[Paul_B]

Read it and weep.

[laconic]

This is the same "expert" who said the Reps would gain 20 seats in the 1998 House election and that there was no way that Hillary Clinton could win the Senate seat. The "experts" have been saying the REpublican Party was dead before: 1964, after the Goldwater loss, and 1974, after Nixon resigned. Neither expert opinion held true.

[Always Right]

Dick's analysis is too simplified. As Hispanics become middle-class, they will become more Republican. Hispanics are not a monolithic voting block. Hispanics will get ahead and value what they worked for. Blacks are doomed to be Democrats until they get that monster chip off their shoulders that the world owes them everything.

[Consort]

It appears that this topic is currently active and being well-discussed here.

[cerberus]

"Nominate Colin Powell for president," he told Hannity, explaining that such a move would finally shatter the illusion that the GOP doesn't care about minorities. "That's the magnitude of the gesture that will be necessary to make this work."

I say nominate Condi Rice or, perhaps a Guiliana/Rice ticket. Republicans should trump the rats by being the first to offer a black and female candidate.

[bullseye1911]

Bullseye's definition of an expert:

ex= has been

spurt= drip under pressure

[rightwing2]

"Four years from now - and eight years from now - the Republican Party will be fighting for its life because of this," he warned. Morris noted that in the 1988 presidential election, then-Vice President George Bush defeated Democrat Gov. Michael Dukakis in New Jersey's Bergen County by 15 points. Just 12 years later, he noted, then-Vice President Al Gore beat Bush's son by 15 points in the same county. "It's flipped 30 points between 1988 and 2000," said Morris. "That is what the Republican Party is facing all over the place." The one-time Clinton political guru predicted that Bush's home state of Texas would be the next big state to swing Democrat.

Morris is spot on in his assessment. I have been saying this for the last few years. The massive influx in Latino immigration to the US is going to swamp the southern border states and turn them entirely to the Democrap electoral column. Once the Latino/Democrat majority is achieved in Texas as it has been achieved in California, a Republican candidate will never again be able to be elected President unless the GOP becomes nothing more than an affirmative action, multiculturalist carbon copy of the Democrat Party. I concur with Morris' assessment that this may well happen by 2008. The only way out of permanent Democrap one-party rule of this country is to deport all illegal immigrants whatever their country of origin, halt all amnesties and drastically reduce legal immigration to the US by 75% or more. Then we need to work on assimilating the immigrants who have already come. Furthermore, we need to scrap the Bush signed Democrap Congressional Majority Insurance (campaign finance reform) bill if we have any hopes at all to have a GOP majority in either house of congress after 2004.

[metesky]

Already posted here.

[TankerKC]

...America's pre-eminent political strategist, Dick Morris...

Uh, right. Who is he advising at the moment?

[jmaroneps37]

Never pay attention to columnist who have to write or speak too much. The toe sucker told us the other day that control of the Senate rests on us winning N.C. He said that one is close. Bull shiite. That was a rat zomby poll.

[Wallace T.]

There are factors other than increased minority voting taking place, especially in the Northeast and around Chicago. Compare 2000 presidential results in the suburban counties around New York City, Philadelphia, Baltimore, and Chicago with those from 1976. Virtually all these counties were solidly GOP in the Carter-Ford race, sometimes with 2 to 1 margins or better. In 2000, Gore carried most of these counties, often handily, with Bush only winning a few counties on the far fringes of the metro areas (such as Orange County, NY) by slender (less than 5%) margins. These counties are mostly white, as they were in 1976.

There are several factors in the loss of virtually all the Northeast (except Pennsylvania away from metro Philadelphia and the union strongholds, the Delmarva region, and New Hampshire north of the Boston commuter range) to the GOP and conservatism.

1. The Northeast (and Greater Chicago) is the stronghold of non-Hispanic Catholicism. As the Catholic Church has been penetrated by liberalism, the social teachings of that church have favored big government and the welfare state, swaying many of its parishoners in that direction. While white Catholics (German Catholics excepted) have historically been predominantly Democratic, their unrest was notable with respect to foreign intervention in the 1930s and with regard to moral permissiveness and lax law enforcement in the 1960s. In 1969, Kevin Phillips predicted, in his book, The Emerging Republican Majority, a decades long GOP ascendancy based on two groups switching allegiance: Anglo-Protestant Southerners and white Catholics. Despite some movement in that direction under Nixon and Reagan, white Catholics still remain to a considerable extent in the Democrat camp, due in part to the influence of their church's teachings and leadership.

2. The Northeast (and the Great Lakes region as well) is also the bastion of liberal academia. Many Yankees of the Baby Boom generation or later have undergone a Hillary Clinton-type transformation from political conservatism to liberalism as a result of the college experience. Too many sons and daughters of "rock-ribbed Republicans" returned after graduation from colleges psot-1960 to Lake County, Illinois or Montgomery County, Pennsylvania and helped turn their home turf over to liberalism.

3. The post World War II migration of the descendants of East European Jews from the inner cities to the suburbs, especially in the Northeast, but also in Chicago and Los Angeles, must be considered. Clearly the most leftist group in the European descended population, they thrived in the American environment with its market economy and relative ease of access to education. However, even if many Jews did well in business or in the professions, they incorrectly saw in American conservatism the shades of the Black Hundreds or the Brown Shirts. Thus, until very recently, the Jewish-Democratic allegiance was rock-solid.

The "browning of America" does not bode well in the long run. However, we must recognize the rot of several generations of liberal dominance in academia and the mass media and its ill effect on white Americans whose families have lived in this country for three or more generations.

[foreverfree]

bump