Posted on 08/03/2015 2:06:04 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
Donald Trump may seem invincible right now, but his current run cant last. Even if the belligerent billionaire and current GOP front-runner doesnt implode on the debate stage next week or on the campaign trail next month, the fundamentals of American politics will still catch up to him: At some point the GOP field will narrow and an establishment favorite will consolidate enough support to knock Trump from his perch. Eventually, that means he will exit a nominating battle he cannot win.
Its no surprise, then, that the Washington parlor game of predicting how Trumps campaign will end is now turning into one about what will happen with his supporters when it does.
There is no shortage of possibilities. Writing in the National Journal on Friday, for example, political analyst Charlie Cook pegs Chris Christie and Ted Cruzs camps as likely homes for Trumps backers once their first choice is out of the race. In the Washington Post, meanwhile, James Holmann calls it a jump ball before ultimately suggesting Trumps loss could be Mike Huckabees gain. While the predictions vary, the rationale behind them is usually the same: Whoever wins the Trump sweepstakes will be someone who shares his anti-establishment anger....
(Excerpt) Read more at slate.com ...
He does say that polls show a lot of overlap between Bush and Trump supporters. Those are the two best known candidates so it's not really surprising. If you've only heard of two or three candidates, your second choice if your guy drops out isn't going to be somebody you never heard of.
Trump voters don't fit into any narrow group. They won't all go to the same second choice if Trump leaves the race. They'll find as much to dislike as like in Jeb or Huck or Ted or Chris. Given his high poll numbers, Trump will still be around when a lot of the other candidates have packed up and gone home.
-PJ
myth miTH/
noun
a widely held but false belief or idea.
I agree. Until Trump came in Walker was everybody’s second choice.
Silly man. You still believe words mean things to ‘conservatives’.
Considering the word ‘conservative’ has lost all meaning with lesser evil idiocy, “Myth’ could well mean set in stone fact”. Example.
“Trump is Severely Conservative”
Wanna bet someone on this thread would loudly agree?
I see. Enemies of the people, every one.
More wishful thinking from terrified liberals. Trump has burned all his bridges. It’s the Oval Office or bust. He is a very dangerous man, and I love it. The Uniparty needs to be smashed to bits, and he is the only one to do it. Plus I want to see him appoint Rafael Theodore Cruz as the new Chief Justice.
Be honest, when Trump said that, no one knew how pro-amnesty Bush has become now.
We should never gauge a candidate's conservative credentials based on what he or she may say while campaigning. We must always look at his or her history. And Trump has a well-documented and well-known history of being a liberal. So did Mitt Romney and he was rightly rejected.
Yup. But doing that means no unicorn farming. And people today are too gutless to stand on principle. They want what liberals want. Deniability/excuses/evil.
If they didn’t, they’d back and elect conservatives.
Be honest, do you really believe Jeb Bush’s only liberal leanings are on immigration? The man’s a liberal on many issues. I personally believe that’s why Trump supported him. You’re free to believe what you will.
Cruz—He’s the only one, as far as I can tell, that hasn’t insulted Trump’s supporters.
That’s great!
I will tell you exactly what will happen and that is a lot of people will just stay home. If they are like me they are tired of the lies and promises not kept.
No more professional politicians.
So I guess we will just see what shakes out.
They are only hoping that Trump is going to drop out.
If Bush cut taxes and cut size of government increased jobs in Florida, he can’t be a tax and spend liberal progressive. But I just can’t “love” the illegals as he wants us to.
You need to stop listening to the candidate and look at the facts.
Bush, like his brother, is a big spender. The Florida budget increased 45% under his watch.
Do you call that cutting the size of government?
Agreed but for me it was also the terry shivo issue and how he could have stood up for her. Speaks volumes to his lack of character.
Trump also has a history- on youtube, no less, of saying exactly the same things he’s saying now. Interview with Oprah Winfrey. 1988, IIRC.
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