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Trump Is Collapsing in Wisconsin: And that’s really bad for his delegate math
Slate ^ | March 30, 2016 | Jim Newell

Posted on 03/30/2016 11:52:47 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

The April 5 Republican primary in Wisconsin is looking less like a toss-up between Donald Trump and Sen. Ted Cruz and more like a probable win for Cruz. This would be a fairly grave problem for Trump in his effort to reach 1,237 delegates ahead of the convention. Further, a new Wisconsin poll from a well-respected outfit shows horrific favorability ratings for Trump in the state among all voters, mirroring his recent national downturn. If he can’t reach enough delegates ahead of the convention, and his support shows signs of erosion in the final contests—all while his overall favorability rating dives from pretty terrible to comically toxic—it’s going to be that much harder for him to convince delegates to stick with him in Cleveland.

The just-released Marquette Law School poll for March finds Cruz at 40 percent in the state, with Trump at 30 percent and John Kasich at 21 percent. Trump’s 30 percent is actually stable from the February version of the poll … when there were three more candidates still in the race. Cruz’s support, meanwhile, has shot up 21 points in a month, while Kasich’s has increased 13. The once dearly held theory of the Trump ceiling—that his support would never exceed one-third of the primary electorate and thus would not grow even once the field had consolidated—has been shattered in some states. If this poll holds, though, the theory appears to apply to Wisconsin....

(Excerpt) Read more at slate.com ...


TOPICS: Wisconsin; Campaign News; Parties; Polls
KEYWORDS: 1stcanadiansenator; 2nddivisionvet; cruz; globalistcruz; implosion; jimnewell; leftistsource; noteligiblecruz; openboarderscruz; slate; slatereally; tedcruz; trump; unipartyposter; wisconsin
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Excerpted to avoid some off-color language.
1 posted on 03/30/2016 11:52:47 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

That’s pretty funny. Wisconsin is a MUST win for Cruz, not for Trump.


2 posted on 03/30/2016 11:53:54 PM PDT by Ray76 (Judge Roy Moore for Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Wisconsin loves their governor.


3 posted on 03/30/2016 11:54:41 PM PDT by Jim Robinson (Resistance to tyrants is obedience to God!)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

had to happen sooner or later. the guy has been unravelling since he declared.


4 posted on 03/30/2016 11:55:10 PM PDT by JohnBrowdie (http://forum.stink-eye.net)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

This is good news for the survival of Western civilization.


5 posted on 03/30/2016 11:55:16 PM PDT by UnwashedPeasant (A slave is one who waits for someone to come and free him.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Oh Noes! Trump is done!

6 posted on 03/30/2016 11:55:27 PM PDT by SubMareener (Save us from Quarterly Freepathons! Become a MONTHLY DONOR!)
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To: Jim Robinson

So does Iowa, but it didn’t seem to matter.


7 posted on 03/30/2016 11:55:47 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

You lost me.


8 posted on 03/30/2016 11:57:01 PM PDT by Jim Robinson (Resistance to tyrants is obedience to God!)
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To: Jim Robinson

And they love the Chairman of the Republican National Committee, and they love the Speaker of the House! How could Ted Cruz loose?


9 posted on 03/30/2016 11:57:05 PM PDT by SubMareener (Save us from Quarterly Freepathons! Become a MONTHLY DONOR!)
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To: Jim Robinson

I love him as our governor.
But, tomorrow I am going to vote and it won’t be for Cruz.
I still believe that Trump loves this country and while, not perfect, he will do his best to make America safe and prosperous.

jmho


10 posted on 03/30/2016 11:58:44 PM PDT by ozaukeemom (If we continue to divide, they will conquer! Stop the circular firing squad!)
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To: ozaukeemom

Thank you!


11 posted on 03/31/2016 12:00:00 AM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: ozaukeemom

what are the first 5 things that you think he is going to do to make america safe and prosperous? I’m honestly curious.


12 posted on 03/31/2016 12:00:17 AM PDT by JohnBrowdie (http://forum.stink-eye.net)
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To: Jim Robinson

Terry Branstad in Iowa tried to torpedo Cruz over ethanol but the voters were not having it. Means ethanol is not the issue there that it has been in the past now that Cruz bravely stood up to the Corn Cartel.


13 posted on 03/31/2016 12:00:18 AM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

When Trump wins New York-oh wow look at that-numbers get better.


14 posted on 03/31/2016 12:00:21 AM PDT by period end of story (Give me a firm spot, and I will move the world.)
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To: Ray76
"Wisconsin is a MUST win for Cruz, not for Trump."

Trump has to get 1,237 delegates before the convention. Cruz does not.

If Trump gets to 1,237, he will win on the first vote. If not, there will be a second ballot, and Cruz will win. (Unless the RNC monkeys with the rules, in which case Hillary wins.)

15 posted on 03/31/2016 12:00:32 AM PDT by UnwashedPeasant (A slave is one who waits for someone to come and free him.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

April 5, 2016 — DOWNFALL HAS BEGUN!


16 posted on 03/31/2016 12:00:43 AM PDT by House Atreides (CRUZ or lose)
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To: period end of story

You had better win your home state. Look to Rubio who didn’t.


17 posted on 03/31/2016 12:02:14 AM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Can’t get anymore Uniparty than Wisconsin.


18 posted on 03/31/2016 12:02:22 AM PDT by Vision Thing (beta-male teddy runs into the arms of the Uniparty.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

A useful exercise. What are the current delegate totals and the percent of remaining delegates not yet committed b state vote? And, how far and by how much does each candidate have to go to that magic 1237? Care to answer that?

Seems to me besides ‘excerpting’ to avoid some “off color language” maybe some other salient points are being neglected.

Slate, Huffpo, National Review, Townhall, Salon, Washington Post, New York Times and on and on and on......when did all these places become bastions of Republican Resurgence.....[oh, wait! I made a funny! Forgot to include “The Resurgent].


19 posted on 03/31/2016 12:03:12 AM PDT by Gaffer
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To: UnwashedPeasant

lol

Youre smoking Cruz Kush no doubt


20 posted on 03/31/2016 12:03:39 AM PDT by wardaddy (Cruz path to nomination is a box canyon)
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