Latest SurveyUSA CA poll (Plus SurveyUSA Debate Poll)

Surveyusa.com ^ | 09/24/2004 | SurveyUSA

[KQQL]

Remove Davis 57%

Keep Davis 42%

Undecided 1%

Data Collected 9/19/03 - 9/22/03

Geography State of California

Universe 827 Certain Voters

Margin of Error 3.5% ------------------

-------------------------------------

CA Governor Replacement 9/23/2003

Schwarzenegger (R) 39%

Bustamante (D) 32%

McClintock (R) 18%

Huffington (I) 4%

Other 3%

Undecided 4%

Data Collected 9/19/03 - 9/22/03

Geography State of California

Universe 789 Certain Voters

Margin of Error 3.6%

[JohnHuang2]

Bump

[KQQL]

SurveyUSA

09/23/2003               09/10/2003               08/26/2003 
Remove Davis 57%         Remove Davis 62%         Remove Davis 64%
Keep Davis 42%           Keep Davis 37%           Keep Davis 35%

Schwarzenegger 39% (0%)  Schwarzenegger 39% (-6%) Schwarzenegger 45% 
Bustamante 32% (+3%      Bustamante 29% (0%)      Bustamante 29%                     
McClintock 18% (+2%)     McClintock 16% (+5%)     McClintock 11% 
Huffington 3% (0%)       Ueberroth 6% (0%)        Ueberroth 6%     
Other 3% (0%)            Huffington 3% (0%)       Huffington 3%
Undecided 4% (0%)        Other 4% (0%)            Other 4%
                         Undecided 3% (+1%)       Undecided 2%

Certain Voters (MOE 3.5% & MOE 3.6%)
---------------------------------------------------------------

Field Poll

09/??/2003              09/09/2003               08/15/2003 
Yes on Recall           Yes on Recall 55%        Yes on Recall 58%  
No on Recall            No on Recall 40%         No on Recall 37%  

Bustamante              Bustamante 30% (+5%)     Bustamante 25%
Schwarzenegger          Schwarzenegger25% (+3%)  Schwarzenegger 22%
McClintock              McClintock 13% (+4%)     McClintock 9%
Arianna                 Ueberoth 5% (0%)         Ueberoth 5%                   
Camejo                  Arianna 3% (-1%)         Arianna 4%               
                        Camejo 2% (0%)           Camejo 2%          
                                     
Likely Voters (MOE 4.5%)
-------------------------------------------------------------

LA Times 09/12/03                     08/00/03
For Recall 50%                        For Recall 50%
Against Recall 47%                    Against Recall 45% 

Cruz 30% (-5%)                        Cruz 35%% 
Arnold 25% (+3%)                      Arnold 22%                          
McClintock 18% (+6%)                  McClintock 12%               
Ueberoth 8% (+1%)                     Ueberoth 7%
Arianna 3% (0%)                       Arianna 3% 
Camejo 2% (0%)                        Camejo 2%        
             
Likely Voters (MOE 3%)                  
----------------------------------------------------------------

Stanford/Knowledge Networks poll 
09/10/2003

Recall leads 62% - 38%
Arnold 40%
Cruz 28%
McClintock 8%
Ueberoth 7%
Arianna 1%
Others 7%

Likely Voters (MOE 4.3%)

--------------------------------------------

[ambrose]

(Plus SurveyUSA Debate Poll)

Eh?

[exnavy]

Will the last person leaving Kalifornia, please turn off the lights. Oh never mind, their already off.

[Fledermaus]

Here is a link to the PDF file.

It's a good read. Go through the 16 pages of the breakdown and you will see that Davis is in real trouble.

Liberals, Davis '02 voters, Democrats and other groups want him gone. As usual for Dems, the black vote is still in the Davis camp although something like 20% are willing to throw him out.

http://www.surveyusa.com/2003_Elections/CA030923RecallReplace.pdf

[goody2shooz]

Looks like Arnold is doing just fine. McClintock could, I suspect, be the power and guide behind Governor Schwarznegger for the asking.

Just a suggestion.

[Fledermaus]

Wait...it's 33% FOR recall amongst blacks

[KQQL]

DEBATE WINNERS: PER SURVEYUSA:

ARNOLD: 32%
TOM 22%
CRUZ 13%
Camejo 6%
ARRRRRainna 4%
No Clue 1%
MOE 4.7%

[KQQL]

sorry just posted debate numbers.

[ambrose]

Source?

[KQQL]

Thanks :)

[KQQL]

@

[KQQL]

BUBBA's MAgic ....not working.......

[KQQL]

Survey usa

[notarinoconservative]

Thanks for the update. It just proves to all you "rino" (republican in name only) conservatives that voting for a true conservative (McClintock) won't ruin our chances for beating Bustamante. Remember we still have to dump Davis. Yes, we still have a chance to save this state.

[RoarkMan]

Taco Bell "poll": www.tacobell.com

78% Schwarzenegger
1% Davis (no on recall)
0% Cruz
21% Others

[KQQL]

TACO BELL GRANDE !

[ambrose]

how did SurveyUSA do in CA '02?

Their numbers are the most optimistic (for the recall) of any pollster.

[RoarkMan]

I've eaten so many of those crunchy beef tacos I'm gonna look like Cruz. Muy Bueno!