Hurricane Isabel:Live Thread #2 "Force Ten Conditions In North Carolina And Further North"

NHC | 9-17-03 | My Favorite Headache

[My Favorite Headache]

Hurricane Isabel Advisory Number 48

Statement as of 11:00 PM EDT on September 17, 2003

...Outer bands of Hurricane Isabel moving onshore...weather should gradually worsen...

A Hurricane Warning remains in effect from Cape Fear North Carolina to Chincoteague Virginia...including Pamlico and Albemarle sounds...and the Chesapeake Bay south of Smith Point. A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected within the warning area...generally within 24 hours.

All preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion in the Hurricane Warning area.

A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect south of Cape Fear to South Santee River South Carolina...and north of Chincoteague to Sandy Hook New Jersey...including Delaware Bay. A Tropical Storm Warning also remains in effect for the Chesapeake Bay from Smith Point northward...and for the tidal Potomac.

At 11 PM EDT...0300z...the center of Hurricane Isabel was located by an Air Force reconnaissance aircraft near latitude 31.9 north... longitude 73.9 west or about 250 miles south-southeast of Cape Hatteras North Carolina.

Isabel is moving toward the north-northwest near 13 mph. A turn to the northwest with an increase in forward speed is expected prior to landfall. On the forecast track...the center of Isabel is expected to make landfall in eastern North Carolina during the day Thursday. However...conditions will deteriorate over a large area well before the center reaches the coast. Tropical storm conditions are already spreading across the coastline.

Maximum sustained winds are near 105 mph...with higher gusts. A slight increase in strength is possible prior to landfall.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 115 miles from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 315 miles. A buoy located west of the hurricane recently reported wind gusts to 74 mph and 32 foot waves.

An Air Force hurricane hunter plane recently reported a minimum central pressure of 956 mb...28.23 inches.

Storm surge flooding of 7 to 11 feet above normal tide levels... along with extremely large and dangerous battering waves...is expected near and to the north of where the center crosses the coast. Storm surge flooding of 4 to 8 ft above normal tide levels is expected in Chesapeake Bay and the tidal portions of adjacent rivers.

Storm total rainfalls of 6 to 10 inches...with locally higher amounts...are likely in association with Isabel.

There is a threat of isolated tornadoes over eastern North Carolina and southeastern Virginia on Thursday.

Repeating the 11 PM EDT position...31.9 N... 73.9 W. Movement toward...north-northwest near 13 mph. Maximum sustained winds...105 mph. Minimum central pressure... 956 mb.

For storm information specific to your area...please monitor products issued by your local weather office.

An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at 2 am EDT followed by the next complete advisory at 5 am EDT.

Forecaster Avila

[bd476]

Thanks for the Fox update on President Bush and family. We don't get cable here.

This storm is a giant so I'm glad to hear that they are taking precautions in Washington, DC.

[glock rocks]

doesn't quite look that way... (awesome radar ani)

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/984598/posts?page=199#199

[AFPhys]

It's clear to me that MFH don' need no stinkin' sleep ...

[djf]

If I was in that neck of the woods, a coupla days from now I'd be on the beach with my White Quantum metal detector. No telling what the tide might drag in!

[glock rocks]

LOL... I'd join ya with my minelab soverign.

[Dog]

Morning from South Jersey.....windy here ....and c;oudy...no rain yet.

[djf]

Damn thing ain't paid for itself yet. But I did find a nice 1.5 oz Au nugget. Won't say where, though!

[Rebelbase]

OK, i was dumb enough to look.

[firewalk]

.

[glock rocks]

where on earth did you get the idea it would pay for itself??? It gets worse... they're like guns... I now own 3 of em - and I feel lucky when I can find enough stuff to buy a new set of batteries.

I love beachcombing in Oregon after a good storm and lots of stuff gets uncovered that may have been there for years and years. I have jars and jars of coins. Haven't found any gold ones, nor nuggets. Have found some jewelry. My wife is the fanatic though :o)

[NittanyLion]

Great news in that the storm never did restrengthen after dropping to 105MPH winds and approx. 957mb.

[NautiNurse]

Good morning from sunny Florida Gulf Coast.

FNC reporting that D.C. is essentially shut down.

[xsmommy]

well the airport isn't. xshub just left for his trip. i think they want to let as many people get out of town that want to, til they can't. gov't and all schools are closed.

[NautiNurse]

I noticed Orange Co. isn't even mentioned on the WRAL List of Closings by County

[NautiNurse]

I had really hoped his trip would be postponed. Hang in there.

[Petronski]

WITHOUT FAIL, put BEER/LIQUOR first. And then guns.

I wanna party with you, cowgirl.

[xsmommy]

i'm not a wimp, we will be fine. : ) it will be hell to be without the internet though, when the power goes out!

[NautiNurse]

I see the Tropical Storm warning has been extended to include Moriches Inlet New York

[DollyCali]

(I looked too!!!)

[Hillarys Gate Cult]

Found some interesting hurricane tracking information;

http://forums.fark.com/cgi/fark/comments.pl?IDLink=650403