Posted on 04/13/2002 4:02:13 PM PDT by Diogenesis
BREAKING: New US Navy Report Supports Cold Fusion 
 V. Impt. - This official report, prepared by the U.S. Navy, is strongly
 supportive of cold fusion research.
 
 TECHNICAL REPORT 1862, February 2002
 Thermal and Nuclear Aspects of the Pd/D2O System
 (In two volumes)
 
From the Foreword:
 "As I write this Foreword, California is experiencing rolling blackouts due
 to power shortages. Conventional engineering, planned ahead, could have
 prevented these blackouts, but it has been politically expedient to ignore
 the inevitable. We do not know if Cold Fusion will be the answer to future
 energy needs, but we do know the existence of Cold Fusion phenomenon
 through repeated observations by scientists throughout the world. It is
 time that this phenomenon be investigated so that we can reap whatever
 benefits accrue from additional scientific understanding. It is time for
 government funding organizations to invest in this research.
 Dr. Frank E. Gordon
 Head, Navigation and Applied Sciences Department
 Space and Naval Warfare Systems Center, San Diego" 
*********** TECHNICAL REPORT 1862, February 2002
 Thermal and Nuclear Aspects of the Pd/D2O System
 Volume 1: A Decade of Research at Navy Laboratories
 S. Szpak, P. A. Mosier-Boss, Editors
 Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited
 SPAWAR Systems Center San Diego
 SSC San Diego
 San Diego, CA 92152-5001 
 ADMINISTRATIVE INFORMATION The work described in this report was performed for the Office of Naval
 Research through the collaboration of Space and Naval Warfare Systems
 Center, San Diego (SSC San Diego); the Naval Air Warfare Center, Weapons
 Division, China Lake; and the Naval Research Laboratory (NRL).
 
 FOREWORD Twelve years have passed since the announcement on 23 March 1989 by
 Professors Fleischmann and Pons that the generation of excess enthalpy
 occurs in electrochemical cells when palladium electrodes, immersed in D2O
 + LiOH electrolyte, are negatively polarized. The announcement, which came
 to be known as "Cold Fusion," caused frenzied excitement. In both the
 scientific and news communities, fax machines were used to pass along
 fragments of rumor and "facts." (Yes, this was before wide spread use of
 the internet. One can only imagine what would happen now.) Companies and
 individuals rushed to file patents on yet to be proven ideas in hopes of
 winning the grand prize. Unfortunately, the phenomenon described by
 Fleischmann and Pons was far from being understood and even factors
 necessary for repeatability of the experiments were unknown. Over the next
 few months, the scientific community became divided into the "believers"
 and the "skeptics." The "believers" reported the results of their work with
 enthusiasm that at times overstated the significance of their results. On
 the other hand, many "skeptics" rejected the anomalous behavior of the
 polarized Pd/D system as a matter of conviction, i.e., without analyzing
 the presented material and always asking "where are the neutrons?" Funding
 for research quickly dried up as anything related to "Cold Fusion" was
 portrayed as a hoax and not worthy of funding. The term "Cold Fusion" took
 on a new definition much as the Ford Edsel had done years earlier. 
By the Second International Conference on Cold Fusion, held at Villa Olmo,
 Como, Italy, in June/July 1991, the altitude toward Cold Fusion was
 beginning to take on a more scientific basis. The number of
 flash-in-the-pan "believers" had diminished, and the "skeptics" were
 beginning to be faced with having to explain the anomalous phenomenon,
 which by this time had been observed by many credible scientists throughout
 the world. Shortly after this conference, the Office of Naval Research
 (ONR) proposed a collaborative effort involving the Naval Command, Control
 and Ocean Surveillance Center, RDT&E Division, which subsequently has
 become the Space and Naval Warfare Systems Center, San Diego (SSC San
 Diego); the Naval Air Warfare Center, Weapons Division, China Lake; and the
 Naval Research Laboratory (NRL). The effort's basic premise was to
 investigate the anomalous effects associated with the prolonged charging of
 the Pd/D system and "to contribute in collegial fashion to a coordinated
 trilaboratory experiment." 
 Each laboratory took a different area of research. At San Diego, our goal
 was to understand the conditions that initiate the excess heat generation
 (the Fleischmann-Pons effect) and the search for evidence that indicates
 their nuclear origin. To eliminate the long incubation times (often weeks),
 Drs. Stan Szpak and Pam Boss decided to prepare the palladium electrodes by
 the co-deposition technique. Initially, they concentrated on tritium
 production and the monitoring of emanating radiation. More recently, they
 extended their effort to monitoring surface temperature via IR imaging
 technique and showed the existence of discrete heat sources randomly
 distributed in time and space. This discovery may prove to be a significant
 contribution to the understanding of the phenomenon. 
 At China Lake, Dr. Miles and his collaborators showed that a correlation
 exists between the rate of the excess enthalpy generation and the quantity
 of helium in the gas stream. Such a correlation is the direct evidence of
 the nuclear origin of the Fleischmann-Pons effect. 
 The research at NRL was directed toward the metallurgy of palladium and its
 alloys and the theoretical aspects of the Fleischmann-Pons effect. In
 particular, Dr. Imam prepared Pd/B alloys that Dr. Miles used in
 calorimetric experiments. It was shown that these alloys yielded
 reproducible excess enthalpy generation with minimal incubation times
 (approximately 1 day). The theoretical work of Dr. Chubb contributed much
 to our understanding of the Fleischmann-Pons effect. 
 Although funding for Cold Fusion ended several years ago, progress in
 understanding the phenomenon continues at a much slower pace, mostly
 through the unpaid efforts of dedicated inquisitive scientists. In
 preparation of this report the authors spent countless hours outside of
 their normal duties to jointly review their past and current contributions,
 including the "hidden" agenda that Professor Fleischmann pursued for
 several years in the 1980s when he was partially funded by ONR. Special
 thanks are extended to all scientists who have worked under these
 conditions, including those who contributed to this report and especially
 to Professor Fleischmann. 
 As I write this Foreword, California is experiencing rolling blackouts due
 to power shortages. Conventional engineering, planned ahead, could have
 prevented these blackouts, but it has been politically expedient to ignore
 the inevitable. We do not know if Cold Fusion will be the answer to future
 energy needs, but we do know the existence of Cold Fusion phenomenon
 through repeated observations by scientists throughout the world. It is
 time that this phenomenon be investigated so that we can reap whatever
 benefits accrue from additional scientific understanding. It is time for
 government funding organizations to invest in this research.
 
 Dr. Frank E. Gordon
 Head, Navigation and Applied Sciences Department
 Space and Naval Warfare Systems Center, San Diego
 
 Apart from some fragmentary investigations, primarily related to the study
 of the self-discharge of batteries, there exists no well defined set of
 studies in the field of the electrochemical calorimetry. We note that such
 studies would allow the investigation of the thermal behavior of a wide
 range of reactions, especially irreversible processes. Thus, the
 establishment of an accurate model of an experiment is very important.
 However, as this aspect is not generally understood, we felt it necessary
 to produce this document. 
 In spite of its length, this volume only covers the analysis of a data set
 generated by calculation and one measurement cycle for a "blank
 experiment." We believe that it is very important to produce a detailed
 analysis and account (as far as is possible at this stage) of the
 methodology which we adopted. This is especially important in view of the
 misleading comments which have been made about the calorimetry of the Pd/D
 system. Taken at face value, one must believe that the workers concerned do
 not understand the difference between differential and integral
 coefficients, the disadvantages of differentiating "noisy" data as compared
 to integrating such data, the differences between the precision and
 accuracy of data evaluations, the recognition of "negative" and "positive
 feedback," the analysis of cooling curves, etc. They do not understand
 relaxation nor recognize the presence of strange attractors and the way in
 which the effects of such complications can be circumvented. [1] 
 It is relevant here to reflect on the precision and accuracy of the
 experiments. Of course, if the precision is high, then there will be no
 difficulty in interpreting changes in the rates of excess enthalpy
 generation as small as 1 mW at the 10-sigma level. [2]. Of course, the
 question of the magnitude of the errors raises three further important
 questions: (I) what error limits are required so as to be able to detect
 excess enthalpy generation at an adequate level of statistical
 significance? (ii) what is the difference (if any) between the experiments
 carried out with ICARUS systems and ICARUS lookalikes and with other types
 of calorimetry? (iii) how can one assess the error limits of a given piece
 of instrumentation? 
 The answer is that one simply stops the development of the methodology when
 one is able to make an adequate set of measurements. We note here that this
 particular specification is itself dependent on the physical size of the
 systems being investigated as well as the chosen operating conditions. In
 our particular investigation the limit was certainly reached when the
 errors had been reduced to the 0.01% level. Naturally, the first question
 impacts on the second and we note that it is the use of less precise and
 accurate calorimetric methods which has bedeviled so much of the research
 in this field. The reason is that with the use of less precise/accurate
 methods, it becomes impossible to monitor the build-up of excess enthalpy
 generation. This then brings us to the third question and the answer to
 this is exactly with the methods outlined in this document, at least as far
 as isoperibolic calorimetry is concerned (although it is not very difficult
 to specify improvements in those methods!). [3] It is relevant that
 although errors had undoubtedly been made in setting up these experiments,
 the detailed data analyses had also shown the way in which such errors
 could be allowed for. [4]
 
 To reiterate, we considered it necessary to produce this document for the
 following reasons: Firstly, it is always essential to determine the
 Instrument Function (or of a parameter or sets of parameters which define
 the Instrument Function) and to validate the methods of data analysis. Such
 validation is best done using simulated/calculated data. Secondly, one
 needs to see the extent to which "blank" experiments conform to
 expectations. Thirdly, one needs to investigate the ways in which methods
 of data analysis may fail.
 
Footnotes:
 (l.) Of course, it is possible that the researchers concerned do not
 understand any of these matters, but what is so remarkable is that they
 have failed to understand these topics even when they have been described
 to them.
 
 (2) However, the high precision of the instrumentation (relative errors
 below 0.01%) has been converted into a 10% error by the group at NHE. It is
 hard to see how anybody can make such an assertion while still keeping a
 straight face. If the errors were as high as this, then it would be
 impossible to say anything sensible about calorimetry - for that matter, it
 would remove one of the main planks of scientific methodology 
 (3) The answer to this question brings us to very interesting further lines
 of enquiry which can be summarized by the question: "why is it that NHE
 have never made any sets of raw data for blank experiments available for
 further analysis?" If one considers this question in a naive way, then one
 would say that there can hardly be any reason for not releasing data sets
 which do not show any generation of excess enthalpy! 
 (4) Instead of seeking to establish the correct way(s) of calibrating the
 systems, the group at NHE used the procedure leading to (k^',0 R)362,
 probably coupled to timing errors in the calibration pulse which they did
 not allow for. Needless to say, this produced nonsensical results which
 they used as a justification for substituting an invalid method of data
 analysis. Moreover, this invalid method of data analysis was applied to
 just two experiments, regarded as being typical, although the fact that
 there were malfunctions in these experiments has also been pointed out.
TECHNICAL REPORT 1862, February 2002
Thermal and Nuclear Aspects of the Pd/D2O System (In two volumes)
These reports are available at: Vol.I, 3.5 Meg ~121 pages pdf file
If you know Pres. Bush, ask him to have the Patent Office stop interfering with cold fusion.
The US can be helped by American creativity and Yankee ingenuity.
 .......... K
 .......... K
Maybe they could make Arafat disappear.
 Ari
 prisoner6
My death ray says otherwise.
 Do you mean People Eating Tasty Animals?
What is it about you bisexuals, you always want to do Jack. ;^)
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.