Why It’s So Hard to Predict What Happens With Trump’s Supporters When He Drops Out

Slate ^ | July 31, 2015 | Josh Voorhees, senior writer, Iowa City

[2ndDivisionVet]

Donald Trump may seem invincible right now, but his current run can’t last. Even if the belligerent billionaire and current GOP front-runner doesn’t implode on the debate stage next week or on the campaign trail next month, the fundamentals of American politics will still catch up to him: At some point the GOP field will narrow and an establishment favorite will consolidate enough support to knock Trump from his perch. Eventually, that means he will exit a nominating battle he cannot win.

It’s no surprise, then, that the Washington parlor game of predicting how Trump’s campaign will end is now turning into one about what will happen with his supporters when it does.

There is no shortage of possibilities. Writing in the National Journal on Friday, for example, political analyst Charlie Cook pegs Chris Christie and Ted Cruz’s camps as likely homes for Trump’s backers once their first choice is out of the race. In the Washington Post, meanwhile, James Holmann calls it a “jump ball” before ultimately suggesting Trump’s loss could be Mike Huckabee’s gain. While the predictions vary, the rationale behind them is usually the same: Whoever wins the Trump sweepstakes will be someone who shares his anti-establishment anger....

[entropy12]

Ideology – Trump leads Walker 27% to 16% among very conservative voters; has 22% support among somewhat conservative voters to 14% for Bush and 12% for Walker; and takes 28% of the moderate to liberal voter compared to 20% for Bush.

Tea Party – Tea Party supporters back Trump (35%) over Walker (15%) and Cruz (11%). Non-Tea Party supporters split their top support between Trump (20%) and Bush (16%).

.......excerpted from Hot Air article

[entropy12]

I am convinced the main reason Trump has catapulted to the top is because of republican success in 2010 (house) & 2014 (senate). People are waking up to the fact that professional politicians are all talk to get votes, and then no follow through after elections. The professional politicians morph into puppets of their sugar daddy rich donors instead of the vast middle class who voted them in. Trump is resonating because he does NOT NEED SUGAR DADDY’s.

Pray America is waking.