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Next generation will inherit our huge war debt
The Atlanta Journal-Constitution ^ | 01/15/03 | RONALD BROWNSTEIN

Posted on 01/15/2003 8:25:54 PM PST by optimistically_conservative

Old question: What did you do in the war, daddy?

New answer: I pocketed a large tax cut, honey.

Pause.

And then I passed the bill for the war onto you.

That, essentially, is the generational transaction established by the sweeping tax cut President Bush proposed last week. The proposal commits Bush to a goal unprecedented in U.S. history: cutting taxes in wartime.

Forget guns and butter: Bush is now offering bombs and caviar.

That's an odd combination, as Bush demonstrated in the speech last week when he announced his plan. First he emphasized the threat that international terrorism poses to U.S. security and somberly declared that this is a "time of war."

Then he proposed a good-time economic plan that would shower Americans with $674 billion in tax breaks over the next decade -- at a time when the federal budget has fallen back into deficit and faces irresistible demands for more spending on defense and homeland security. The unavoidable result will be bigger federal deficits and a larger national debt, which amounts to shifting the cost of defending the nation onto our children.

With this push to slash taxes during wartime, Bush broke from 140 years of history under presidents of both parties. In every major conflict the United States has fought since the Civil War (and some minor ones), Washington has raised taxes to pay for war.

Americans are never particularly happy about paying higher taxes. But we have always accepted heavier burdens as the price those at home pay to support those under fire on the front. As one economist wrote during World War I: "Patriotism can often be translated into dollars and cents -- in fact, the material side of patriotism is often quite as important as the spiritual side."

The income tax and the inheritance tax (which Bush is trying to eliminate) were signed into law by Abraham Lincoln, the first Republican president, to help pay for the Civil War. As journalist Steven R. Weisman recounts in his engaging recent book, "The Great Tax Wars," by the time the war ended, Congress had imposed a top income tax rate of 10 percent on all incomes over $5,000. The inheritance tax, he writes, "passed Congress with little debate because of the widespread demand in the North for sacrifice, especially from the wealthy."

After the war, both taxes were eventually allowed to lapse. But to pay for the Spanish-American War, President McKinley -- also a Republican -- signed into law an excise tax on petroleum and sugar companies and reinstated the inheritance tax. To fund the country's entry into World War I, President Wilson -- a Democrat -- massively increased the number of Americans subject to the income tax and raised the top rate from 7 percent to 77 percent.

Congress cut taxes during the 1920s. But when the nation fought World War II, Americans reached into their pockets again. Once more, the number of Americans subject to the income tax soared (from 4 million to nearly 43 million) and the top rate rose to 91 percent.

Taxes increased again to fund the Korean War; even in Vietnam, President Johnson belatedly imposed a war surtax on incomes.

The war against terrorism or a possible return match against Iraq won't demand nearly as many resources as World Wars I or II, or even Vietnam and Korea. But these tests will still impose significant burdens on the government.

By 2005, Bush wants to spend at least $100 billion a year more on defense than President Clinton proposed in his final budget; a war in Iraq would add to that bill. At the same time, Bush has proposed to spend $38 billion on homeland security this year. And even those commitments, the administration concluded in a homeland security plan last summer, "must be viewed as down payments to cover the most immediate security vulnerabilities."

As Weisman writes, when Wilson urged higher taxes in World War I, he stressed the nation's obligation not to burden future generations with the war's cost through excessive borrowing: "The industry of this generation should pay the bills of this generation," he said. Bush seems to be ignoring that lesson.

By proposing large new tax cuts when Washington is already in deficit and facing growing costs for defense, Bush is threatening an explosive growth in the national debt. When Bush took office, the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office said Washington would eliminate the publicly held national debt by 2008 -- so long as the government fulfilled the pledge Bush and Al Gore each made in the 2000 presidential campaign to apply the surplus temporarily accumulating in Social Security toward paying down that debt.

But Bush abandoned that promise under the pressure of recession, the war on terrorism and the cost of his $1.35 trillion tax cut of 2001. Even before Bush's new proposals, the CBO had estimated that Washington would need to divert more than $2 trillion from the Social Security surplus to operate the rest of government through 2012. With that money no longer available for debt reduction, CBO projected that the debt would rise to $3.8 trillion by 2008.

The further tax cuts Bush proposed last week will only deepen that hole. Because the operating side of the federal budget is already deeply in deficit, every penny of Bush's new tax cut would have to come from taxes raised for Social Security or by increasing the national debt. The Democratic staff on the Senate Budget Committee has estimated that if the new Bush tax cut plan passes, as well as the prescription-drug plan for senior citizens he has endorsed, the national debt will balloon to $4.8 trillion in 2008 -- the year the CBO initially projected the debt could be eliminated.

More debt means higher interest costs for the government, which means higher taxes on future generations. It all amounts to Americans voting themselves a tax cut and letting their children pay for defending the country through a larger national debt. Surely Woodrow Wilson better captured the nation's spirit when he said, as the bullets flew in World War I, that Americans "know the war must be paid for and that it is they who must pay for it, and if the burden is justly distributed they will carry it cheerfully and with a sort of solemn pride."

Ronald Brownstein is a Los Angeles Times national political correspondent.


TOPICS: Editorial; Government; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: budget; debt; iraq; liarsgotohell; nozerosumgain; repentbrownstein; taxcut; war
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To: MissAmericanPie
Can I be optimistic about you being blonde?
61 posted on 01/15/2003 10:36:50 PM PST by optimistically_conservative
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To: Karsus
Can we appoint you to be the official worrier about the debt? Thanks. Then I can be free to look for my green sweater.

Let us know how it's goin' in say...yearly reports. Thanks again.

62 posted on 01/15/2003 10:38:40 PM PST by Deb
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To: Karsus
the numbers I found on a quick search of www.bea.gov show that GDP in 1946 was 222.3 billion and in 2001 it was 10,028.2 billion (that's over ten trillion)

ain't that a growth of over 4,500%?

so whats the problem again?
63 posted on 01/15/2003 10:43:00 PM PST by libertarian guy
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To: optimistically_conservative
Next generation will inherit our huge war debt

With this push to slash taxes during wartime, Bush broke from 140 years of history under presidents of both parties.

That's so when the richest 1% get their targeted job creating tax cut there'll be these huge, high paying jobs for the next generation to pay it off...some people just don't understand grand strategies.

64 posted on 01/15/2003 10:54:10 PM PST by lewislynn
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To: optimistically_conservative
Sorry, my hair is raven wings black, just like the Cherokee side of my family.
65 posted on 01/15/2003 10:54:29 PM PST by MissAmericanPie
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To: optimistically_conservative
Next Generation will inherit our huge war debt

Has anyone told this to Picard yet?

66 posted on 01/15/2003 10:54:55 PM PST by Sideshow Bob
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To: libertarian guy
The problem is the amount of the budget the interest payments cost. Interest payments on the debt are the 2nd or 3rd largest item in the budget. That is the problem.
67 posted on 01/15/2003 10:58:30 PM PST by Karsus (TrueFacts=GOOD, GoodFacts=BAD)
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To: Deb
If you want to pay my consulting rate I will be glad to take that position.
68 posted on 01/15/2003 10:59:14 PM PST by Karsus (TrueFacts=GOOD, GoodFacts=BAD)
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To: Sideshow Bob
Next Generation will inherit our huge war debt

Make it so.

69 posted on 01/15/2003 10:59:42 PM PST by dfwgator
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To: dfwgator
Make it so.

Engage!

70 posted on 01/15/2003 11:02:38 PM PST by Sideshow Bob
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To: optimistically_conservative
Surely we can find some change rolling around in some program to study the breeding habits the Wyoming Ground Clam.
71 posted on 01/15/2003 11:18:03 PM PST by MattAMiller
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To: MissAmericanPie
When we owe more dollars than there are stars in our solar systemgalaxy, 200 billion, what difference does it make what a war on terror costs?


Our galaxy (Milky Way is the plane of the disk of our spiral galaxy) contains approximately 200,000,000,000 stars, mostly grouped into a flattened disk with a bulge at its centre.

You know, I never really thought about it that way. Imagine how "spatial" our 10 trillion GDP is?

72 posted on 01/15/2003 11:32:59 PM PST by optimistically_conservative
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To: optimistically_conservative
Good grief, I said Solar System instead of galaxy, ah well I may indeed be blonde.
73 posted on 01/16/2003 6:20:38 AM PST by MissAmericanPie
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To: optimistically_conservative
Ronald Brownstein is a Los Angeles Times national political correspondent.

Ronald Brownstein also has not done his homework. If I remember correctly tax CUTS always increase revenue. Leave the money in the hands of the people where it will expand the economy. A larger economy means you can take a smaller bite out of it (percentage wise) and end up with more than you started with. Reference President Reagan's cut and the first President Bush cut.

74 posted on 01/16/2003 7:47:28 AM PST by John O (God Save America (Please))
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To: rabidone
Doesn't this seem a little bit off. We use more oil then anyone else. We're going to steal oil and then try to make a profit by selling it too ourselves????

No, we're not "stealing" it. Saddam H. has been funding terrorists and terrorism. He has been - and, I firmly believe, is - working to manufacture more WMD. He has been and is oppressing and murdering his own people. He still has not admitted what he did to some 600 still missing Kuwati citizens that he snatched during his invasion of that peaceful country.

By entering Iraq, we will be trully and actually liberating his people and his neighbors of a malicious (dare I say malignant?) influence that his destroyed a generation of people. After we cover our expenses plus overhead and a reasonable profit, they can use the oil to rebuild a happier, better society for themselves.

We will have redeemed their freedom - and that is a treasure worth far more than any oil they might have. They should thank us; and, frankly, I suspect that many of them will thank us.

75 posted on 01/16/2003 8:46:20 AM PST by neutrino
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Comment #76 Removed by Moderator

To: Mariner
Once Iraq and any follow-on battles are won.....once this war is won, the world will be forced to accept that we are the ONLY military, economic and diplomatic power in the world.

This isn't a football game.

77 posted on 01/16/2003 9:33:24 AM PST by RightWhale
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To: rabidone; neutrino; dighton
"Take the oil. Sell the stuff. Pay off the debt, plus shipping, handling, tax, title, dealer prep, gratuity, and handling charges."

"Doesn't this seem a little bit off. We use more oil then anyone else. We're going to steal oil and then try to make a profit by selling it too ourselves????"

We'll just do it like the old BlueBell Ice Cream ads ...

(to paraphrase) ...
"We'll use what we can ... and sell the rest"

78 posted on 01/16/2003 9:35:05 AM PST by BlueLancer (Der Elite Møøsenspåånkængruppen ØberKømmååndø (EMØØK))
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To: neutrino
Bingo! I can't believe it took to post 10 for the obvious answer to appear.
79 posted on 01/16/2003 9:41:36 AM PST by FreedomPoster (This space intentionally blank)
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To: Howlin
Thanks for the nomination! };^D)
80 posted on 01/16/2003 3:41:18 PM PST by RJayneJ
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