Hurricane Isabel:Live Thread #2 "Force Ten Conditions In North Carolina And Further North"

NHC | 9-17-03 | My Favorite Headache

[My Favorite Headache]

Hurricane Isabel Advisory Number 48

Statement as of 11:00 PM EDT on September 17, 2003

...Outer bands of Hurricane Isabel moving onshore...weather should gradually worsen...

A Hurricane Warning remains in effect from Cape Fear North Carolina to Chincoteague Virginia...including Pamlico and Albemarle sounds...and the Chesapeake Bay south of Smith Point. A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected within the warning area...generally within 24 hours.

All preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion in the Hurricane Warning area.

A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect south of Cape Fear to South Santee River South Carolina...and north of Chincoteague to Sandy Hook New Jersey...including Delaware Bay. A Tropical Storm Warning also remains in effect for the Chesapeake Bay from Smith Point northward...and for the tidal Potomac.

At 11 PM EDT...0300z...the center of Hurricane Isabel was located by an Air Force reconnaissance aircraft near latitude 31.9 north... longitude 73.9 west or about 250 miles south-southeast of Cape Hatteras North Carolina.

Isabel is moving toward the north-northwest near 13 mph. A turn to the northwest with an increase in forward speed is expected prior to landfall. On the forecast track...the center of Isabel is expected to make landfall in eastern North Carolina during the day Thursday. However...conditions will deteriorate over a large area well before the center reaches the coast. Tropical storm conditions are already spreading across the coastline.

Maximum sustained winds are near 105 mph...with higher gusts. A slight increase in strength is possible prior to landfall.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 115 miles from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 315 miles. A buoy located west of the hurricane recently reported wind gusts to 74 mph and 32 foot waves.

An Air Force hurricane hunter plane recently reported a minimum central pressure of 956 mb...28.23 inches.

Storm surge flooding of 7 to 11 feet above normal tide levels... along with extremely large and dangerous battering waves...is expected near and to the north of where the center crosses the coast. Storm surge flooding of 4 to 8 ft above normal tide levels is expected in Chesapeake Bay and the tidal portions of adjacent rivers.

Storm total rainfalls of 6 to 10 inches...with locally higher amounts...are likely in association with Isabel.

There is a threat of isolated tornadoes over eastern North Carolina and southeastern Virginia on Thursday.

Repeating the 11 PM EDT position...31.9 N... 73.9 W. Movement toward...north-northwest near 13 mph. Maximum sustained winds...105 mph. Minimum central pressure... 956 mb.

For storm information specific to your area...please monitor products issued by your local weather office.

An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at 2 am EDT followed by the next complete advisory at 5 am EDT.

Forecaster Avila

[Scott from the Left Coast]

Well, the hurricane is going to last, with all that rain and stuff for at least 12 hours. And then there might be flooding and power outages...another 12 hours at the very least. You are going to need kegs for that much time.

[Howlin]

You never know:

http://images.ibsys.com/sh/images/weather/auto/9fc.jpg

[Calpernia]

This is a baby too. I will post a picture at the Finest tomorrow to save bandwidth here on this thread.

[MEG33]

That was most frightening because no one could imagine such destruction.Snow avalanches,mud slides yes..but not that river of mud and ash.

[MEG33]

Great!

[Calpernia]

WOW!!! Now I feel guilty for teasing! Glad you are here and alright, Scott.

[rwfromkansas]

I am Editor of my college paper now. Got to put in some stuff in this issue about how a poll shows wide support for Bush in Iraq.

I do my darndest to keep the news coverage balanced though. I hate bias of any form in news.

[Howlin]

How does this thing "work?"

http://hadar.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis/online/RSOgeir3.html

How do I get it to run?

[Howlin]

I may need to go to bed; I'm beginning to "see" things in those graphics.

[Scott from the Left Coast]

If memory serves right, 80 people were killed from the blast and effects of the volcano. No one was hurt as far away as we were, but it shut everything down up to 300 miles east of the volcano, and in the other directions for quite a distance as well.

[fatima]

What did you do to Miss Marple's pic.

[Calpernia]

It does look like a live throbbing beast. I think I'm off to bed myself.

Night to all.

[Calpernia]

I added the viking kittens to the top right corner.

[Timesink]

"Force Ten"?

[Calpernia]

Miss Marples was post 31, mine was post 74.

[kitkat]

I bought Adobe Elements for Mac many months ago. It's written in Greek, I believe.

If anyone can tell me where to find its symbols on the keyboard, I would be very grateful.

I'm feeling pretty stupid.

[Scott from the Left Coast]

Oh, we weren't in any danger that far away, but we certainly were shut down by the ash for a week afterward. If you were driving in a car though when the ash started coming down, your car was ruined forever...let alone trying to see through the stuff -- headlights just bounced off the ash. People who were driving had to stop for hours right on the road because they couldn't see through it even with headlights on.

[MEG33]

Good night.May you awaken to a weakened storm with little rain!

[Nita Nupress]

I am Editor of my college paper now.

That is way cool. I'm so proud of you! And your attempts to keep the reporting biasfree is commendable.

I have to run. Good luck to all of you in the path of Isabel. Stay safe.

[Dec31,1999]

Let's admit right up front that we are, in fact, weather junkies. Just get it over with. No more apologizing!

Tell it like it is, Lady! I've been a weather junkie for as long as I can remember, and proud of it! :)

The thing is is that we just cancelled the family package of Calevision to save money. Can you think of a worse week not to be able to watch the Weather Channel?