June Poll Finds a Competitive U.S. Senate race in Texas

University of Texas/Texas Politics Project Poll ^ | 6/22/2026 | James Henson

[Redmen4ever]

Paxton 43, Talarico 42

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TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: dnctrollsonfr; jamestalarico; kenpaxton; paxton; senate; talarico; texas; voteforpaxton

[Redmen4ever]

The polls were off by 4 four points in the Senate Texas race of two years ago

https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/senate/general/2024/texas/cruz-vs-allred

and also by 4 points in the Presidential

https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/texas/trump-vs-harris

But, even considering bias, the current margin (of 1 point) seems tiny.

[Frank Drebin]

It won’t be close.

[bray]

Fake poll by fake press to help Dimocrat fundraising.

[pas]

Texas opened their arms to leftist companies.

[FlingWingFlyer]

This is all fine and dandy for Tallywacker’s DemonRAT Left but Texas doesn’t allow illegal aliens and foreigners to vote. Communist “College Polls” don’t really mean much.

[Antoninus]

Same nonsense, different year. Paxton will wipe the floor with this clown.

That's not to say that we should get complacent. The Bush-Assistant-Democrats will be come actual Democrats this election season. But it won't be enough.

[Dan in Wichita]

A large number of Texas voters do not yet realize Talarico wants to destroy the oil & gas and beef industries, thinks there are six sexes, is okay with males in female sports, welcomes millions of illegals, and holds many other positions at odds with Texas values.

It's not going to be close in November (but no one should get complacent)

[WinstonSmith1984]

Talarico is soy boy fag. Paxton will destroy the uniparty bent gender fag. That uniparty tranny system is crumbling. The Republican party is going to have to abandon the fag system they went along with for so many years. The Bush’s brought in their satanic 322 cult and that has played out. People are awake. Hope that it is blunt enough for the boomers, zionistas and NEOCONS who almost sent us all into slavery by being nice to the mentally ill. The only issue is... are the elections still rigged, because the NEOCONS, Boomers and zionistas... love rigged elections. The only thing they hate more than real people wielding legitimate human agency... are elections that they can’t rig.

[SunkenCiv]

1. DNC troll poll.

2. Faux-democratic socialists are one of the factions struggling to take control of the Demagogic Party.

3. If one of those loons wins an election (as the one in DC may be doing) the faction wins.

4. If the loon loses, it still keeps what passes for a legit Demwit out of power and the faction wins.

5. Alternatively, one or more different factions may be using the "give 'em enough rope" strategy in at least some of these races to show that the loons can't win. In this particular race (koff koff) they also rid themselves of the racist demagogue Jaz, which will help their image with a much-needed demographic (koff koff) elsewhere in the country.

[spincaster]

That’s crap!

[fwdude]

As more and more batshiite insane info comes out about Talarico, I think these polls are just going to eat him alive as the election approaches.

I’d like someone to reveal his Grindr account handle.

[jmaroneps37]

They will keep pumping out their childish lies and getting rich rodents to write checks until November.

[Senator_Blutarski]

I saw a Talarico ad yesterday. He was trying very hard to appear to be a conservative.

[Nicojones]

This same poll had Talarico up by 8 in April. So, even if you buy their secret sauce, they can’t hide the fact that the more people learn about Talarico, the more they move to Paxton

[Skwor]

This is not a poll this is liberal political programing.

[Opinionated Blowhard]

Is this the same polling firm that finds that the race is competitive for every Dem who is challenging Cruz? Or that the state is in play every presidential election cycle? Talarico has enough baggage that a good, well-funded marketing campaign should destroy him. Although this time, it wouldn’t surprise me of Cornyn works behind the scenes to stab Paxton in the back out of spite.

[Regulator]

UT poll?

Hilarious

[redangus]

Yeah, that’s it, it’s all the Boomers and Jooz fault. What a loser.

[USS Alaska]

This is not a poll this is liberal political programing.

Polymarket, where real people put up their own money has Paxton up by 15 points.

I'd never bet on a political event, but if I were going to, this would be about as sure thing as you can find.

[1ScrappyArmyMom]

Every damn poll done in Texas is absolute garbage.
This is just another lame ass attempt. It’s to get fools to donate to Beto 2.0, thinking he has a chance to win.
It’s the same old tactic.
non Texans will tell us how it’s accurate, which is as damn annoying.