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Prediction market: Trump now leads in odds to win GOP nomination
CNN Politics ^ | August 27, 2015 | Daniella Diaz

Posted on 08/27/2015 10:57:20 PM PDT by entropy12

Washington (CNN)GOP presidential candidate Donald Trump is at 23% likely to win the GOP nomination, according to a prediction markets game run by the company Pivit.

On Monday, the real estate mogul was at 19% likely to win the nomination, second to former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush who was at 24% odds. Bush's odds have now dropped below Trump's. As of Thursday morning, Bush was a at 20% odds to win the nomination.

The company has a partnership with CNN for users to play and predict the outcome of the 2016 election.

(Excerpt) Read more at cnn.com ...


TOPICS: Campaign News
KEYWORDS: trump
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First they said Trump was not serious. Then they said he would never file papers. Then they said he would never file financial data. Then they said he was Herman Cain II, and would be gone in a month. Rand Paul & Jeb Bush said he will not be the nominee.

Today is August 27th, and Trump has the highest chance of nomination compared to any any other candidate, according to this report.

He leads in every early primary state, IA, NH, SC. Have you seen anything like this before? I have not since I got interested in US politics watching JFK-Nixon debate from basement media room of my dorm at U of Iowa. I was a foreign student enrolled in graduate program in engineering.

1 posted on 08/27/2015 10:57:20 PM PDT by entropy12
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Comment #3 Removed by Moderator

Dang! I didn’t mean to press 2.


4 posted on 08/27/2015 11:05:01 PM PDT by MUDDOG
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To: entropy12

Trump’s road to the nomination is becoming a movement unlike anything I ever seen.


5 posted on 08/27/2015 11:05:12 PM PDT by superfan
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To: superfan

He says things people want to hear....but would he be a good President? Is he the right person for the country?


6 posted on 08/27/2015 11:07:54 PM PDT by Dallas59 (Only a fool stumbles on things behind him.)
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To: superfan

Don’t know how it will end, but last 2 months have been the most exciting living as a political junkie.


7 posted on 08/27/2015 11:08:11 PM PDT by entropy12 (Trump is incorruptible. He is the only one who can run a campaign without rich donors.)
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To: Dallas59

Trump would be better than most! Especially Bush. Why? Because he has been actually getting things done all his life, and his projects usually finish ahead of schedule.

You have to experience playing golf on one of his world class resorts, or stay in any worldwide Trump hotel to experience the genius behind the construction.

COMPETENCY!


8 posted on 08/27/2015 11:12:47 PM PDT by entropy12 (Trump is incorruptible. He is the only one who can run a campaign without rich donors.)
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To: Dallas59

That is my question too, he is saying all the right stuff, but will he act on it? He is a little to Narcissistic and likes to change wives a little to often to suit me.

The Narcissistic pres we have now makes me leery of those type people. What would happen if he called some female head if state a Bimbo like he calls some women?


9 posted on 08/27/2015 11:17:47 PM PDT by GailA (If You don't keep your Promises to Our Troops, you won't keep them to anyone. Ret. SCPO's wife)
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To: entropy12

I watched the JFK-Nixon debate in the living room of our home.. I was 5. I remember my Mom And Dad saying “why do you want to watch this?? it’s stupid and boring!”

I sat there wondering if I was perhaps adopted? lol

I quipped that Nixon looked hot (not hot hot, but sweating hot ..lol)

I was all in for Nixon, I said he seemed smarter than the good looking guy that talked funny.

Gawd that was a long time ago...I’m so old :-(

We lived in Rockford Ill, a great place then... a hellhole now.


10 posted on 08/27/2015 11:20:49 PM PDT by Bobalu (See my freep page for political images.)
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To: entropy12

Polling experts agree on one thing when it comes to Donald Trump’s presidential run: They’ve never seen anything like it.

The billionaire businessman’s dominance of the Republican presidential race is forcing experienced political hands to question whether everything they know about winning the White House is wrong.

The shocks have come in quick succession, with Trump first rocketing to the top of national polls, and then taking double-digit leads in the early voting states of Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina.
In another act of political magic, Trump managed to flip his favorability rating from negative to positive in one poll during the span of a month — a feat that Monmouth University’s Patrick Murray called “astounding.”

excerpt from http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/252066-pollsters-dumbfounded-by-trump


11 posted on 08/27/2015 11:20:58 PM PDT by entropy12 (Trump is incorruptible. He is the only one who can run a campaign without rich donors.)
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To: Bobalu

I remember Nixon more than JFK. I still remember him sweating. But I was rooting for Nixon, without knowing why. Later I watched every news conference of president Kennedy. He had to be the most charming and charismatic president in my lifetime, setting aside ideology.

Nah you are not old. I am now mid-70’s and do not feel my age at all. Still Shoot in low 80’s. Secret to staying young is keeping as active as possible.


12 posted on 08/27/2015 11:27:13 PM PDT by entropy12 (Trump is incorruptible. He is the only one who can run a campaign without rich donors.)
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To: entropy12

You are obviously very bright! (as are so many freepers)

I predict no Alzheimers in your future!

:-)

Live long, and prosper.


13 posted on 08/27/2015 11:32:19 PM PDT by Bobalu (See my freep page for political images.)
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To: entropy12

If Trump succeeds in keeping Bush away from the nomination, we may finally see a conservative GOP nominee. It’s a long way from here to there, but I like where Bush is in the polls right now and want to see him stay down there.


14 posted on 08/27/2015 11:41:04 PM PDT by AnotherUnixGeek
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To: Dallas59

I don’t think anyone but Trump can beat the democrat nominee.


15 posted on 08/27/2015 11:44:34 PM PDT by superfan
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To: Dallas59

We won’t know unless he is elected. Your question is one that has been asked for a long time. I wonder if you think that about all the candidates, or does Trump get your motor running?


16 posted on 08/27/2015 11:48:10 PM PDT by goodtomato (I'm really, really blessed!)
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To: GailA

Some deserve it

Think that lady in Argentina


17 posted on 08/27/2015 11:50:45 PM PDT by wardaddy (My ears are bleeding....FOX ..all I hear are shrill high pitched whiney women taking over each other)
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To: Bobalu

The Nixon Kennedy debate was the first tv show I ever watched, I was 6. i had no opinion of either but I do very clearly remember Nixon’s five oclock shadow and how that made him look rough.


18 posted on 08/27/2015 11:51:19 PM PDT by HerrBlucher (Abortion is murder)
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To: Bobalu

“I quipped that Nixon looked hot (not hot hot, but sweating hot ..lol)”

You were quite perceptive. Nixon was recovering from a bout with the flu.


19 posted on 08/28/2015 12:12:06 AM PDT by Pelham (Without deportation you have defacto amnesty)
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To: entropy12

Ran across an old Bob Hope Show golf joke the other day. About like this: Bob Hope: “Arnie, I’m having a heck of a time knocking of those 7 or 8 strokes a round I know I can, any suggestions?” Arnold Palmer: “Just skip 1 of the Par 3’s Bob!”


20 posted on 08/28/2015 12:12:41 AM PDT by bobby.223 (Retired up in the snowy mountains of the American Redoubt and it's a great life!)
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