Early Iowa Polling Shows Gephardt With Slight Lead Over Lieberman (Zogby)

Zogby ^ | 1/20/03 | Zogby

[LdSentinal]

Democratic Presidential hopefuls toured Iowa over the weekend looking for support. In a poll of 480 likely Democratic voters conducted by Zogby International January 17-19, Congressman Richard Gephardt of Missouri leads the pack at 19%, followed by Connecticut Senator Joseph Lieberman (17%) and Massachusetts Senator John Kerry (11%). No other candidate earned more than 5% support.

Six in ten of the likely Democratic voters surveyed said it is likely that President Bush will be re-elected, 40% somewhat likely and 20% very likely.

More than a third (37%) are unsure which candidate they’ll support in the January 2004 caucus in Iowa. When asked how likely they are to change their mind in the coming year, three in four (75%) say somewhat or very likely. One in five (20%) say they won’t change their mind.

When questioned if there were candidates they would never vote for, nearly one in four (37%) said ‘yes.” Leading the ‘would never vote for” list were civil rights advocate Al Sharpton (32%), Gary Hart (19%), Lieberman (10%) and Gephardt (8%).

Candidate Would Never Vote For

Sharpton 32%

Hart 19%

Lieberman 10%

Gephardt 8%

Unfamiliarity with candidates in Iowa remains a hurdle for many of the hopefuls. More than eight in ten likely Democratic voters (82%) said they were not familiar with Vermont Governor Howard Dean. Florida Senator Bob Graham polled a 65% “not familiar,” followed by North Carolina Senator John Edwards at 64%. Al Sharpton has a 55% unfamiliar rating, followed by Kerry (41%), Hart (23%), Lieberman (18%) and Gephardt (17%).

The Iowa poll was the initial poll in a Zogby subscription series, “The Road to Boston,” which pollster John Zogby said will measure voter values and preferences leading up to the Democratic National Convention in Boston in 2004. Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina will be polled quarterly through year-end, he said.

[LdSentinal]

You can do it Joe!

[Indy Pendance]

Ho hum..... just under two years.... yawn....

[FastCoyote]

But gaining fast on the inside track are Daffy Duck and Goofy, running neck and neck!

[nhoward14]

I support TIM CALHOUN for President!

[KellyAdmirer]

Gephardt wants the "Bob Dole Commemorative Golden Handshake Booby Prize Nomination" and perhaps, just perhaps, might pull it off.

[Indy Pendance]

I'm still hoping Snoopy or Pat Paulsen will make their announcements. Maybe Michael Jackson, or Elvis.

[MJY1288]

Isaw Gephardt on TV tonight at a fundraiser and he said he would "If I'm elected President I will repeal ALL of the 2001 Tax Cut" .... ROFLMAO, Wasn't Dukakis the last democRATS who campaigned on raising taxes? LOL,

Then I heard Kerry say "We need to move our Party to the LEFT," Gov. Dean said "Democrats would have won the mid-term elections if we voted against George W. Bush's policies and the Iraq Resolution to give the President the authority to use force against Iraq"

These Democrats in high gear towards irrelevancy

[Jean S]

Hart 19%

It's hard to take this poll seriously with that many for Hart.

[larry h]

Until yesterday.....Jeff Fisher, coach of the Tennessee Titans had my vote...

[Indy Pendance]

Not only that, they only polled 480 people. That makes the sample size 0.000001665% of the country's population of 290 million. Not significant at all.

[Brad’s Gramma]

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[Nick Danger]

Al Sharpton has a 55% unfamiliar rating, followed by Kerry (41%), Hart (23%), Lieberman (18%) and Gephardt (17%).

Note that Gary Hart is nearly as well known as Lieberman and Gephardt, even though he hasn't been in the news for twenty years. What do we suppose people remember Gary Hart for?

Just wag your finger and say you didn't have sex with her

[Aaron0617]

Hart 19%. It's hard to take this poll seriously with that many for Hart.

uh..JeanS. Thats for how many would NOT vote for Hart. Check it again

[hunter112]

It's hard to take this poll seriously with that many for Hart.

Easy for me to understand, there are a lot of Iowa Rat peaceniks, they miss George McGovern, and his campaign lackey from 1972 is the next best thing. Those idiots are super-nostalgic for thirty years ago, the last time they looked good and got any.

[Nick Danger]

Speaking of bimbos, I think we need to start the "John Kerry Bimbo Eruption Pool." The object would be to guess in which week between now and the Democratic Convention, it comes out that Mr. Kerry has been putting his pickle in jars that don't say Heinz.

[Free the USA]

http://www.freerepublic.com/perl/bump-list

[Jean S]

uh..JeanS. Thats for how many would NOT vote for Hart. Check it again

You're right. A duh on my part. Next time I'll read the article instead of skimming.

[Arkinsaw]

Whats so funny is that all the former Naderites and hardcore types are all twitchy over Dean. Dean, Dean, Dean is all I hear from that direction. They are going to freak out if Gephardt, Hart, or Lieberman move to the front because they view those guys as DINO's.

Then you have Sharpton who is going to get a whole lot of sabotage crossover voters as well as peeling off a few percent on his own.

Lots of potential fracture zones there for the Democratic Party especially when Sharpton starts pushing for speech time and platform planks at the convention.

[Howlin]

followed by North Carolina Senator John Edwards at 64%

OMG, he has spent a FORTUNE up there, even sent one of his staffers up there to work for the Iowa Dems.........PLUS donated a bazillion computers.

Sweet!

Notice he finished BELOW Al Sharpton.

[Howlin]

But I do like this part: Six in ten of the likely Democratic voters surveyed said it is likely that President Bush will be re-elected