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Trump bets Hormuz blockade will break Iran before triggering a global crisis
Yahoo Finance ^ | April 30, 2026 | Jake Conley

Posted on 04/30/2026 1:43:50 PM PDT by lasereye

President Trump has reportedly told his aides to prepare for a prolonged US blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, the world’s most critical waterway for global energy flows. On Wednesday, the president told Axios he is maintaining the blockade until Iran agrees to a deal over its nuclear program.

The pressure campaign carries mounting costs beyond Iran. While the near-total cessation of flows through the key waterway is cutting off hundreds of millions of dollars in revenue for Tehran, it’s also choking key corners of the global market.

By extending the blockade, Trump is wagering that Iran’s export-dependent economy will buckle before higher fuel prices, supply shortages, and renewed inflation inflict unacceptable damage on US consumers and allies abroad.

“‘Economic war’ has become the US’s main strategy for getting Iran to make principal concessions to the US,” Macquarie Bank strategist Thierry Wizman said.

Futures on Brent crude, the international benchmark, reached their highest prices since June 2022 on Wednesday, climbing as much as 7.8% to reach $120.22 per barrel.

For Iran, where oil and gas exports account for roughly 80% of the country’s export revenue, per JPMorgan, the economic effects are acute. President Trump has claimed in social media posts that Iran is losing roughly $500 million per day and that the regime has told the White House the country is in a “state of collapse.”

Iran likely has less than a month before it will need to begin shutting down oil wells as its storage sites reach capacity, according to maritime intelligence provider Kpler, risking damage to already brittle infrastructure.

Trump has insisted he’ll maintain the blockade until Iran agrees to a deal over its nuclear program.

(Excerpt) Read more at finance.yahoo.com ...


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; Iran; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: armchairgeneralsoffr; blockade; bobwillstroll; iran; irgc; jakeconley; leftistsource; nuclear; straitofhormuz; surrendermonkeybait; tds; trump

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This is a permanent situation IMO - unless the IRGC loses its grip on power or the Dems take over the White House. Trump is hoping for the first possibility. Unfortunately the IRGC is unlikely to lose control of Iran even if the Iranian economy collapses.

Eventually they will find ways to route pretty much everything around the Strait and oil prices will fall.

1 posted on 04/30/2026 1:43:50 PM PDT by lasereye
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To: lasereye

When will oil price fall? Short minded idiots will remember this when they go to vote and we’ll be stuck with Marxists running everything. This needs to be resolved now!


2 posted on 04/30/2026 1:49:33 PM PDT by mikelets456
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To: lasereye

Just ask Big Mo. Say where is he?


3 posted on 04/30/2026 1:50:06 PM PDT by Libloather (Why do climate change hoax deniers live in mansions on the beach?)
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To: lasereye

I dont see why we dont control and have command over the strait so that traffic can flow today. With air superiority and constant surveillance, any boat bigger than a one man dingy that moves from Iranian shores towards the shipping lanes should be vaporized withing a mile of the shore line. That seems like it would open the strait, even if only while we are still there. Is that whats happening now? I dont know but from lack of reporting it doesnt seem like it.


4 posted on 04/30/2026 1:52:00 PM PDT by Magnum44 (...against all enemies, foreign and domestic... )
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To: Libloather

Who is Big Mo?


5 posted on 04/30/2026 1:52:14 PM PDT by lasereye ( )
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To: lasereye

Mojtaba Khamenei. One leg. Hops a lot. May be found in gay bars.


6 posted on 04/30/2026 1:56:40 PM PDT by Libloather (Why do climate change hoax deniers live in mansions on the beach?)
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To: lasereye
If I was a Democrat advising my candidates how to win in November, the first item on my list of recommendations would be:

”Convince Donald Trump to start a military campaign against Iran.”

That’s how ‘effing retarded this is.

7 posted on 04/30/2026 2:00:03 PM PDT by Alberta's Child (If I leave here, it’s because I’m tired of arguing with geriatric parrots wearing MAGA hats.)
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To: Libloather

Isn’t Big Mo a vegetable in Russia?


8 posted on 04/30/2026 2:01:41 PM PDT by jacknhoo (Luke 12:51; Think ye, that I am come to give peace on earth? I tell you, no; but separation.)
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To: lasereye
Trump still has the Kharg Island option.

Destroy Kharg Island, and the IRGC Government goes broke.

9 posted on 04/30/2026 2:02:15 PM PDT by zeestephen (Trump Landslide? Kamala lost the election by 230,000 votes, in WI, MI, and PA.)
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To: mikelets456

“When will oil price fall? Short minded idiots will remember this when they go to vote and we’ll be stuck with Marxists running everything. This needs to be resolved now!”
____________________________________________________________

What makes you think oil prices will fall soon, if ever? The war has effectively stopped oil production throughout much of the middle east right now, and it will take YEARS for it to return to pre-war levels.

20% of world oil is stopped right now. Just as importantly, refining capabilities have diminished everywhere.

This is basic economics and “the market” at work. We have a high demand oil economy, and a significant decline in oil goods availability. That means prices go up until they balance out again.

It’s a hidden war tax we’re paying.


10 posted on 04/30/2026 2:03:42 PM PDT by Bob Wills is still the king
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To: mikelets456

Saudi Arabia’s pulling out of OPEC May 1st. I expect prices to start falling then.


11 posted on 04/30/2026 2:03:55 PM PDT by roving
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To: Magnum44

LA, CA and Hollywood are all dying the Olympics will be an embarrassment .


12 posted on 04/30/2026 2:04:40 PM PDT by cnsmom
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To: lasereye

I LOVE PAYING OUT THE @$$ AT THE PUMP MR. TRUMP


13 posted on 04/30/2026 2:04:51 PM PDT by BigFreakinToad (Not a fan of much)
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To: lasereye

We aren’t blockading the strait. We are blockading Iranian ports.

Yahoo BS.


14 posted on 04/30/2026 2:06:19 PM PDT by Fledermaus ("It turns out all we really needed was a new President!")
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To: roving

I believe it’s UAE


15 posted on 04/30/2026 2:07:05 PM PDT by Fledermaus ("It turns out all we really needed was a new President!")
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To: Alberta's Child

Fortunately for the world, President Trump’s IQ is about 100 points higher than yours.


16 posted on 04/30/2026 2:07:05 PM PDT by jacknhoo (Luke 12:51; Think ye, that I am come to give peace on earth? I tell you, no; but separation.)
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To: mikelets456

Yeah, stock markets tanked on Covid.

The sky fell when PDJT announced tariffs a year ago.

Oil soared when we attacked Iran.

OTOH, markets today are adjusting. Stocks near or above all time highs.

All in an atmosphere of doom and gloom perpetuated by defeatist articles and democrats.

There is no way, unlike our previous eight Presidents, Trump will leave behind a nuclear Iran to kill more Americans.


17 posted on 04/30/2026 2:07:28 PM PDT by Jacquerie (ArticleVBlog.com)
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To: Magnum44

The ships don’t want to take the risk they perceive.


18 posted on 04/30/2026 2:08:28 PM PDT by Fledermaus ("It turns out all we really needed was a new President!")
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To: Alberta's Child

Bug off Zambia loser


19 posted on 04/30/2026 2:09:20 PM PDT by Fledermaus ("It turns out all we really needed was a new President!")
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To: Jacquerie

Panicans and boomers live to be miserable.


20 posted on 04/30/2026 2:10:45 PM PDT by Fledermaus ("It turns out all we really needed was a new President!")
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