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Class 3 Senate Seats - the 2004 Senate Elections - Who's Vulnerable?
condensed data from The Green Papers ^ | 1.2.2003 | rface

Posted on 01/02/2003 11:58:19 AM PST by rface

CLASS 3 Senators - 2004 Senate Seats –

‘RATS (19 seats)

(Arkansas) Blanch Lincoln
(California) Barb. Boxer
(Connecticut) Chris. Dodd
(Florida) Bob Graham
(Georgia) Zell Miller
(Hawaii) Dan. Inouye
(Indiana) Evan Bayh
(Louisiana) John Breaux
(Maryland) Barb. Mikulski
(Nevada) Harry Reid
(New York) Chuck Shumer
(North Carolina) John Edwards
(North Dakota) Byron Dorgan
(Oregon) Ron Wyden
(South Carolina) Ernest Hollings
(South Dakota) Tommy Dasshole
(Vermont) Pat “Leaky” Lehy
(Washington) Patty Murray
(Wisconsin) Russ Feingold

GOP (15 seats)

(Alabama) Shelby
(Alaska) Murkowski
(Arizona) MaCain
(Colorado) Campbell
(Idaho) Mike Crapo
(Illinois) Pete Fitzgerald
(Iowa) Charles Grassley
(Kansas) Sam Brownback
(Kentucky) Jim Bunning
(Missouri) Kit Bond
(New Hampshire) Judd Gregg
(Ohio) George Vionovich
(Oklahoma) Don Nickles
(Pennsylvania) Arlen Specter
(Utah) Rob Bennett


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2004senate
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To: meadsjn
A pro-business governor and a pro-American senator could win....

Gee, that's what we thought here in Calif. Grayout Davis bankrupted the state and still was re-elected going up against a pro-business, businessman.

Liberal dems are too stupid and ignorant to know when they are getting the royal shaft. Most are too brainwashed to even give conservative arguments a second thought. They think "civic duty" means going out on electrion day and voting for democrats.even if they've never heard of them before. The main qualifier for their vote is that they are NOT Republican.

61 posted on 01/02/2003 3:07:43 PM PST by Bullish
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To: BooBoo1000
See post 60. My intent is not to defeat Boxer, although that would be fine. The objective is to make the RATS have to fund her in a close race, so that they cannot spend the bread elsewhere. In other words, no free ride for BabsBox.
62 posted on 01/02/2003 3:27:04 PM PST by mwl1
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To: Bullish
Well, we'll see how all these ignoramuses feel when the state further approaches bankruptcy, taxes escalate, and unemployment rises.
63 posted on 01/02/2003 3:28:13 PM PST by mwl1
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To: BaBaStooey
Keyes vs. Miluski in MD

No chance at all for Keyes against Mikulski. This is a heavily Dem state (in population, not in geographic area. Most voters live in Baltimore and the DC suburbs)
Steele, the newly elected Lt. Gov. is a moderate GOPer, but the Blacks taunted him with Oreos at almost every stop. Keyes would get a worse reception, and probably bring out more of the Black vote for Mikulski.

64 posted on 01/02/2003 3:34:07 PM PST by speekinout
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To: hresources
don't be surprised if Zell Miller and John Breaux decide not to run.

Either of them could be tempted to run as a GOPer, too. Both are relatively Conservative Dems, and both are fairly disgusted with their party just now.
That could be a 2 seat pick-up right there.

65 posted on 01/02/2003 3:39:34 PM PST by speekinout
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To: Salvation
Any good Republican candidate calls for Oregon?

Rep. Greg Walden (OR-2)

66 posted on 01/02/2003 3:53:19 PM PST by B Knotts
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To: mwl1
She really is a piece of crap, isn't she. Hope your prayers work.

I don't know. I guess that's kind of an insult to innocent pieces of crap everywhere.

67 posted on 01/02/2003 5:48:08 PM PST by Bullish
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To: JohnnyZ
Is Keyes a legal resident of
Maryland. I thought i read
before his residence is now
in Arizona.
Which if true you know what would be cool!
68 posted on 01/02/2003 7:37:58 PM PST by Princeliberty
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To: rface
The Republicans should also
try to unseat Democrats Specter and McCain.
69 posted on 01/02/2003 7:39:09 PM PST by Princeliberty
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To: SoDak
The law was engineered by our GOP Governor and legislature specifically to make sure that he wouldn't be able to run for both.

Specifically, the law prohibits filing for two offices in one election. There's no question that if Daschle wins the Democratic nomination for President, that he could not run for both this and the Senate seat at the same time (as Joe Lieberman was able to do in 2000 - running for both VP and Senate in CT).

The question is, does Daschle have to file for anything in SD in order to seek the Democratic nomination for President? If not, he's safe until or unless he wins said nomination. The filing deadline for the Senate race doesn't come until after we'll already know who the Democratic nominee for President is. So, if no filing is necessary to merely seek the Presidential nomination, Daschle could make a run, and if he comes up short, would still have time to file for the Senate race (and that would be the only race he'd file for, putting him in compliance with the law).

70 posted on 01/02/2003 8:00:08 PM PST by BlackRazor
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To: hsmomx3
Sorry. Hang in there. I live in Illinois.;(
71 posted on 01/02/2003 8:31:30 PM PST by <1/1,000,000th%
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To: speekinout
I was under the impression that Lt Gov Steele was a pro-life conservative -- why do you call him a moderate?

Keyes has already run for the senate in Maryland, against Mikulski, in fact, and against Sarbanes before that. He's not one to be intimidated by cookies. Keyes would be great at getting out the conservative message and reinforce the GOP commitment to genuine diversity, although the fact that he's been-there done-that takes away from the effect.

72 posted on 01/02/2003 9:28:34 PM PST by JohnnyZ
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To: BlackRazor
I admit, I don't know the law as well as you do, so perhaps your assessment is correct. I do know, also, that Daschle said in an interview in the state's largest newspaper when the law was passed that it didn't matter, that he would not run for both offices, that if he throws his hat into the ring for nomination, he would not open a Senate campaign. I know that one cannot count on the man's word, he's demonstrated a lack of regard for the truth. However, even though SD has elected it's fair share of Rats like Daschle, it's still not Jersey. If Daschle comes back, hat in hand, to run for his old senate seat after it becomes apparent he's getting his bell rung, all the fraud in the world won't get him elected.
73 posted on 01/02/2003 9:38:41 PM PST by SoDak
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To: meadsjn
A pro-business governor and a pro-American senator could win.

But who? I'll repeat my position on an earlier thread...The state party in the Evergreen (eew) State has 3 "X"s in front of the "S" on the tag of their jock strap. We (to date) get no help from the RNC. Murray (D-Osama) will be re-elected.

74 posted on 01/02/2003 9:53:40 PM PST by j_tull
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To: B Knotts
**Rep. Greg Walden (OR-2)**

He would do a heck of a lot better than Wyden.
75 posted on 01/02/2003 10:13:11 PM PST by Salvation
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To: rface
(Arkansas) Blanch Lincoln -- odds are in her favor, but possible GOP pickup if Huckabee or someone else really popular were to run.

(California) Barb. Boxer -- SAFE. Stop wasting money trying to defeat 'RAT incumbants in the People's Socialist Republic of Kalifornistan.

(Connecticut) Chris. Dodd -- Safe.

(Florida) Bob Graham -- Theoretically beatable, but very unlikely

(Georgia) Zell Miller -- Safe. Yes, Georgia GOP kicked butt in 2002, but even half the "freepers" here have been brainwashed into thinking Zell, the CFR/pro-abortion/Clintonite/FDR lover is "consevative"

(Hawaii) Dan. Inouye -- Only theoretically beatable because of the age issue. If he were to "retire", GOP would have a slim chance of winning.

(Indiana) Evan Bayh -- Safe

(Louisiana) John Breaux -- Rock-solid safe

(Maryland) Barb. Mikulski -- Pretty safe.

(Nevada) Harry Reid -- Beatable, but very unlikely unless there's some kind of scandal here.

(New York) Chuck Shumer-- Safe unless Giuliani runs.

(North Carolina) John Edwards -- VERY likely GOP pickup. They won't have to face Edwards though, he'll be out harboring presidential aspirations.

(North Dakota) Byron Dorgan -- Demographically and geographically, this SHOULD be an easy win for the GOP...except the Dakotas continue to defy logic and support 'RAT Senators.

(Oregon) Ron Wyden -- Probably safe.

(South Carolina) Ernest Hollings -- Beatable, but tough. The ol' goat is ruthless and a very entrenched "tradition". But would lean GOP if he doesn't run.

(South Dakota) Tommy Dasshole -- Vunerable, but also ruthless. Also, he might be running for Pres. by that time. Thune would likely win an open seat.

(Vermont) Pat “Leaky” Leahy -- Safe, but I said that about the VT Gov., then the people snapped to their sences and elected a conservative for the first time in several decades.

(Washington) Patty Murray -- Safe

(Wisconsin) Russ Feingold -- Shouldn't be safe, but probably is.

GOP (15 seats)

(Alabama) Shelby -- Safe.

(Alaska) Murkowski -- Beatable. We're talking about LISA Murkowski, an untested moderate who was appointed due to nepotism. Thanks for nothing, Frank.

(Arizona) McCain-- Tossup. Could be ousted in primary, if not, he'd probably win the general

(Colorado) Campbell -- Safe.

(Idaho) Mike Crapo -- Safe.

(Illinois) Pete Fitzgerald -- Depends on his opponent. Best odds = Pete vs. Carol Mostly-Fraud again. Worst odds: Pete vs. Dan "pretty boy son of a machine politican" Hynes, the state comptroller.

(Iowa) Charles Grassley -- Safe

(Kansas) Sam Brownback -- Safe

(Kentucky) Jim Bunning -- Beatable, but the 'RATs will find it an uphill battle.

(Missouri) Kit Bond -- Slightly vunerable. Missouri is a swing state, nobody has ever been particually wild about Bond.

(New Hampshire) Judd Gregg -- Safe

(Ohio) George Vionovich -- Safe. Ho-hum.

(Oklahoma) Don Nickles -- Safe.

(Pennsylvania) Arlen Specter -- Scottish-law man is vunerable. The old far should retire honorably, but he won't and we'll have to dump him in the primary.

(Utah) Rob Bennett -- Rock-solid safe.

76 posted on 01/02/2003 10:22:29 PM PST by BillyBoy
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To: BillyBoy
A couple rejoinders:

(Arkansas) Blanch Lincoln -- odds are in her favor, but possible GOP pickup if Huckabee or Asa Hutchinson were to run.

(California) Boxer -- DiFi's weak sister is vulnerable to a strong challenger -- coordinate with Dubya's campaign and pour resources into the race.

Florida) Bob Graham -- could be an open seat, otherwise unlikely.

(Georgia) Zell Miller -- Probably an open seat: probably run a congressional candidate.

(Nevada) Harry Reid -- Beatable, but very unlikely he won by 500 votes last time and has thousands of new voters -- he will likely face Rep. Jim Gibbons. Toss-up.

(North Carolina) John Edwards -- if not Johnny, Erskine would be a strong candidate if he ran again -- ditto for one or two other rats. Rep Richard Burr for the GOP in any case. Lean GOP.

(North Dakota) Byron Dorgan -- Dubya wants to convince a reluctant ex-Gov. Schafer to run: poll has race at 49-44 Dorgan.

(South Carolina) Ernest Hollings -- He's toast, new voters to state don't like dinosaurs, hopefully Rep Jim DeMint will be the one to take him down. Hollings' aide has been squashing retirement rumors and pushing the line that Hollings will now have the influence that Strom had.

(South Dakota) Daschle -- hopefully open, could be Janklow or Thune.

(Vermont) Pat Leahy -- please let's give him a real challenge, even if we're gonna lose anyway.

(Washington) Osama's bitch -- May now be vulnerable to a strong challenge, again coordinated with Dubya's campaign.

(Wisconsin) Russ Feingold -- Shouldn't be safe and isn't -- Russ won by a pubic hair last time and is more vulnerable than Wellstone was in Minnesota.

77 posted on 01/03/2003 7:27:23 AM PST by JohnnyZ
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To: JohnnyZ
Johnny Z is right on many of these races. And in California, the objective is not to defeat Boxer, but to make the RATS spend a fortune defending the seat. No free ride.
78 posted on 01/03/2003 9:04:38 AM PST by mwl1
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To: JohnnyZ
I was under the impression that Lt Gov Steele was a pro-life conservative --

Steele, like Ehrlich, is not going to make anti-abortion laws the hallmark of his programs. Keyes, on the other hand, has that as the foremost of his program.
Being personally pro-life is quite different than promoting anti-abortion laws for those who don't agree.

79 posted on 01/03/2003 3:54:15 PM PST by speekinout
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To: rface
Click here to sign Petition..

To: U.S. Senate:

We The Undersigned Call on the United States Senate to do their Constitutional Duty and decide Committee assignments immediately! Funding should be the customary 2/3 - 1/3; Majority - Minority split.

Sincerely,

The Undersigned

80 posted on 01/14/2003 8:32:44 PM PST by davidosborne (www.davidosborne.net)
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