Posted on 06/05/2003 6:34:03 PM PDT by PhiKapMom
RNC RESEARCH
Lieberman Lead Slips. A CNN/USA Today/Gallup Poll asked, “After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Democratic nomination for president in the year 2004 …”
No One/No Opinion - 20
Joe Lieberman - 20
John Kerry - 17
Dick Gephardt - 14
Al Sharpton - 7
John Edwards - 6
Howard Dean - 5
Bob Graham - 4
Carol Moseley Braun - 4
Dennis Kucinich - 2
Other - 1
(CNN/USA Today/Gallup Poll, 403 Democrats And Democrat-Leaning Independents Nationwide, Conducted 5/30/03 – 6/1/03, Margin Of Error +/- 5%)
CALIFORNIA (Primary March 2, 2004)
In Bay Area, “Not Sure/No Preference” Beats Top Three Hopefuls Combined! A KGO-TV Poll of Bay Area Democrats asked. “If the election were being held today, which one of these candidates would you prefer?”
Not Sure/No Preference - 40%
Lieberman - 13
Kerry - 13
Dean - 13
Gephardt - 8
Edwards - 4
Braun - 4
Kucinich - 2
Graham - 2
Sharpton - 1
(Hertz Research Poll For KGO-TV, Asked Of Democrats In Sample Of 1,153 Bay Area Residents, Conducted 5/20-25/03, Margin Of Error +/- 3%)
NEW HAMPSHIRE (Primary January 24, 2004)
Kerry Takes Lead Over Dean. American Research Group’s The New Hampshire Poll asked likely Democrat primary voters, “If the New Hampshire Democratic Presidential Preference Primary were being held today between [the names listed below], for whom would you vote? (NAMES ROTATED)”
John Kerry - 26%
Undecided - 20
Howard Dean - 19
Dick Gephardt - 12
Joe Lieberman - 12
John Edwards - 3
Bob Graham - 3
Wesley Clark - 2
Carol Moseley Braun - 1
Dennis Kucinich - 1
Al Sharpton - 1
(American Research Group’s The New Hampshire Poll, 600 Likely New Hampshire Democrat Primary Voters, Conducted 5/19-22/03, Margin Of Error +/- 4%)
But Gore Draft Would Sap Kerry Votes. The poll then asked, “What if a campaign were organized to draft Al Gore in the New Hampshire Democratic Presidential Preference Primary. Would you vote for Al Gore in the primary, or not?”
Al Gore - 25%
John Kerry - 17
Howard Dean - 16
Undecided - 15
Joe Lieberman - 12
Dick Gephardt - 7
Wesley Clark - 2
John Edwards - 2
Bob Graham - 1
Carol Moseley Braun - 1
Dennis Kucinich - 1
Al Sharpton - 1
(American Research Group’s The New Hampshire Poll, 600 Likely New Hampshire Democrat Primary Voters, Conducted 5/19-22/03, Margin Of Error +/- 4%)
IOWA (Caucus January 19, 2004)
Gephardt Still Well Below 1988 Vote Total. Gephardt received 31.3% of the vote in Iowa’s 1988 Caucus, but a Mason-Dixon Poll asked likely Democrat voters who they would choose in the 2004 caucuses:
Undecided - 37%
Dick Gephardt - 25
John Kerry - 13
Joe Lieberman - 9
Howard Dean - 7
John Edwards - 6
Carol Moseley Braun - 2
Bob Graham - 1
Dennis Kucinich - --
Al Sharpton - --
(“Caucus Results,” Iowa Official Register, 1999-2000, p. 377; Mason-Dixon Poll, 300 Likely Democrat Caucus Voters, Conducted 5/5-9/03, Margin Of Error +/- 5.8%)
SOUTH CAROLINA (Primary February 3, 2004)
Edwards Far Behind In First-In-South, Birth State Primary. When likely primary voters in South Carolina were asked, “If the South Carolina Democratic Presidential Preference Primary were being held today between [candidates listed below] for whom would you vote? (NAMES ROTATED)”
Undecided - 47%
Joe Lieberman - 19
Dick Gephardt - 9
John Kerry - 8
John Edwards - 7
Al Sharpton - 3
Howard Dean - 2
Bob Graham - 2
Carol Moseley Braun - 1
Joe Biden - 1
Gary Hart - 1
Dennis Kucinich - 0
Wesley Clark - 0
(American Research Group Poll Of 600 Registered S.C. Likely Democrat Primary Voters, Conducted 4/24-29/03, Margin Of Error +/- 4%)
A Publication of the RNC Research Department
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