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InsiderAdvantage/Trafalgar Group New Jersey Survey; Sherrill Leads Ciattarelli By One Point
Insider Advantage ^ | 10/16/2025 | Insider Advantage

Posted on 10/17/2025 8:03:08 AM PDT by usafa92

No Aricle included; top-line numbers.

Ciattarelli: 44%

Sherrill: 45%

Other: 4%

Undecided: 7%

(Excerpt) Read more at insideradvantage.com ...


TOPICS: Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: New Jersey
KEYWORDS: ciattarelli; jackciattarelli; mikiesherrill; newjersey; sherrill
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Jack continues to do well with just under three weeks left. He’s really campaigning and he’s out everywhere every day. He was at the Devils game last night and has been doing multiple campaign stops and rallies a day. It’s going to be tight and it’s going to be tough but there’s definitely an opportunity for Jack to win this.
1 posted on 10/17/2025 8:03:08 AM PDT by usafa92
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To: usafa92

Jack may do everything right and it’s possible he’ll lose by 1.


2 posted on 10/17/2025 8:04:24 AM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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To: MinorityRepublican

Completely possible. This state has I believe a 900,000 vote Democrat advantage. But it’s slowly starting to get more competitive. We also have a track record of 8 on 8 off between between the parties for governor. Jack is polling much better this time than he was in 2021, so we’ll vote and hope for the best.


3 posted on 10/17/2025 8:07:01 AM PDT by usafa92 (Donald J. Trump, 45th and 47th President of the United States of America!)
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To: usafa92
It will all come down to turnout.

Every last Republican and independent needs to come out and either vote for Jack, or against Vanilla Harris. With maximum effort, this thing is doable.
4 posted on 10/17/2025 8:10:33 AM PDT by Antoninus (Republicans are all honorable men.)
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To: usafa92

What do we know about Scott Presler’s activities on the ground? What exactly is he doing and where is he going?


5 posted on 10/17/2025 8:13:18 AM PDT by Lizavetta
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To: usafa92

If Dems lose NJ and VA and the Redistricting motion in CA, 2026 will be an absolute disaster for them. The in party fighting and primary challenges will be everywhere.


6 posted on 10/17/2025 8:22:22 AM PDT by struggle
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To: MinorityRepublican

7% undecided at this point, with an incumbent Democrat as governor. It seems like the undecideds would be more likely to break toward the party not in power. Still, I have little faith in any poll, but it looks like an encouraging sign.


7 posted on 10/17/2025 8:25:45 AM PDT by fhayek
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To: Lizavetta

Scott has been very visible in the state.

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/deep-blue-new-jersey-amid-lord-rings-moment-save-state-from-democrats-scott-presler.amp


8 posted on 10/17/2025 8:35:09 AM PDT by usafa92 (Donald J. Trump, 45th and 47th President of the United States of America!)
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To: fhayek

I don’t understand the panic by many Republicans. Ciattarelli has cut the lead from 10 points to 1. He is clearly surging. If I were Sherrill I would be very afraid


9 posted on 10/17/2025 8:38:07 AM PDT by burghguy
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To: fhayek

“the undecideds would be more likely to break toward the party not in power”

Agreed.

There are two remaining issues that concern me:

—Off year polling is mediocre at predicting turnout. There is no way to be sure the folks being polled properly represent those who will actually vote

—New Jersey Democrat after midnight fraud

We could win this—but I would not want to put money on it.


10 posted on 10/17/2025 8:38:43 AM PDT by cgbg ("The truth is not for all men, but only for those who seek it.")
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To: Antoninus

The bad news for New Jersey is that tens of thousands of Republicans have migrated out of the state over the last few decades. The good news for the rest of the country is that this has helped turn some other states more “red” over the years.


11 posted on 10/17/2025 9:28:07 AM PDT by Alberta's Child ("Nobody sits a horse like Monte Walsh.")
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To: Alberta's Child

And even so, it has still been trending red...though still blue leaning.


12 posted on 10/17/2025 10:01:01 AM PDT by Republican Wildcat
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To: usafa92

Scott is an absolute LEGEND, he busts his ass every single day!


13 posted on 10/17/2025 10:51:22 AM PDT by Sarah Barracuda
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To: burghguy

I don’t know that it’s panic so much as many of us realize Jack is not much of a help to changing NJ for the better even if he does win.


14 posted on 10/17/2025 1:21:54 PM PDT by b4me (Pray, and let God change you. He knows better than you or anyone else, who He made you to be.)
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To: burghguy

The press is reporting she’s up 7 points after that last debate when she accused Jack of killing thousands of people with medical literature. 🙄 Yes, people are ignorant enough to believe her.

So, everyone needs to get out and vote for Jack.


15 posted on 10/17/2025 10:39:24 PM PDT by Tired of Taxes
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To: usafa92
NEW JERSEY - DON'T PUT CHILD-GROOMING MIKIE SHERRILL INTO OFFICE

NEW JERSEY DEMOCRAT Mikie Sherrill

Is NEW JERSEY DEMOCRAT Mikie Sherrill helping
Homosexuals to Groom CHILDREN for LGBTQ+????




Is NEW JERSEY DEMOCRAT Mikie Sherrill helping
Homosexuals to Groom CHILDREN for LGBTQ+????




Is NEW JERSEY DEMOCRAT Mikie Sherrill helping
Homosexuals to Groom CHILDREN for LGBTQ+????




Is NEW JERSEY DEMOCRAT Mikie Sherrill helping
Homosexuals to Groom CHILDREN for LGBTQ+????



16 posted on 10/22/2025 2:08:19 AM PDT by SaveFerris (Luke 17:28 ... as it was in the Days of Lot; They did Eat, They Drank, They Bought, They Sold ......)
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To: fhayek

NEW JERSEY DEMOCRAT Mikie Sherrill
will FORCE K-12 CHILDREN to take
MANDATORY ===> LGBTQ+ <=== courses
WITHOUT PARENTAL CONSENT in SCHOOLS

https://www.facebook.com/story.php?

story_fbid=1333602698775530&id=100063774379226

https://www.facebook.com/OCPoliceBlotter/posts/watch-mikie-sherrill-says-she-

will-force-k-12-students-to-take-lgbtq-courses-wit/1333602698775530/

Mikie Sherrill is a GODLESS REPROBATE DEMOCRAT that will
PUSH the SODOM and GOMORRAH AGENDA upon YOUR CHILDREN
===> WITHOUT YOUR PARENTAL CONSENT <===


17 posted on 10/22/2025 2:19:54 AM PDT by SaveFerris (Luke 17:28 ... as it was in the Days of Lot; They did Eat, They Drank, They Bought, They Sold ......)
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BUMP!!!


18 posted on 10/22/2025 8:50:47 AM PDT by SaveFerris (Luke 17:28 ... as it was in the Days of Lot; They did Eat, They Drank, They Bought, They Sold ......)
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To: usafa92

Ciattarelli is doing well with his ads, which simply are videos of Sherrill stammering answering basic questions about what she will do as governor, and how she made millions in the stock market. They will have an affect. Sherrill’s ads are typical emotional Rat appeals to abortion. Ciattarelli has a chance to win this if his base shows up at the polls.


19 posted on 10/22/2025 8:53:21 AM PDT by Dr. Franklin ("A republic, if you can keep it." )
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To: Dr. Franklin
Ciattarelli has a chance to win this if his base shows up at the polls.

He needs some crossover voters, moderate Dem support and a big percent of Independents.

20 posted on 10/22/2025 8:56:13 AM PDT by 1Old Pro
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