Free Republic
Browse · Search
GOP Club
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Do Trump Voters Really Exist? How Both Parties Botched Iowa
The Daily Beast ^ | January 26, 2016 | Gideon Resnick

Posted on 01/27/2016 3:51:11 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet

Bernie and Trump boast about inspiring new people to head to the polls but less than a week away from the Iowa caucuses, the number of registered voters has decreased in the state over the past year.

If the major political parties had some trick up their sleeves to get more voters registered ahead of the Iowa caucus, it hasn't happened yet.

With under a week left until people vote for the first time in 2016, the number of registered Democrats and Republicans has remained fairly static in the last six months. So the big crowds at rallies for Bernie Sanders and Donald Trump--where they boast of attracting new caucus goers in droves--hasn't translated into big gains when it comes to registered support.

At least not yet.

According to statistics from the Iowa Secretary of State's office, the number of registered Republicans has decreased from January 2015 until January 2016. The same can be said for Democrats. The number can typically fluctuate as registered members of either party do not participate in a given cycle and the actual number of participants who register on the actual caucus night will not be finally tallied until months later, after auditors extensively pour over the numbers....

(Excerpt) Read more at thedailybeast.com ...


TOPICS: Iowa; Campaign News; Parties; Polls
KEYWORDS: iowa; stupidarticle; stupidparty; trump
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-69 next last
To: heights

Sadly for America, he does.


21 posted on 01/27/2016 4:16:38 PM PST by napscoordinator
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: RightGuy

Aha. Good point.


22 posted on 01/27/2016 4:17:21 PM PST by Uncle Miltie (Populism is what Populism does.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 20 | View Replies]

To: BigEdLB

How many votes will Trump and Sanders need to win? Trump probably believes he already won in Iowa and New Hampshire and South Carolina and Nevada.


23 posted on 01/27/2016 4:20:13 PM PST by FreedBird (id)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: napscoordinator
Cruz is a nasty liar.

Now Chuck Shumer, there's a guy that can be dealt with.

24 posted on 01/27/2016 4:20:19 PM PST by skeeter
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 21 | View Replies]

To: RightGuy

Trump gets 30+% of 160,000 votes in Iowa. Wonder how much it costs per vote?


25 posted on 01/27/2016 4:22:40 PM PST by FreedBird (id)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 20 | View Replies]

To: 2ndDivisionVet

I vote; therefore, I am.


26 posted on 01/27/2016 4:24:27 PM PST by RC one ("...all persons born in the allegiance of the United States are natural-born citizens" US v. WKA)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SubMareener

Wow, I never thought the Primary would involve Schrodinger’s Cat.


27 posted on 01/27/2016 4:25:05 PM PST by Flick Lives (One should not attend even the end of the world without a good breakfast. -- Heinlein)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: heights

Same day registration.


28 posted on 01/27/2016 4:25:45 PM PST by sunrise_sunset
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: skeeter

“Cruz is a nasty liar.”

I have to admit that I am shocked by how easily he lies and blames others. It must be a first term Senator thing.


29 posted on 01/27/2016 4:26:13 PM PST by napscoordinator
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 24 | View Replies]

To: napscoordinator

Well then its a good thing Schumer has had many terms. He’s gonna be an equal partner in a Trump administration.


30 posted on 01/27/2016 4:28:26 PM PST by skeeter
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 29 | View Replies]

To: RightGuy
Add to that the number of party-switchers who will also caucus Monday evening and the results could well be YUGE!

If I may question your numbers, the 120,000 caucus goers included party-switchers.

And, that year, the Dem candidate was uncontested -- while this year it will be hotly contested.

Consequently, there will likely be fewer cross-overs than in the past.

31 posted on 01/27/2016 4:28:48 PM PST by okie01 (The Mainstream Media: IGNORANCE ON PARADE)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 20 | View Replies]

To: RightGuy

There are not 1 million plus registered Republicans in Iowa. Not even close.


32 posted on 01/27/2016 4:29:32 PM PST by jwalsh07
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 20 | View Replies]

To: okie01

Fair point. Though I suspect there will be significant party switchers this year, of the “Reagan/Trump Democrat” variety at least according to some polling information. (Rush has spoken of this group numerous times recently).


33 posted on 01/27/2016 4:32:23 PM PST by RightGuy
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 31 | View Replies]

To: 2ndDivisionVet

good lord man, you’re so far down in the bottom of the anti-Trump barrel you’re posting ridiculous hit pieces from the Daily Beast now?

still, i’ll have to say that i admire the ostrich-head-in-the-sand approach by the Daily Beast: close eyes, cover ears, and go “la-la-la-la-la-la-la” REALLY loudly. it sorta worked when we were kids, so it ought to sorta work now, hey?


34 posted on 01/27/2016 4:34:05 PM PST by catnipman (Cat Nipman: Vote Republican in 2012 and only be called racist one more time!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: jwalsh07

You are right; sorry and thanks for the catch. Here are the corrected numbers:

Total Iowa Registered Republicans as of 1/14/16 = 612,112
- per Iowa Secretary of State website

(The 2012 total Republican caucus vote was 121,255).

These are the possible turnout scenarios for 2016:

If 120,000 turn out, that = 19.6% turnout

If 140,000 turn out, that = 22.8%

If 160,000 turn out, that = 26.1%

If 180,000 turn out, that = 29.4%

If 200,000 turn out, that = 32.6%

It is entirely possible that 160,000 will turn out this year, just a one-third increase over 2012, and still just 26.1% of total registered Republicans.

Add to that the number of party-switchers who will also caucus Monday evening and the results could well be YUGE!


35 posted on 01/27/2016 4:38:46 PM PST by RightGuy
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 32 | View Replies]

To: sunrise_sunset
Same day registration.

Bus in from out of state, same day register and vote.

36 posted on 01/27/2016 4:40:01 PM PST by FreeReign
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 28 | View Replies]

To: 2ndDivisionVet

Isn’t the Daily Beast where all the liberal hack writers go to die?


37 posted on 01/27/2016 4:41:00 PM PST by bigbob ("Victorious warriors win first ande then go to war" Sun Tzu.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: RightGuy
I suspect there will be significant party switchers this year, of the “Reagan/Trump Democrat” variety at least according to some polling information. (Rush has spoken of this group numerous times recently).

I don't discount their existence, but I question whether they are motivated to change parties and caucus with strangers at this stage of the game.

There will be some cross-over, for sure, but it may not approach what some people expect.

38 posted on 01/27/2016 4:43:38 PM PST by okie01 (The Mainstream Media: IGNORANCE ON PARADE)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 33 | View Replies]

To: 2ndDivisionVet
I heard on CNN tonight that they can register at the caucus...same day registration.

Sign up on your way in the door.

39 posted on 01/27/2016 4:45:38 PM PST by Mariner (War Criminal #18 - Be The Leaderless Resistance)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Red Steel

Beck lives in Escher world (the artist)


40 posted on 01/27/2016 4:48:25 PM PST by BigEdLB (Take it Easy, Chuck. I'm Not Taking it Back -- Donald Trump)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 15 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-69 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
GOP Club
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson