[DrDeb]

Despite weeks of unprecedented Democrat/elite media attacks, President Bush earned a 60% approval rating (36% disapproval) in the most recent USAToday/CNN/Gallup poll -- a result within the margin of error of every Gallup poll taken since June 1 [Someone tell Dick "Chicken Little" Morris that the 'polling' sky is NOT falling, at least not on the President!]

NOTE: I wanted to publish the Gallup polling results as a counterpoint to the polling results that the media will be OVER-publicizing tomorrow: the most recent (extreme left leaning -- say, Madeline Albright) Pew Research Poll.

According to the Pew Poll (7/14-8/5), the President's approval rating has fallen to 53% (vs 37% disapproval). Two quick points about Pew's results:

1.) the bulk of the polling data was generated during the (politically) unstable period immediately during/after the 'yellow cake' nonsense AND the release of negative economic/jobs data. HOWEVER, since the last week of July, EVERY major poll has shown the President's ratings either stabilizing or rising!

2.) Pew overweights Democrats in its polling analysis. While it doesn't actually publicize its weighting formula, one can discern the inequitable treatment of Democrats vs Republicans by quickly averaging the approval ratings Pew does release. In this recent poll, Pew indicates that 91% of Republicans approve of the President's job performance; 30% of Democrats approve; and Independents are evenly split. If Pew used an equitable distribution of Republicans/Democrats, the President would actually have a 60% approval rating (JUST LIKE GALLUP)!

INTERESTING POLLING DATA The media just LOVES emphasizing the President's re-electability numbers vs a GENERIC Democrat -- a completely meaningless match-up.

Against REAL opponents, the President invariably eclipses the 50% benchmark and enjoys double digit leads over ALL Democrat opponents (including Hillary)!

Example:

FoxNews/Opinion Dynamics Poll 7/29-30/03

GWB 55% Dean 27%

GWB 54% Kerry 35%

GWB 52% Clinton 35%

MASON DIXON POLL: FLORIDA 7/29-31/03

GWB 51% Graham 39%

GWB 58% approval rating vs Graham's 47% approval rating

[NOTE: GWB earns a 58% approval rating even though Mason Dixon uses a weighting formula in Florida that skews 48% vs 43% Democrat:Republican]

QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY POLL: CONNECTICUT 7/23-29/03

GWB 47% Lieberman 44% (Lieberman: 51% approval rating vs GWB: 54% approval rating)

GWB 53% Dean 38%

GWB 53% Clinton 38%

QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY POLL: PENNSYLVANIA 7/30-8/4

GWB 60% approval rating (vs Rendell at 51%; Specter at 57%; Santorum at 56%))

GWB 54% Lieberman 38%

GWB 55% Kerry 37%

GWB 57% Dean 34%

BOTTOMLINE: Recent polling data suggests that the President is in excellent political shape, particularly when one considers that he is in the 3rd year of his first term -- a time when most president's are languishing in the 40% ranges (Reagan: 44% Clinton: 49%)

[GOP-Pat]

Another thing---I have done polling and analysis before and you can always count on the undecided voters to be split with a slight advantage toward the incumbent, so that would add another 4 to 5 points to President Bush in these polls--which would automatically put him well above the 50% mark.

[ReaganRevolution]

Excellent news DrDeb! I agree with your assessment of the Pew polling, they always poll the President low. By the way back in 1995 at this time Clinton was polling at 46% approval ratings and CNN actually said that wasn't bad! Can you imagine if Bush was polling at 46%!!

[OldFriend]

Pore ole albore........

What next in their psyhco desperation?

These polls must be sooo disappointing.

[wjcsux]

Daschle deeply saddened...

[Libertina]

Can you imagine the poll numbers if the press didn't lie awake nights dreaming up lies and attacks? gutter rats with typewriters...

[BigTime]

Bless you, Dr. Deb.

I saw the Pew results today and thought they ran contrary to everything I'd been hearing about Bush's poll numbers again rising recently.

Your analysis helps me understand what is up and the Lib hand behind it. Thanks for the knowledge!

BigTime

[ohioWfan]

Hey Deb! I got back OK! How about you?

Thanks for the GREAT time at lunch, and the awesome HERO bear!

Now I'm off again! :o)

[Impy]

Morris is a mixed bag. Sometimes he's right on the money other times he's a putz. And of course he can't be forgiven for reelecting that (censored) Klinton.



I have feeling that Bush is like Reagan, teflon.