Days, Not Weeks: Israel’s Imminent Attack on Iranian Nuclear Sites

Middle East Forum ^ | May 24, 2025 | Gregg Roman

[Nervous Tick]

Israel will strike Iran’s nuclear facilities within days.

This sobering conclusion emerges from the convergence of alarming intelligence assessments, failed diplomatic efforts, and lessons from this week’s Middle East Forum (MEF) war game simulation. The Pentagon’s Defense Intelligence Agency now warns that Tehran can produce sufficient weapons-grade uranium for a nuclear device in “probably less than one week.” From Jerusalem’s perspective, this shrinking timeline leaves virtually no margin for error.

The fifth round of U.S.-Iran nuclear talks in Rome has crystallized the impossibility of a negotiated solution. Special Envoy Steve Witkoff’s departure mid-meeting on Friday—officially due to his “flight schedule,” while technical teams remained—signals more than scheduling conflicts. The core dispute remains irreconcilable: Tehran insists on its “right” to enrich uranium domestically, while Washington demands zero enrichment capability...

Washington’s strategic ambiguity—extending diplomatic hands while deploying B-2 bombers to Diego Garcia and transferring bunker-buster bombs to Israel—serves multiple purposes. It reassures Jerusalem, pressures Tehran, and maintains flexibility. Yet this ambiguity has limits. Israeli officials privately warn that absent breakthrough, they will strike unilaterally.

[Nervous Tick]

A readable piece on the current Iranian crisis. Discusses all the players; Israel and Iran of course, also the US, China, Russia, Yemen, and the various mooselimb proxies.

End Times implications? "While people are saying, “There is peace and security,” then sudden destruction will come upon them as labor pains come upon a pregnant woman, and they will not escape... the day of the Lord will come like a thief, and then the heavens will pass away with a roar, and the heavenly bodies will be burned up and dissolved, and the earth and the works that are done on it will be exposed... "

[sauropod]

Will read this. Thx for posting.

[no-to-illegals]

Ditto. Thanks for posting.

[odawg]

“While people are saying, “There is peace and security,”

Is there anyone saying peace and security, in the past 80 years, in the Middle East? Which other continent?

[Psalm 73]

Great analysis - thanks for the post.

I don't think we make Israel go it alone.

The deployed B2's are not just for show, neither are our air assets in Quatar - the Gulf states want Iran defanged also.

The world will condemn Israel and the US, Netanyahu and Trump don't care what the "world" thinks.

Was hoping Congress would get the budget bill passed before military action was required, but "days not weeks" precludes the politically optimal timing.

[Nervous Tick]

>> Is there anyone saying peace and security, in the past 80 years, in the Middle East? Which other continent?

Well, f’rinstance, a couple hundred million low-information Americans consumed with their iPhone screens, their five hundred channel teevees, their sportball, their music concerts, etc. pretty much screams “we’re at peace and secure!”

But, hey, you be you, boo.

[Freeleesy]

Iran is playing us / Trump like fools . Stalling and developing..

[Nervous Tick]

>> Iran is playing us / Trump like fools

The article speaks to the truth that “Iran is playing us/Trump”, minus your conclusion — false, I believe — that we’re fools.

[maddog55]

I wish them complete 1000% success and hopefully they take the Ayatollah Khomeini out as well.

[PIF]

Don’t worry, 47 will abandon any such attack, find better things to do, not his problem, just like his response to Putin, all in his quest for the Nobel Peace Prize.

[fortes fortuna juvat]

I wish them complete 1000% success and hopefully they take the Ayatollah Khomeini out as well.
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>.
Ditto, and the sooner the better. And that’s my position even though I’m also 100% supportive of Trump’s efforts to end the wars in Ukraine and India. Trump wants a peaceful planet, but he will do what’s necessary to defend us and our allies. I pray for him everyday.

[MotorCityBuck]

Take a Midol and have yourself a nap. Sweetheart.

[odawg]

Looks like I made a mistake. I assumed you were sentient.

[neverevergiveup]

This has gone on long enough. If not for Stuxnet and previous Israeli covert actions to prevent it, Iran would already have multiple nuclear weapons.

[Georgia Girl 2]

No, Iran is trying to play us. It won’t work. None of Iran’s neighbors will raise a finger or cry a tear when their nuclear sight gets fried either by Us or Israel. Nobody wants them to get the bomb.

[Jaysin]

As an American living in Israel I will state that wargame simulations don’t really apply here.

I’ll respect the authors analysis except for a bit of doomsday scenario in this one comment
“ The domestic front will endure casualties and psychological warfare unseen since 1973.”

We lived in fear for years of hezbollah’s 100,000 rockets and were expecting a couple of thousand civilian deaths. We always viewed Hamas as an amateur rag-tag bunch that can simply be kept in a cage in Gaza.

low and behold look at how reality turned out — We crushed Hezbollah into pieces with a downstream effect of collapsing the Syrian regime. We have control of the Hermon mountain and several other strategic points. We are still killing remaining hezbollah operatives on an almost daily basis without any response from them. yet Hamas still has hostages and control of the narrative, while over 800 of our soldiers have been killed while we play around figuring out what to do.

So as far as dealing with Iran—whatever the media, “experts”, pundits and other yahoos think or say will happen, well they are in for a surprise. Whatever is expected won’t happen and whatever isn’t expected will happen.....
kind of like the beeper operation—There is NO ONE in the world that predicted or “called” that one. No one. it was a complete surprise and whatever we do to Iran will be a complete surprise.

for better or for worse, I highly recommend people follow Amir Tzarfati on telegram to get a solid take on the situation here without paragraphs of newsjive. He’s on the ball with most issues and usually in real time.

[Jaysin]

to follow up my previous comment and in conjunction with the article posted here:

Amir made a cryptic post on May 23:
“Don’t be around Iran’s nuclear sites in June 2025”

[TonyM]

I have a gut feeling that Iran will be attacked by U.S. and Israel within the next week.

[libertylover]

Israel will strike Iran’s nuclear facilities within days.

I've been saying by the end of the month, which is upon us. If it happens, I hope Israel doesn't have to go it alone.

My limited knowledge plan would have the Israelis continue their excellent work of suppressing air defenses and our B-1s and B-2s would drop multiple bunker-buster bombs on the enrichment sites followed by formations of B-52s to carpet bomb the s*** out of the surface facilities.

Mind you, I hope this doesn't happen because I hope Iran will agree to shut down their nuclear program on their own, but I'm very doubtful that they will.

[af_vet_1981]

for better or for worse, I highly recommend people follow Amir Tzarfati on telegram to get a solid take on the situation here without paragraphs of newsjive. He’s on the ball with most issues and usually in real time.

Concur, but don't want to register with Telegram and his links no longer work without registration apparently.