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N.C. Democrats wait for Edwards to pick race
The Charlotte Observer ^ | 6/23/03 | Jim Norrell

Posted on 06/23/2003 10:44:26 PM PDT by LdSentinal

Today Charlotte banker Jim Hance co-hosts an uptown fund-raiser for Republican Richard Burr's U.S. Senate campaign. On Saturday, Outer Banks restaurateur R.V. Owens hosts another in Nags Head.

For Burr, the two men are prize catches.

For Democrats, they could be costly defections.

Both raised money for last year's Democratic Senate nominee, Erskine Bowles. And both represent what some Democrats say is the risk in U.S. Sen. John Edwards' decision to keep his re-election options open even as he mounts an aggressive campaign for president.

Edwards is walking a high-stakes tightrope between a presidential run still trying to get traction and a possible Senate re-election bid that gets tougher with each day that he doesn't commit to it.

While Burr raises millions for the Senate race, no Democrat can gear up until Edwards decides what he'll do. He deflects questions about when he'll decide, though many Democrats expect him to wait at least until Labor Day.

"Clearly there's an opportunity, and for anybody not to take advantage of that would be a tactical mistake" said Burr, who expects to have raised $3.3 million for his Senate bid by the end of this month.

The Democrats' Senate vacuum is one more pressure on Edwards, who faces a summer of challenges across the country as well as back home.

• After leading the eight other Democratic presidential hopefuls in first-quarter fund-raising, he has to show it was no fluke. New finance reports are due next month.

• After six months of active campaigning, polls show he has made little headway in key, early-contest states such as Iowa and New Hampshire.

• As he campaigns before liberal audiences across the country, he risks taking positions that could hurt him if he runs for re-election in North Carolina. A series of polls conducted for The News & Observer of Raleigh in recent months shows Edwards beating Burr and other potential Republican challengers, but with less than half the vote.

Interviewed on CNN last week, Edwards was asked why his presidential campaign hasn't "caught fire."

"I am completely confident in our long-term plan," he replied. "The numbers will start to move. They'll start to move when we pivot out of doing all the effort that we've put into ... fund raising ... and spend a lot of time ... in Iowa, in New Hampshire (and) South Carolina ... I'm completely confident about this."

Campaign chairman Ed Turlington says fund-raising is going "just fine" as the campaign builds its state organizations and endorsements.

"In presidential politics you're successful when you have staying power," he says. "If you're just a flash in the pan you'll be out of the race quickly. He's building the blocks of staying power."

Polls show him 5th

Sunday Elizabeth Edwards opened her husband's new headquarters in Manchester, N.H. Her visit came three days after a poll by the American Research Group showed Edwards trailing four presidential rivals, with support from 4 percent of New Hampshire Democrats. Sen. John Kerry of Massachusetts had 28 percent, former Vermont Gov. Howard Dean had 18, Sen. Joe Lieberman of Connecticut got 11 and Rep. Dick Gephardt of Missouri had 10.But the primary is more than seven months away, and early polls are notoriously fickle.

"(Edwards) is beginning to pick up," says James Pindell, managing editor of PoliticsNH.com. "He's beginning to spend some money up here, which is significant ... He has a very good staff, which is a good start."

Edwards spent Friday and Saturday campaigning in Iowa, which holds presidential caucuses in January. This month a Research 2000 Iowa Poll of likely caucus-goers showed him running fifth among Democrats with 4 percent. Gephardt led the pack with 27 percent. Dean already has begun running TV ads there.

"(Edwards) literally has to spend some time ... one-on-one, person-to-person," Iowa Gov. Tom Vilsack, a Democrat, told The Observer last month. "The reality is, he's going to have to spend more time."

Steffen Schmidt, a political scientist at Iowa State University, says Edwards "is not the natural candidate for this particular bunch of Democrats; he hasn't pandered to the Iowa Democrats' ... liberalism or pacifism."

But Edwards has appealed to organized labor in Iowa, praised Sen. Edward Kennedy in Boston and embraced gay voters in Atlanta, not things that would necessarily help him in a general election campaign back home.

He has run a populist campaign, criticizing President Bush for helping special interests and the wealthy, while taking centrist positions such as calling for a middle-class tax cut.

"He's doing what he's always done," says Turlington. "He's talking about what he thinks is best for North Carolina and America ... laying out his vision."

Bowles, Blue poised to run

Burr, a member of Congress from Winston-Salem, appears to have clear sailing for the GOP Senate nomination. The White House supports him. So do former Sen. Jesse Helms and most of the state party establishment. Through March he'd raised $2 million, more than any GOP challenger in the country.

His opponent?

"I have to assume today that it's John Edwards," Burr says.

Edwards can legally run for Senate and president at the same time, though few expect him to do so.

If he doesn't, at least two other Democrats are poised to run. One is Bowles, a former Charlotte investment banker. The other is former state Rep. Dan Blue of Raleigh, who lost to Bowles in last year's primary. Bowles could not be reached. Blue says Edwards has the summer to decide if he's in or out.

"At some point, if he's running for re-election, the focus has to return to North Carolina," Blue says, "and his activity has to be geared to North Carolina issues and North Carolina concerns."

Like Edwards, presidential rival Bob Graham of Florida is up for re-election to the Senate in 2004. But Graham has given other Democrats his blessing to organize their own Senate campaigns, even while acknowledging that he may be a candidate himself.

Asked this month whether he would do the same, Edwards told a reporter that "that idea never occurred to me and has not been suggested."

Turlington says Democrats shouldn't worry.

"Of all the Democrats in North Carolina, he understands what it takes to win a Senate seat," Turlington says. "And he will make a decision about the Senate race at a time that will maximize the ability of a Democrat to win, whether that's him or somebody else."


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: North Carolina
KEYWORDS: 2004; bowles; danblue; johnedwards; northcarolina; poll; presidency; primary; richardburr; senate

1 posted on 06/23/2003 10:44:26 PM PDT by LdSentinal
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To: LdSentinal
There've been complaints that Edwards is missing too many Senate votes. I think that's a good thing myself.
2 posted on 06/23/2003 10:56:43 PM PDT by Malesherbes
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To: Pubbie; JohnnyZ; Theodore R.; Nathaniel Fischer; AuH2ORepublican; LdSentinal; Kuksool; Coop; ...
Decisions, decisions... Which ambulance will little Johnnie run after ?
3 posted on 06/23/2003 10:57:37 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (~Remember, it's not sporting to fire at RINO until charging~)
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To: Malesherbes
Edwards Misses 53% of Votes Since June 1

Presidential wannabe skips important prescription drug benefit votes

(RALEIGH, NC) - As reported in Saturday’s Raleigh News and Observer, since the start of June, Senator John Edwards has given North Carolina - and his full-time job representing the state’s interests - short shrift in his overwhelming quest for the presidential nomination: “Since the start of June, Edwards has been present to vote 14 times, while he has missed 16 votes, including two on Friday - one to allow lower-cost drugs to be imported from Canada - while he was campaigning in Iowa and Illinois.” (John Wagner, “Edwards Casting Fewer Votes,” Raleigh News and Observer, June 21, 2003)

Edwards has missed five votes on Prescription Drug Benefits this month, including creating a prescription drug benefit under the traditional Medicare program available to all eligible recipients.

John Edwards’ Missed Votes on Prescription Drug Benefits:

Prescription Drug Benefit - Benefit Within Medicare. (Amendment To S. 1, CQ Vote #227: Amendment Rejected 37-58: R 0-51; D 37-6; I 0-1, 6/18/03, Edwards Did Not Vote)

Prescription Drug Benefit - Drug Cost Disclosure. (Amendment To S. 1, CQ Vote #228: Amendment Adopted 95-0: R 51-0; D 43-0; I 1-0, 6/19/03, Edwards Did Not Vote)

Prescription Drug Benefit - Premium Cap. (Amendment To S. 1, CQ Vote #229: Amendment Rejected 39-56: R 0-51; D 39-4; I 0-1, 6/19/03, Edwards Did Not Vote)

Prescription Drug Benefit - Drug Patents. (Amendment To S. 1, CQ Vote #230: Amendment Adopted 94-1: R 50-1; D 43-0; I 1-0, 6/19/03, Edwards Did Not Vote)

Prescription Drug Benefit - Drug Importation. (Amendment To S. 1, CQ Vote #232: Amendment Adopted 62-28: R 21-25; D 40-3; I 1-0, 6/20/03, Edwards Did Not Vote)

“Senator Edwards claims that he can do his job and represent North Carolinians, but that seems more and more unlikely as he spends more and more time in places other than North Carolina and Washington, DC,” said Bill Cobey, Chairman of the North Carolina Republican Party.


For explanations of why Senator Edwards missed these votes, you may wish to contact him via his website at http://www.senate.gov/~edwards/mailform.html.
4 posted on 06/23/2003 11:00:24 PM PDT by Howlin
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To: fieldmarshaldj
I hope he picks

NONE OF THE ABOVE!

5 posted on 06/23/2003 11:00:45 PM PDT by Howlin
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To: Howlin
Aw, c'mon ! Don't ya wanna see him run for President and see him fall and squish his pretty wittle face ?
6 posted on 06/23/2003 11:05:44 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (~Remember, it's not sporting to fire at RINO until charging~)
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To: fieldmarshaldj
Actually, I do!

Call me crass!
7 posted on 06/23/2003 11:11:01 PM PDT by Howlin
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To: Howlin
Heh heh... :-)
8 posted on 06/23/2003 11:56:05 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (~Remember, it's not sporting to fire at RINO until charging~)
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To: fieldmarshaldj
I hope he stays with the presidential race. The bigger boys will beat his ass and Burr will eaily beat Bowles.

Then he can go back to ambulance chasing, permanently or until tort reform is passed. Then he will throw himself in front of an ambulance.

I was suprised by how over-hyped this guy was.

He outspent and narrowly beat an old man in the midst of high black turnout. Big deal.

He is to a used car salesman what a used car salesman is to the average man. (No offense used car salesmen :p )

My good buddy Steve Neal wrote an article about him a couple years ago about how great he is and how he could kick Bush's ass. I wish I could find it so I could have a good laugh.
9 posted on 06/24/2003 1:46:53 AM PDT by Impy (Sharpton/Byrd 2004!! The Slave/Massa Ticket!!)
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To: Malesherbes
{There've been complaints that Edwards is missing too many Senate votes}

Maybe it is Edwards's way of telling voters that he is a "moderate." LOL!
10 posted on 06/24/2003 7:01:59 AM PDT by Kuksool
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To: Impy
Steve Neal is nothing more than a cheerleader for the Daley politicial machine.
11 posted on 06/24/2003 7:03:34 AM PDT by Kuksool
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To: Kuksool
I don't think he likes Daley all that much. He's just your basic all-around pinko.
12 posted on 06/24/2003 7:20:39 AM PDT by Impy (Sharpton/Byrd 2004!! The Slave/Massa Ticket!!)
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To: LdSentinal
Burr, who expects to have raised $3.3 million for his Senate bid by the end of this month.

I've already made my (small) contribution. Good for him to have lots of small contributors, 'cause you know that when the Rats are outraised they whine about "big money" rich folks.

13 posted on 06/24/2003 7:21:00 AM PDT by JohnnyZ (I barbeque with Sweet Baby Ray's)
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