Poll: Bush down, Clark up (Clark 49% - W 46%)

Cnn/Gallup USA today ^ | Monday, September 22 | CNN

[KQQL]

Wesley Clark emerged as the Democratic front-runner days after entering the race, according to the poll.

Fifty percent of 1,003 people questioned for the poll approved of Bush's job performance -- down from 59 percent in August and 71 percent in April -- the president's lowest rating since he came to office in January 2001.

[Pubbie]

"Dean is doing great."

yes, in the primary, but when he gets to the election he'll be nuked - especially when Saddam's AlQaeda connections are released.

[cookcounty]

A. Was this "likely voters" or just an attempt at news manufacture?

B. Did they ask all the unfamiliar people if it was "Wesley Clark" or " General Wesley Clark"? I'll bet if they threw "General Jim Robinson" into the poll, the "general" would have won.

[stevem]

This is as pointless as saying Bush now enjoys 80% popularity as if that would translate to 80% of the vote.

[alwaysconservative]

To what do you attribute these results? I mean, they obviously forgot to say that only Democrats were polled, but what else has happened in the last 3 days (other than Clark flopping like a fish on the war in Iraq?)

[Redleg Duke]

Is this a poll of 50 likely DemocRAT voters?

[optimistically_conservative]

Bush vs. ?

Iraq

Bush Job Ratings

Bush Favorability Ratings

[bvw]

I'm not sure. I have not seen Bush pull any arrow yet from his quiver that can take out a Dean type.

[Redwood71]

Oh, this poll is believeable....It was done by a company, Gannett Company Inc., that own this site:

http://democrat-and-chronicle.com/?exitno=-1

Red

[pierrem15]

Of the 877 registered voters ...

Sure, they got a real mixture of Republicans in there. Right.

877 registered crack heads is more like it.

[finnman69]

If anything this shows the economy is NOT the issue. For Clark to come in and poll so well against Bush instantly shows what the voters are focused on. Iraq and foreign policy. When the specifics come out with Clark he is going to sink like a stone.

[finnman69]

People see "GENERAL" Clark and they automatically think Clark knows what he is doing. Same reason why Colin Powells numbers are high.

[bluebunny]

Good explanation of the numbers. Even I who is not that keen on President Bush can see this.

[mikeb704]

The weekend before the 1980 election, Gallup turned out a poll showing Ronald Reagan with 46 percent and Jimmy Carter with 43. Too close to call, they said. Yet Mr. Reagan ended up with a 10-point win and an electoral landslide of 489 to 49.
Michael M. Bates: My Side of the Swamp

[finnman69]

FYI

these numbers have not changed much since 9/11.

CNN/USA Today/Gallup Poll. Aug. 25-26, 2003. N=881 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 4.
.

"If George W. Bush runs for reelection in 2004, in general, are you more likely to vote for Bush or for the Democratic Party's candidate for president?"
Bush Democrat Other(vol.) Not Sure
..............% % % %
8/25-26/03 51 39 4 6
7/25-27/03 49 40 5 6
7/18-20/03 46 42 3 9
6/12-18/03 51 39 3 7
4/22-23/03 49 36 3 12
3/29-30/03 51 36 4 9
3/14-15/03 45 42 5 8
2/24-26/03 47 39 4 10
12/16-17/02 51 37 3 9
10/3-6/02 54 35 1 10
7/29-31/02 51 34 3 12
6/21-23/02 51 37 3 9
4/29 - 5/1/02 56 32 3 9
10/01 56 29 2 13
Among likely voters:

10/3-6/02 53 37 2 8

[Mr. K]

THIS IS TOO FUNNY!!!!!!!!!!

Talk about making news so as to promote it as a self-fulfilling prophecy...

LOL

[Krodg]

When my daughter was little she would tell her cousins she was going to cheat before the game began...they let her play anyway......What's the difference here?

They have already said they were going to cheat:

1,003 people questioned

877 registered voters

They've already determined the number of votes they need to 'dig up'... how do we stop them?

(I can't remember which poster noticed the 'funny' numbers...but I will find them and thank them.)

[Pubbie]

It's a push poll.

It's not hard to make one - all you need is to oversample 10% points more Democrats than Republicans and then you instantly have a poll skewed in favor of the Democrats.

[jethropalerobber]

Seems for now, W asking 87 billion for Iraq... back fired with public.

and it's almost certain he'll have to ask for another huge wad by fall 2004.

unless he decides to pull us out early, or opertation tin cup takes a massive up turn.

[jethropalerobber]

it's just NOT possible that Bush could be beaten with somebody with only 10% name recognition in national polls!

the poll cited put his name recognition at about 75% i believe. you can check online.

[jethropalerobber]

...especially when Saddam's AlQaeda connections are released.

you mean the connections bush said do not exist just this past week?