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FABIAN NOW A DANGEROUS CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE; FIRST MAJOR HURRICANE OF 2003 SEASON
National Hurricane Center/NOAA ^ | August 30, 2003 | National Hurricane Center

Posted on 08/30/2003 1:41:36 PM PDT by varina davis

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To: Arpege92
Next year I hope they use all French names.
41 posted on 08/30/2003 9:46:15 PM PDT by byteback (Don't vote for a proven loser)
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To: byteback; Arpege92
Next year I hope they use all French names.

Nope.
They're going to use "afro-centric" names, i.e.: Tawana, Ayisha, Tashanda, et al.
It has already been proposed by a Congresswoman.
Seems that the naming of hurricanes is one of the last bastions of racism that needs affrimative action.

42 posted on 08/31/2003 1:07:24 AM PDT by ppaul
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To: STARWISE
Doesn't look like ths one is a threat to south Florida. Andrew came off the coast of Africa in a straight line headed right for Florida, small, tight eye and fast. She was a reatively dry storm. This one will probably blow off to the north east. Actually, south Florida gets relatively few hurricanes.
43 posted on 08/31/2003 6:16:10 AM PDT by wingnuts'nbolts (I agree with Dick Morris. Off with their heads! Let's start with the Clintons, all three of them.)
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To: SamAdams76
Hurricane season is in progress...

Be sure to tell us when it's over! ;-)

44 posted on 08/31/2003 7:40:39 AM PDT by Dog Gone
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To: Revolting cat!; All
Hurricane Fabian update -- headed W now and expected to strengthen:

HURRICANE FABIAN DISCUSSION NUMBER 16 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 AM EDT SUN AUG 31 2003

THE EYE HAS BEEN OBSCURED BY THE CIRRUS CANOPY AND CAN NOT BE CLEARLY OBSERVED WITH CONVENTIONAL VISIBLE AND IR IMAGES AT THIS TIME...BUT THE EYE IS VERY DISTINCT ON THE LATEST AVAILABLE MICROWAVE SSM/I DATA. THE OVERALL CLOUD PATTERN REMAINS WELL ORGANIZED WITH BANDING FEATURES AND GOOD OUTFLOW. ALTHOUGH SOME OF THE T-NUMBERS HAVE DECREASED A BIT...THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE KEPT AT 110 KNOTS. THE TRUE INTENSITY WILL BE KNOWN WHEN THE FIRST RECONNAISSANCE PLANE REACHES THE HURRICANE EARLY MONDAY.

THE HURRICANE IS HEADING FOR WARMER WATERS AND THE SHEAR IS FORECAST TO BE LOW. THEREFORE...SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. SINCE THE LARGE SCALE ENVIRONMENT IS FAVORABLE...AT THIS STAGE...THE INTENSITY CHANGES ARE PROBABLY CONTROLLED BY EYEWALL DYNAMICS.

FABIAN IS MOVING WESTWARD OR 280 DEGREES AT 11 KNOTS. A STRONG SUBTROPICAL RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO BE TO THE NORTH OF THE HURRICANE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO..PROVIDING A GENERAL WEST TO WEST-NORTHWEST STEERING. THEREAFTER...THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE EASTWARD ALLOWING FABIAN TO TURN MORE TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AND NORTH. THIS IS CONSISTENT WITH TRACK GUIDANCE WHICH UNANIMOUSLY BRINGS THE HURRICANE NORTHWARD TO THE EAST OF THE U.S COAST. A NOAA HIGH ALTITUDE JET WILL SAMPLE THE ENVIRONMENT CONTROLLING THE PATH OF FABIAN LATER TODAY. WE SHALL SEE IF THE DATA IMPACTS THE TRACK GUIDANCE.

FORECASTER AVILA

45 posted on 08/31/2003 9:37:03 AM PDT by varina davis
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To: Howlin
Oh boy, I'm flying in to Willmington Tuesday evening.

Hope your stay at Wrightsville Beach is calm, soothing and uneventful (with no wind).

46 posted on 08/31/2003 10:59:51 AM PDT by Oorang ( Go put your best bib and tuck on, I feel like a spree)
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To: 2nd amendment mama
See my post #46. Stay safe down there in Myrtle Beach.

Being as you are the "2nd amendment Mama" you probably understand how down right nekkid I feel flying without my trusty .38 that normally stays in my purse all the time, period, no if ands or...!

47 posted on 08/31/2003 11:04:18 AM PDT by Oorang ( Go put your best bib and tuck on, I feel like a spree)
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To: Joe Marine 76
Miss Jackson-Lee might be dismayed to learn that "Tyrone" is a little bit too Irish and therefore, too white sounding:

How 'bout "Tyrone Shoelaces"then?

48 posted on 08/31/2003 11:14:05 AM PDT by Uncle Meat
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To: varina davis
Besides the actor, once knew a Morell Fabian. Wonder if he's still alive and does he feel honored sharing the same name with such a powerful ingredient from Mother Nature?
49 posted on 08/31/2003 12:38:47 PM PDT by lilylangtree
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To: Oorang
I certainly know that feeling very well.....when I travel I have the same "nekkid" feelings...! That's why I seldom fly anymore...lol
50 posted on 08/31/2003 3:45:50 PM PDT by 2nd amendment mama
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To: Oorang
BTW, have a safe trip to Wilmington. Are you coming for business or pleasure?
51 posted on 08/31/2003 3:46:43 PM PDT by 2nd amendment mama
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To: varina davis
Crumb. We just finished a lounge and exercise room....under massive trees.

Time to crate up the paintings and drag out the cat carriers.
52 posted on 08/31/2003 4:30:07 PM PDT by OpusatFR
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To: snopercod
OMG! I just had a flashback. Remember Sambo's Restaurant?

Favorite place to stop at at 1 am many years ago.

53 posted on 08/31/2003 5:03:44 PM PDT by OrioleFan
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To: 2nd amendment mama
Are you coming for business or pleasure?

Pleasure, as long as we don't get slammed with a hurricane. My Mom lives in Wilmington and it's pig-pickin time at the family reunion. Actually, if there is a hurricane in the area I would rather my brother and I are there with Mom (she's 86) so what will be, will be.

Stay safe.

54 posted on 08/31/2003 5:20:54 PM PDT by Oorang (The voices in my head told me to stay home and clean my guns)
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To: OpusatFR
Time to crate up the paintings and drag out the cat carriers.

Hope you're not in the path of this storm! Fabian is the most intense 'Cane since Mitch. Only Gilbert in the 80s was stronger at 888 MB.

55 posted on 08/31/2003 7:38:13 PM PDT by varina davis
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To: varina davis
CAT 4 Hurricane Fabian 11P AT/10P ET Advisory:
WTNT35 KNHC 010229
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
HURRICANE FABIAN ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST SUN AUG 31 2003

...CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE FABIAN STRENGTHENING WELL EAST OF THE
NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...
 
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF MAJOR HURRICANE FABIAN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  54.8 WEST OR ABOUT
460 MILES...740 KM...EAST OF BARBUDA IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD
ISLANDS.
 
FABIAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH 
...17 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...FABIAN IS FORECAST TO PASS WELL
TO THE NORTH OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS.
 
SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT FABIAN HAS CONTINUED TO STRENGTHEN
DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE NOW
REACHED 140 MPH...225 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME FLUCTUATION
IN STRENGTH IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS ENROUTE AND WILL PROVIDE A
BETTER ESTIMATE OF THE EXACT STRENGTH OF FABIAN.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  35 MILES... 55 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 125 MILES...205 KM.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  940 MB...27.76 INCHES.
 
REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...18.5 N... 54.8 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...140 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 940 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 AM AST.

56 posted on 08/31/2003 7:41:09 PM PDT by mhking
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To: The Great RJ
Did it ever occur to any of you the ethnic hurricane name thing was simply a ploy to get weak minded people to say something blatantly racist and provide bulletin board material for the Lee political machine? Sheila Jackson Lee has very bright staffers.

These kind of people (Lee) don't have a platform unless they sucessfully exploit race and class issues. Based on these comments, their practice of issues entrapment works. Don't engage these kind of underhanded tactics and fall for the trap. Try to be above it.
57 posted on 09/01/2003 12:48:18 AM PDT by kinghorse
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To: risk
Did you know she committed suicide? I was shocked! If I live to be 100, I'll never forget "Mrs. Lefebvre, I love you!" from What's New Pussycat!
58 posted on 09/01/2003 1:59:13 AM PDT by Howlin
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To: varina davis
This hurricane is really gaining stregth. Anyone have any path forcasts? The weather people aren't touching this one.

59 posted on 09/01/2003 1:57:19 PM PDT by nicholle
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To: nicholle; All
The path of Hurricane Fabian is still anyone's guess, though the National Hurricane Center is still predicting a WNW or NW turn -- but that hasn't happened as scheduled. Right now it is bearing down on the Islands at about 18.6 N 58 W and is at Cat. 4 status on the verge of becoming a Cat. 5. Last vortex report was 942 millibars.

The most intense storm in recorded history was Hurricane Gilbert in the late 80's at 888 millibars.

All interests along the Eastern Coast as well as the Islands should closely monitor this very dangerous hurricane.

Some are even comparing the present track to the infamous "Long Island Express" hurricane of 1938 that devasted the NE.

60 posted on 09/01/2003 3:59:58 PM PDT by varina davis
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