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Senate Race Polls and Links as Democrats consider going Nuclear
http://www.dcpoliticalreport.com/2002/polls02.htm ^ | 10-11-02 | patriciaruth

Posted on 10/11/2002 4:26:00 PM PDT by patriciaruth

Edited on 10/18/2002 12:19:06 AM PDT by Jim Robinson. [history]

"Work as if everything depends on you; pray as if everything depends on God."

The Iraq debate is over. Democrats who are up for reelection in close Senate races voted for the Iraq resolution with the exception of Paul Wellstone (D-WI). Now with over three weeks left, they are going to hit hard on the economy, social security, negative attack ads, etc.

Anyone who can, send a credit card contribution online to one, some or all of the close Senate races listed here. Please mail a check now if you can't donate online. Even small amounts when combined with other FReepers can make a lot of difference.


This graphic is the property of D.C.'s Political Report and is being used with permission.

South Dakota: John Thune, current Congressman, (articulate, affable, attractive in an August debate with Johnson) running against Tim Johnson, current Senator.
Latest poll:Thune 43% Johnson 44% Evans (L) 2% Mason Dixon 9/16-19 MOE-3.5%

Link to www.johnthune.com

John Thune for South Dakota
P.O. Box 516
Sioux Falls, SD 57101

New Jersey: Doug Forrester (bio: former assistant state treasurer, now small businessman and university instructor) was running against Senator Robert Torricelli, but (since the NJ Supreme Court fix is in to reprint the ballots) is now running against the Democrat "Mafia" mascot, 78 year old, "have checkbook, will travel", former Senator Lautenberg.
Latest poll: Forrester 44% Lautenberg 44% Newark Star-Ledger of Likely Voters

Link to www.forrester2002.com

Forrester 2002, Inc.
3535 Quakerbridge Road, Suite 400
Hamilton, NJ 08619

Minnesota: Norm Coleman, former mayor of St. Paul, running against Paul Wellstone, current Senator.
Latest poll: Coleman 47% Wellstone 41% Zogby 9/18-19 4.5%

Link to www.colemanforsenate.com

Coleman for U.S. Senate
1410 Energy Park Dr, Ste. 11
St. Paul, MN 55108-9865

New Hampshire: U.S. Representative John Sununu, son of former Governor, defeated current Senator Bob Smith in the September 10th primary and faces current Democrat governor, Jean Shaneen, in the general election for Senator. Sununu has less than two months to knit the party back together for the general election to retain the seat against a tough opponent, who probably would have defeated Smith.
Latest polls: Sununu 44% Shaheen 46% Blevens (L) 1% Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D) 10/2 4.4%
compare to Sununu 55% Shaheen 34% American Research Group 9/30-10/2 4%
Sununu 44% Shaheen 47% Univ. of NH Oct. 4%

Link to www.johnsununu.org

Team Sununu
PO Box 500
Rye, NH 03870

Missouri: Jim Talent, former Congressman from St. Louis, against current Senator Jean Carnahan (who was appointed when her dead husband narrowly "won" in 2000 election over John Ashcroft). If Talent wins he may be allowed to take the seat immediately. .
Latest poll: Talent 48% Carnahan 48% Survey U.S.A. 10/5-6 4.2%

Link to www.talentforsenate.com

Jim Talent for Senate
9433 Olive Boulevard
St. Louis, MO 63132

Arkansas: Senator Tim Hutchinson challenged strongly by state attorney general Mark Pryor. Sen. Hutchinson, a former Baptist minister, is in trouble for reelection because of his divorce and remarriage after winning the Senate seat in 1996 on a platform of family values. He won his primary by 70% against another Christian conservative so the voters may be starting to forgive him. Without help, this is our most likely loss.
Latest poll before Democrats went to Baghdad: Hutchinson 40% Pryor 50% Arkansas New Bureau 9/16-20 4.5%

Link to www.tim2002.com

Hutchinson for Senate
PO Box 998
Rogers, AR 72756

Texas: State Attorney General John Cornyn is running close in the polls to Democrat Ron Kirk, former mayor of Dallas. Current Senator Phil Graham is retiring.
Last reported poll done by Democrats: Cornyn 35% Kirk 39% Fairbanks Maslin Maullin & Assoc. (D) 9/22-24 3.6% compare to
Cornyn 56% Kirk 30% NBC5 9/30-10/6 4.1%

Link to www.johncornyn.com

John Cornyn for Senate, Inc.
P.O. Box 13026
Austin, Texas 78711

b>Colorado: Current Senator, Wayne Allard, a veterinarian, is facing stiff competition from slick former U.S. Attorney and environmentalist, Tom Strickland. The Libertarian candidate, businessman Rick Stanley, may draw away enough votes from Allard to cause a loss.
Last reported poll: Allard 42% Strickland 42% Zogby 9/17-18 4.5%

Link to www.allardforsenate.com

US Senator Wayne Allard
300 W. Plaza Drive #100
Littleton, CO 80129

Georgia: U.S. Representative Saxby Chambliss against current Senator Max Cleland.
Latest polls: Chambliss 42% Cleland 51% Mitchell Research 9/26-10/1 MOE 4%
Chambliss 41% Cleland 45% Public Opinion Strategies (R) 9/30-10/1 MOE 3%

Link to www.saxby.org

Chambliss for Senate, Inc.
P.O. Box 12469
Atlanta, GA 30355

Iowa: U.S. Representative Greg Ganske is challenging current Senator Tom Harkin.
Ganske has gained ground since the last poll and Harkin lost a point, possibly due to the spying scandal and the Iraq debate: Ganske 44% Harkin 53% Survey Iowa 13 4.1%
Harkin must be a bit unnerved as he voted for the Iraq resolution.

Link to www.ganskeforsenate.org

Ganske for Senate
1200 Grand Ave.
West Des Moines, IA 50265

West Virginia: Jay versus Jay. Jay Wolfe is trying to unseat current Senator Jay Rockefeller, using the same stealth grassroots tactics that won the state for George W. Bush. This one is under the radar, so you won't see any polls.

Link to www.jaywolfe.net

Friends of Jay Wolfe
P.O. Box 364
Salem, WV 26426


TOPICS: Activism/Chapters; Extended News; Politics/Elections; US: Arkansas; US: Colorado; US: Georgia; US: Iowa; US: Minnesota; US: Missouri; US: New Hampshire; US: New Jersey; US: South Dakota; US: Texas; US: West Virginia
KEYWORDS: arkansas; colorado; georgia; iowa; johnthune; kurtevans; minnesota; missouri; newhampshire; newjersey; polls; senaterace; southdakota; texas; timjohnson; westvirginia
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To: patriciaruth
Want to remember people if they don't have a Senate race up for grabs to please get involved in their Congressional races. Can state from experience that Congressional races need a lot of help. We have some key Congressional races the DemocRATs are targeting like the 4th District here in Oklahoma where fortunately Tom Cole, the Republican candidate, for J.C.'s seat is ahead in the polls. We are taking nothing forgranted nor is the State GOP Party -- not going to let up on any front. Vice President Cheney will be in our district this Tuesday for Tom Cole for Congress.

Our new head of the Oklahoma GOP, Chad Alexander, is a winner and best thing that has happened to OK IMO! The OK GOP office is giving us tons of support in Tom Cole for Congress campaign!

21 posted on 10/11/2002 5:43:24 PM PDT by PhiKapMom
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To: patriciaruth
Nice job on the posting. I'd like to put it up on the Quote of the Day page if that's ok with you?
22 posted on 10/11/2002 5:55:23 PM PDT by RJayneJ
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To: patriciaruth
bookmark BUMP
23 posted on 10/11/2002 6:02:55 PM PDT by Texas_Jarhead
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To: patriciaruth
A Fighting Back BUMP
24 posted on 10/11/2002 6:32:13 PM PDT by Carolinamom
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To: patriciaruth
Paul Wellstone is Minnisota, not Wisconsin . . and he's gotta. Paul Wellstone voted against the United States.
25 posted on 10/11/2002 6:35:01 PM PDT by ChadGore
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To: RJayneJ
I don't see any memorable quote here, but I love blackie's post.

The quote that starts the post is not mine, which is why I have it in quotation marks. If anyone knows the attribution, I would appreciate the information.

26 posted on 10/11/2002 7:07:09 PM PDT by patriciaruth
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To: ffrancone
Updated Republican poll out of South Dakota.

Thune 47% Johnson 42% Evans 2% Anderson Group (R) 9/30-10/2 MOE 4.6%

27 posted on 10/11/2002 7:09:55 PM PDT by patriciaruth
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To: patriciaruth
I thought I just saw on another post that Thune is up 5% points now in SD. Here it has him trailing?

I wish the election was this coming Tusday...

28 posted on 10/11/2002 7:14:20 PM PDT by Russ
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To: patriciaruth
Oh, you misunderstood what I was asking. I just wanted to post your map and the entire post on my website. I just completed the page and would like to publish it shortly.
29 posted on 10/11/2002 7:15:43 PM PDT by RJayneJ
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To: RJayneJ
Map comes from the website noted.

All the publicity we can get on the Senate races is good. So, go for it! And thank you!

30 posted on 10/11/2002 7:22:33 PM PDT by patriciaruth
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To: Miss Marple; section9; JohnHuang2; kattracks
Can anyone explain why we have 35 Senate races this year, 2/3 of the Senate?

I thought they were supposed to stagger the Senate races so that only 1/3 would come up for election every 2 years, like 17 races every 2 years. That was supposed to insulate the Senate from the passions of the moment from having too great an effect on this "deliberative" body.

31 posted on 10/11/2002 7:28:38 PM PDT by patriciaruth
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To: ffrancone
Good info, good post. You might want to check out TakeBackCongress.org, where a lot of this information is stored and updated regularly.

From your link, check out what TakeBackCongress.org has to say about the impact the Libertarian Party canidates may have in the Colorado and South Dakota races respectively.

"Rated a dead-heat, Strickland went nasty negative early. Allard's response ad was strong and the voters are blaming both candidates for the dust-up. This is helping Strickland and a loopy libertarian candidate, Rick Stanley. If Stanley meets his polling numbers at 6% in the vote, he could throw the entire Senate to the left-wing.

"This is a big one. Johnson is very vulnerable and this would be a Republican takeaway. If he loses, it would send a message to Johnson's fellow South Dakota Senator--Tom Daschle--to stop playing games with the American people and our security. The real x factor in this race is the Libertarians. Here is another race where the Libertarian party may well throw the US Senate to the Democrats."

No wonder the LP is infested with Democrat style propaganda.

32 posted on 10/11/2002 7:42:47 PM PDT by FreeReign
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To: FreeReign
BTTT for later!
33 posted on 10/11/2002 7:49:56 PM PDT by Brad’s Gramma
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To: patriciaruth
I thought they were supposed to stagger the Senate races so that only 1/3 would come up for election every 2 years, like 17 races every 2 years. That was supposed to insulate the Senate from the passions of the moment from having too great an effect on this "deliberative" body.

Err, there are 100 Senators, so 35 is not too far off from one third.

You are correct in that the long term and staggered elections were intended to "insulate" the Senate from the passions of the day. Originally, Senators were not elected by the people, but chosed by the State Legislatures, which insulated them even further from pandering to the electorate.

34 posted on 10/11/2002 7:56:55 PM PDT by Chemist_Geek
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To: patriciaruth
How many Senators do you think we have?
35 posted on 10/11/2002 7:58:08 PM PDT by Sloth
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To: MeeknMing
how do you do things like that? Need special software or some other program? It's very nice.
36 posted on 10/11/2002 8:00:34 PM PDT by cubreporter
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To: patriciaruth
I know it's late, so I'll forgive you for your math troubles. There are 100 senators, not 50, so 1/3 of the Senate is 33. There are another two races this year because of what happened in Missouri with the widder Carnahan being appointed and some other state that must have a similar situation.
37 posted on 10/11/2002 8:02:51 PM PDT by drjimmy
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To: FreeReign
Look. I like a good deal of the Libertarian philosophical perspective. But I think the "teach the Republicans a lesson" stuff is counter productive. I call it holding their breath and putting Libertarian beans in their ears. All it does is elect democrats without pulling the Republicans in a smaller government direction.

So in the real world, I get annoyed when I see a splinter party of well meaning people who are mostly conservatives stepping up to throw the entire Senate to a group we all agree are really bad guys--the Dems. If there were some real world payoff, I might understand.

38 posted on 10/11/2002 8:04:27 PM PDT by ffrancone
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To: patriciaruth
Thanks for all the polling data! I've posted that one to TakeBackCongress.org. It was commissioned by the Republicans, so this race still looks like a dead-heat to me.
39 posted on 10/11/2002 8:06:28 PM PDT by ffrancone
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To: patriciaruth
This link will take you there. Just scroll down and bookmark the page. Let me know if you decide to update. The new quote. };^D)

Quote of the Day by friendly

40 posted on 10/11/2002 8:11:52 PM PDT by RJayneJ
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