ConservativeWarrior (Fall down 7 times, stand up 8. - Japanese proverb)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Slate is a progressive rag. Zero credibility. Might as well be reading DNC propaganda.


96 posted on 03/31/2016 4:33:58 AM PDT by TheStickman (If we don't elect a PRO-America president in 2016 we lose the country!)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Funny how Zona was the end of Trump a few days before the votes were counted. Cruz and the GOPe has to win Whisky Creek or it is completely over. This is their last gasp.

Pray America wakes


97 posted on 03/31/2016 4:36:17 AM PDT by bray (Trump/Pain 2016)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Let’s see. trump needs 55% of the remaining delegates... Let’s play worse case he gets zero in WI... That’s 42. The next state to vote in NY with 95.. He’s polling 60% there vs Cruz in the low teens. So I think he’ll stay easily over target to 1237.

Of course Trump won’t get out of WI with no delegates at all so not sure what newfangled math this articles author is using but WI is no death knell for Trump.


98 posted on 03/31/2016 4:42:29 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: mongrel

“You really launched a low blow against a well-reasoned argument by a respectable never of FR. He deserves an apology from you.”

This is what I was referring to posted by your “respectable never”, whatever that is. Point out to me where it is well-reasoned. I await.

“The military will be virtually extinguished, the debt will strangle the economy, our enemies will attack from without and from with in. All of this for a misguided infatuation with a reality television, beauty contestant entrepreneur, a prize fighting promoter, a titty bar owner, a bankrupt gambling casino magnate, a grifter of vulnerable students and nutrition minded suckers, a brutal landlord, a deceiver of customers, a bully, a misogynist, a serial liar, a mountebank and a man thoroughly unworthy of the highest office in the world.”


99 posted on 03/31/2016 4:50:37 AM PDT by odawg
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To: House Atreides

Actually the downfall started the night of the Utah shellacking.


100 posted on 03/31/2016 4:51:59 AM PDT by TerrisFriend
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