New California Field Poll leaked

Field Poll | September 20, 2003 | Field Poll

[carbon14]

Recall (yes)...53%

Bustamante.....28% Schwarzenegger.26% MadClintock....14%

For comparison (Field Poll August 18) Bustamante.....25% Schwarzenegger.22% MadClintock.....9% Simon...........8% Ueberroth.......5% Huffington......2%

[carbon14]

Effect of Simon and Ueberroth dropping out (total 13%) shows MadClintock did not climb to around 17% but dropped instead to current 14% after having several debates without dominating presence of Schwarzenegger.

Instead of Seabiscuit, MadClintock runs a horse race like Mr. Ed evidently.

[jwalsh07]

If McClintock and Arnold debate, Arnold will be beaten like a stray mutt. No comparison in knowledge of the issues, none.

You'd be better off sticking with the star quality thing and the muzzle.

[South40]

CORRECTION:

Bustamante.....28%
Schwarzenegger.....26%
MadClintock.....NO CHANCE

[thoughtomator]

FYI 9 percent to 14 percent represents a 56% increase in support, not a drop.

[goldstategop]

Large Breasts and Arnold are tied if you take the standard margin of error into account. You would think the Democratic front runner has expanded his base of support in the last two weeks. Nada! The margin for support of the recall is larger than in the Field Poll - by a factor of two. Gray Davis is toast. Republicans should get behind Arnold for when you put every one's votes together, he can beat Large Breasts hands down. Let's not blow it, people.

[ambrose]

Source?

[thoughtomator]

Where's the other 32% of the voters in the survey? Are there more undecideds than support any one candidate?

[goldstategop]

Yes, but Tom is still a distant third. Wasn't he the one telling us he was going to overtake Arnold by now and go on to win this?

[LisaAnne]

Republicans should get behind Arnold for when you put every one's votes together, he can beat Large Breasts hands down. Let's not blow it, people.

Don't beat your head against a brick wall for too long, it could be dangerous to your well-being.

[thoughtomator]

If Arnold doesn't represent the CA GOP "blowing it", I don't know what does. The party establishment has, by supporting a liberal, blown the chance to have a worthy governor in Sacramento.

[ambrose]

Let's see if this is even a "Field Poll" before discussing this seriously. No source has been provided.

[goldstategop]

There are undecideds and I'm not surprised. I think every one is waiting for a last minute nasty leak to be revealed about Arnold by the Democrats in the last 48 hours before the election. I'm sure they've saved the best for last. And you never know if the election is going to be cancelled, so why bother making up your mind if you're never going to get anywhere near a voting booth?

[thoughtomator]

The only poll that matters is the one on Oct. 7. I don't believe traditional polling will really produce reliable results in this most unusual election.

[Reagan Man]

Now all of a sudden, the Field Poll is a-okay.

You Arnoldnuts are hilarious.

[ambrose]

I wonder who the already cast 500k + absentee ballots went for

[Godebert]

Arnold Schwarzenegger's views in his own words:

Pro Gun Control

• "I'm for gun control. I'm a peace-loving guy." (Time magazine cover story, Aug 18, 2003) When interviewed on the issues by Sean Hannity on August 27th, Schwarzenegger admitted that he is for gun control. He said he supported both the Brady Bill and the ban on so-called "assault weapons." He said, "Also I would like to close the loophole of the gun shows." When asked by the Sacramento Bee to detail his positions on gun issues (scroll down), Arnold stated that he supports legislation to ban .50-caliber rifles, force gun buyers to pass a state-defined test in order to purchase a handgun, and require load indicators or magazine safety disconnects on new semiauto handguns.
• Pro Abortion
  Schwarzenegger appeared on FoxNews' "Bill O'Reilly" program in May 2001 and said he disagreed with President Bush's pro-life position. "I'm for choice," Schwarzenegger said on the program. "The women should have the choice. The women should decide what they want to do with their bodies. I'm all for that." When interviewed on the issues by Sean Hannity on August 27th, Schwarzenegger admitted again that he is "pro-choice".
• Pro Gay Agenda
  From Cosmopolitan magazine, "I have no sexual standards in my head that say this is good or this is bad. Homosexual-that only means to me that he enjoys sex with a man and I enjoy sex with a woman. It's all legitimate to me." He also supports gay adoption, despite the fact that both conservative Republicans and moderate Democrats voted by a 61 percent margin for Proposition 22, the Defense of Marriage Initiative, which defined marriage as that between a man and a woman. (Newsmax, 28 July 2003)
  When interviewed on the issues by Sean Hannity on August 27th, Schwarzenegger admitted that he is for legalized "domestic partnerships" which would give gay couples the same benefits as marriage.
• Pro Big Government Programs
  Regarding the passage of Proposition 49, a big government social scheme providing funds for after school programs: "Every California child deserves access to a proven, quality, life-changing afterschool program, and now they will have it. My hope is that, as goes California, so goes the rest of our nation." When interviewed on the issues by Sean Hannity on August 27th, Schwarzenegger said that he believes that social programs should be focused on children. He said, "I think the important thing, again, is that we work on education and really make sure that the kids have the first run at our treasury."
  In the same interview with Hannity, Schwarzenegger said that he supports big government programs to buy back leases as a measure to protect the environment. He said, "I think that our state government and our federal government should negotiate to buy back the leases [from the oil companies.]"
  
• Pro Environmentalist Agenda
  When a reporter asked him in early August to detail his positions on the environment, he said "I will fight for the environment. Nothing to worry about."
  When interviewed on the issues by Sean Hannity on August 27th, Schwarzenegger said he did not support offshore oil drilling. He said, "No, absolutely not. I think that we should stop the oil drilling and I think that our state government and our federal government should negotiate to buy back the leases [from the oil companies.]"
  
• Pro Clinton/Anti Impeachment
  In 1999, Schwarzenegger told George magazine of his bitterness about the frenzy over Monica Lewinsky and Bill Clinton and the waste of time and energy it represented. "That was another thing I will never forgive the Republican Party for," he said. "I was ashamed to call myself a Republican during that period."
  
• Soft on Illegal Immigration
  In a radio interview with KABC radio host Larry Elder on August 27th, Schwarzenegger said that allowing illegal immigrants to stay in the United States is "the right thing to do." Last year, while campaigning for his Prop. 49 after-school programs initiative, Schwarzenegger...declared in answer to a question from the audience: "I would never stand in the way of any child going to school, whether he or she is here legally or illegally, it does not matter." (Sacramento Bee, 24 August)

[Mark Felton]

Leadership skills are far more valuable than "knowledge of the issues". Administrators and clerks can provide all the detailed knowledge you need but that doesn't make them leaders.

Schwarznegger dwarfs McClintock in proven leadership skills.

It's the values that count, and the ability to drive those values into the system from the top down.

Being a competent bureaucrat is not a positive reason to elect a politician.

[Godebert]

We can see what Arnolds "values" are.

[socal_parrot]

Wow! If the Field Poll has Arnold within 2% at 26%, he must now really be around 40%. The Democrat strategy of keeping no chance candidate McClintock in the race to get Bust-MEChA elected must not be working.


Cool.