Dick Morris: Browning of America Dooms GOP

Newsmax ^ | 10/16/02 | Limbacher

[Paul_B]

Increasing numbers of black and Hispanic voters will doom the GOP's chances for electoral success by 2008.

That's the assessment - not from conservative immigration opponent Pat Buchanan but instead from America's pre-eminent political strategist, Dick Morris.

"The Hispanic and black population increase, particularly the Hispanic population, has made New Jersey and New York and California and is making Florida into solidly Democratic states," Morris told nationally syndicated radio host Sean Hannity on Tuesday.

"Four years from now - and eight years from now - the Republican Party will be fighting for its life because of this," he warned.

Morris noted that in the 1988 presidential election, then-Vice President George Bush defeated Democrat Gov. Michael Dukakis in New Jersey's Bergen County by 15 points. Just 12 years later, he noted, then-Vice President Al Gore beat Bush's son by 15 points in the same county.

"It's flipped 30 points between 1988 and 2000," said Morris. "That is what the Republican Party is facing all over the place."

The one-time Clinton political guru predicted that Bush's home state of Texas would be the next big state to swing Democrat.

Morris' advice to the GOP?

"Nominate Colin Powell for president," he told Hannity, explaining that such a move would finally shatter the illusion that the GOP doesn't care about minorities. "That's the magnitude of the gesture that will be necessary to make this work."

"That's the race in '08," he added. "Powell against Hillary."

[Paul_B]

Read it and weep.

[laconic]

This is the same "expert" who said the Reps would gain 20 seats in the 1998 House election and that there was no way that Hillary Clinton could win the Senate seat. The "experts" have been saying the REpublican Party was dead before: 1964, after the Goldwater loss, and 1974, after Nixon resigned. Neither expert opinion held true.

[Always Right]

Dick's analysis is too simplified. As Hispanics become middle-class, they will become more Republican. Hispanics are not a monolithic voting block. Hispanics will get ahead and value what they worked for. Blacks are doomed to be Democrats until they get that monster chip off their shoulders that the world owes them everything.

[Consort]

It appears that this topic is currently active and being well-discussed here.

[ReaganRevolution]

Always Right, you are right Blacks have completely sold their souls to the Democrats and will always be where they are now. The Hispanics should be able to see for themselves and with a little outreach from the Republicans that the Republican Party is for them. I don't think you can compare blacks and hispanics.

[ReleaseTheHounds]

I heard this Morris rant on Hannity (I believe). I'm afraid he may be right but he does assume (simplistically) that Blacks and Hispanics will be completely reliable Demo mind-numbed robots. These groups have not benefitted from essentially 50 years of Demo control of the domestic agenda -- I would hope these people would be rational enough to recognize that. And on issues that they [should] REALLY care about (education), the Demos are in the pocket of powerful unions that hardly have the interests of Blacks and Hispanics at the top of their list.

I hope these groups will see that they have been marginalized by being so reliably and complacently following the Demo party line -- what happens to the Demos when those huge voting majorities (80-90% among Blacks) start to move to a rational split?

[lodwick]

bttt

[Catspaw]

I remember election night in 1998 when Morris was on Fox saying the GOP would gain 30-50 seats in the House. Since then, I've taken what the toe sucker says with a huge grain of salt.

[cerberus]

"Nominate Colin Powell for president," he told Hannity, explaining that such a move would finally shatter the illusion that the GOP doesn't care about minorities. "That's the magnitude of the gesture that will be necessary to make this work."

I say nominate Condi Rice or, perhaps a Guiliana/Rice ticket. Republicans should trump the rats by being the first to offer a black and female candidate.

[Paul_B]

> Dick's analysis is too simplified. As Hispanics become middle-class, they will become more Republican. Hispanics are not a monolithic voting block. Hispanics will get ahead and value what they worked for.

A good point, and one that I hope has great effect. But Morris' overview of recent voting history is a major cause for concern.

One hopes, too, that in accomodating large numbers of people who have little experience with succesful democracies, the Republican Party will not have to bend itself out of recognizable shape - more than, that is, some would say it has already done.

One thing is clear: we have our work cut out for us.

[1234]

...These groups have not benefitted from essentially 50 years of Demo control of the domestic agenda -- I would hope these people would be rational enough to recognize that.

put your hope on a wish list-dream on

[bullseye1911]

Bullseye's definition of an expert:

ex= has been

spurt= drip under pressure

[Always Right]

A good point, and one that I hope has great effect. But Morris' overview of recent voting history is a major cause for concern.

I don't think it is fair to compare Bush vs. Dukakis and W. vs. Gore in one county and come to any conclusive opinion. Even with the growth in minorities, GOP still won the Presidency, still won more Congressional seats, and should have won the Senate. In America, the poor will never be a majority.

[rightwing2]

"Four years from now - and eight years from now - the Republican Party will be fighting for its life because of this," he warned. Morris noted that in the 1988 presidential election, then-Vice President George Bush defeated Democrat Gov. Michael Dukakis in New Jersey's Bergen County by 15 points. Just 12 years later, he noted, then-Vice President Al Gore beat Bush's son by 15 points in the same county. "It's flipped 30 points between 1988 and 2000," said Morris. "That is what the Republican Party is facing all over the place." The one-time Clinton political guru predicted that Bush's home state of Texas would be the next big state to swing Democrat.

Morris is spot on in his assessment. I have been saying this for the last few years. The massive influx in Latino immigration to the US is going to swamp the southern border states and turn them entirely to the Democrap electoral column. Once the Latino/Democrat majority is achieved in Texas as it has been achieved in California, a Republican candidate will never again be able to be elected President unless the GOP becomes nothing more than an affirmative action, multiculturalist carbon copy of the Democrat Party. I concur with Morris' assessment that this may well happen by 2008. The only way out of permanent Democrap one-party rule of this country is to deport all illegal immigrants whatever their country of origin, halt all amnesties and drastically reduce legal immigration to the US by 75% or more. Then we need to work on assimilating the immigrants who have already come. Furthermore, we need to scrap the Bush signed Democrap Congressional Majority Insurance (campaign finance reform) bill if we have any hopes at all to have a GOP majority in either house of congress after 2004.

[metesky]

Already posted here.

[randita]

I could agree with your assessment, except for one fact. The producers that live in left leaning states with high taxes and a state government that spends the state into bankruptcy will move to more conservative states. That leaves the left leaning states with residents who are only takers, creating huge budget deficits, requiring huge cuts to social programs. States that pursue those policies will degenerate into the status of third world countries.

This is already happening in CA and will in Florida and Texas if they don't stop their accommodation of any immigrant that shows up on their doorsteps.

At some point in this scenario, one would hope that the citizens of those once great states will blame the leftist Democrats that created the downfall and boot them out of office, choosing conservatives to get the fiscal house in order. Then the cycle will repeat itself again.

[Republic If You Can Keep It]

creating huge budget deficits, requiring huge cuts to social programs

Or they can just keep spending & ignore the deficits, as some states are doing.

[Callahan]

I think the Mormons found the solution. Have twelve kids and raise them Republican.

[Eric in the Ozarks]

You nailed it.

[TankerKC]

...America's pre-eminent political strategist, Dick Morris...

Uh, right. Who is he advising at the moment?